2018 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Passers with 300 attempts, rushers with 100 carries, receivers with 50 targets.

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Philip Rivers 508
577
(69.0)
563
(55.3)
575
(67.0)
30
(478.0)
Drew Brees 489
569
(80.4)
545
(55.6)
546
(57.0)
30
(459.0)
Russell Wilson 427
504
(76.7)
511
(83.8)
484
(57.0)
30
(397.0)
Baker Mayfield 486
106
(380.3)
30
(456.0)
553
(67.0)
140
(345.6)
Blake Bortles 403
534
(130.5)
30
(373.0)
22
(381.0)
30
(373.0)
Mitchell Trubisky 434
566
(132.5)
484
(49.7)
514
(80.0)
531
(97.4)
Ben Roethlisberger 675
585
(89.6)
567
(107.6)
608
(67.0)
30
(645.0)
Marcus Mariota 331
529
(197.8)
30
(301.0)
440
(109.0)
512
(181.0)
Josh Rosen 393
341
(52.3)
30
(363.0)
170
(223.0)
30
(363.0)
Andrew Luck 639
586
(52.7)
30
(609.0)
598
(41.0)
30
(609.0)
Andy Dalton 365
558
(193.2)
30
(335.0)
505
(140.0)
539
(174.1)
Josh Allen 320
401
(81.3)
30
(290.0)
479
(159.0)
246
(74.4)
Jameis Winston 378
467
(89.4)
298
(80.1)
548
(170.0)
471
(93.2)
Cam Newton 471
530
(58.9)
30
(441.0)
495
(24.0)
30
(441.0)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Flacco 547 379 167.9
2 Carson Wentz 541 401 140.1
3 Sam Darnold 539 414 124.8
4 Matt Ryan 550 608 57.6
5 Derek Carr 603 553 49.9
6 Tom Brady 606 570 35.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 30 597 567.0
2 Eli Manning 30 576 546.0
3 Derek Carr 30 553 523.0
4 Sam Darnold 30 414 384.0
5 Case Keenum 497 586 89.2
6 Patrick Mahomes 530 580 49.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Case Keenum 107 586 479.0
2 Joe Flacco 537 379 158.0
3 Carson Wentz 525 401 124.0
4 Sam Darnold 525 414 111.0
5 Matt Ryan 570 608 38.0
6 Kirk Cousins 571 606 35.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Ryan 30 608 578.0
2 Eli Manning 30 576 546.0
3 Tom Brady 30 570 540.0
4 Derek Carr 30 553 523.0
5 Joe Flacco 558 379 178.5
6 Carson Wentz 494 401 92.9

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Sam Darnold 0.5773
0.6045
(23.9)
0.6560
(28.3)
0.5905
(12.1)
0.6048
(20.3)
Deshaun Watson 0.6832
0.6023
(25.4)
0.6316
(31.3)
0.6504
(8.4)
0.6006
(30.8)
Carson Wentz 0.6958
0.6202
(18.1)
0.6447
(24.6)
0.6495
(12.1)
0.6129
(24.6)
Kirk Cousins 0.7013
0.6476
(14.1)
0.6638
(29.0)
0.6690
(9.8)
0.6487
(18.9)
Joe Flacco 0.6121
0.6288
(17.9)
0.6947
(27.4)
0.6294
(12.6)
0.6203
(11.2)
Marcus Mariota 0.6888
0.6161
(14.0)
0.6560
(14.3)
0.6409
(10.5)
0.6125
(18.1)
Josh Rosen 0.5522
0.6087
(34.2)
0.6560
(36.7)
0.5882
(20.5)
0.6560
(49.2)
Aaron Rodgers 0.6231
0.6350
(25.3)
0.6560
(13.4)
0.6502
(25.8)
0.6372
(21.2)
Josh Allen 0.5281
0.5926
(30.4)
0.6560
(37.6)
0.5595
(15.2)
0.5761
(22.2)
Tom Brady 0.6579
0.6443
(9.6)
0.7254
(32.6)
0.6605
(10.6)
0.6560
(11.2)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cam Newton 0.5899 0.6794 27.8
2 Derek Carr 0.6142 0.6890 24.5
3 Case Keenum 0.6242 0.6229 18.6
4 Drew Brees 0.6763 0.7444 18.4
5 Blake Bortles 0.6066 0.6030 13.7
6 Philip Rivers 0.6272 0.6831 12.9
7 Andy Dalton 0.6172 0.6192 10.4
8 Mitchell Trubisky 0.6117 0.6659 10.3
9 Andrew Luck 0.6263 0.6729 10.3
10 Matthew Stafford 0.6491 0.6613 10.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dak Prescott 0.6227 0.6768 33.9
2 Jared Goff 0.7160 0.6488 31.9
3 Derek Carr 0.6560 0.6890 24.0
4 Patrick Mahomes 0.7095 0.6603 22.5
5 Mitchell Trubisky 0.6248 0.6659 22.3
6 Andrew Luck 0.6560 0.6729 17.5
7 Blake Bortles 0.6560 0.6030 17.2
8 Russell Wilson 0.6286 0.6557 16.0
9 Cam Newton 0.6560 0.6794 15.9
10 Matthew Stafford 0.6453 0.6613 14.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derek Carr 0.6397 0.6890 18.4
2 Case Keenum 0.5794 0.6229 16.0
3 Eli Manning 0.6196 0.6597 13.8
4 Cam Newton 0.6404 0.6794 10.8
5 Dak Prescott 0.6407 0.6768 10.5
6 Patrick Mahomes 0.6600 0.6603 9.1
7 Baker Mayfield 0.6401 0.6379 8.9
8 Matthew Stafford 0.6606 0.6613 8.6
9 Philip Rivers 0.6504 0.6831 8.4
10 Andy Dalton 0.6198 0.6192 6.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Brees 0.6560 0.7444 32.7
2 Blake Bortles 0.6560 0.6030 30.0
3 Dak Prescott 0.6193 0.6768 18.9
4 Mitchell Trubisky 0.6020 0.6659 18.4
5 Baker Mayfield 0.5876 0.6379 14.0
6 Jared Goff 0.6049 0.6488 12.6
7 Case Keenum 0.6205 0.6229 11.2
8 Eli Manning 0.6560 0.6597 10.2
9 Matt Ryan 0.6560 0.6941 10.1
10 Russell Wilson 0.6560 0.6557 9.3

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Case Keenum 10.6575
11.1284
(156.3)
11.4429
(339.4)
11.7419
(554.6)
11.0518
(190.6)
Philip Rivers 12.4150
11.9892
(320.0)
12.1337
(247.7)
11.8316
(366.5)
11.4125
(544.3)
Sam Darnold 11.9874
11.5097
(282.4)
11.4125
(323.4)
11.3452
(323.0)
11.2286
(342.7)
Matthew Stafford 10.2916
11.7481
(695.0)
11.4350
(520.1)
11.0577
(348.6)
11.3197
(532.3)
Russell Wilson 12.3143
11.8493
(285.8)
12.1657
(151.5)
12.0258
(182.1)
11.4125
(414.5)
Jared Goff 12.8791
11.9366
(643.4)
12.3185
(430.2)
12.6851
(186.2)
12.2810
(374.2)
Derek Carr 10.6273
11.1318
(166.0)
11.4125
(320.2)
11.4121
(357.7)
11.4125
(396.1)
Carson Wentz 11.0179
11.5688
(139.0)
11.9714
(299.7)
11.3930
(95.1)
11.7664
(272.5)
Kirk Cousins 10.1129
11.6748
(822.7)
11.9797
(1006.3)
10.9031
(395.2)
11.4236
(752.5)
Josh Rosen 10.4977
11.4566
(296.6)
11.4125
(278.5)
11.5600
(363.3)
11.4125
(332.4)
Patrick Mahomes 13.3081
11.9924
(881.5)
12.0725
(836.2)
11.9797
(850.5)
11.2533
(1231.8)
Andrew Luck 10.6814
11.7358
(543.3)
11.4125
(335.4)
11.3756
(355.4)
11.4125
(423.1)
Aaron Rodgers 11.9409
11.2004
(564.0)
11.4125
(438.5)
11.0808
(595.8)
11.0765
(557.2)
Josh Allen 12.2722
11.2002
(408.4)
11.4125
(341.1)
12.1493
(83.5)
14.3986
(658.4)
Cam Newton 10.6094
12.0889
(600.7)
11.4125
(281.1)
10.9369
(89.3)
11.4125
(345.8)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Baker Mayfield 11.2338 12.0161 479.4
2 Ben Roethlisberger 12.0346 11.3473 326.0
3 Eli Manning 11.1491 11.3132 212.1
4 Joe Flacco 10.2946 10.6250 202.6
5 Tom Brady 12.0492 11.6133 132.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Baker Mayfield 11.4125 12.0161 393.6
2 Joe Flacco 9.9791 10.6250 323.0
3 Ben Roethlisberger 12.0098 11.3473 307.9
4 Dak Prescott 11.4166 10.9129 156.5
5 Deshaun Watson 11.9788 12.0725 151.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Bortles 11.9231 11.1852 241.8
2 Tom Brady 11.3555 11.6133 225.6
3 Marcus Mariota 11.5461 11.0877 106.1
4 Dak Prescott 11.2433 10.9129 101.2
5 Eli Manning 11.2917 11.3132 91.9

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Flacco 10.0876 10.6250 229.8
2 Matt Ryan 11.4125 11.6682 197.5
3 Jameis Winston 11.8354 12.2623 187.5
4 Drew Brees 11.4125 10.9670 184.1
5 Mitchell Trubisky 10.8496 11.1522 161.3

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Case Keenum 0.0493
0.0610
(8.6)
0.0721
(11.8)
0.0806
(18.1)
0.0618
(8.2)
Eli Manning 0.0553
0.0696
(10.0)
0.0752
(9.9)
0.0639
(4.7)
0.0752
(12.4)
Drew Brees 0.0879
0.0724
(6.0)
0.0820
(4.2)
0.0763
(5.9)
0.0752
(5.4)
Russell Wilson 0.1250
0.0827
(16.7)
0.0841
(18.6)
0.0871
(16.4)
0.0752
(20.6)
Baker Mayfield 0.0871
0.0646
(9.4)
0.0752
(7.1)
0.0791
(4.1)
0.0655
(9.7)
Blake Bortles 0.0535
0.0621
(4.7)
0.0752
(7.7)
0.0769
(9.2)
0.0752
(9.4)
Derek Carr 0.0499
0.0667
(11.0)
0.0752
(12.5)
0.0687
(10.1)
0.0752
(14.9)
Mitchell Trubisky 0.0830
0.0693
(4.6)
0.0695
(7.0)
0.0790
(2.0)
0.0619
(8.5)
Marcus Mariota 0.0482
0.0731
(9.2)
0.0752
(8.0)
0.0674
(6.2)
0.0695
(7.6)
Josh Rosen 0.0507
0.0588
(4.4)
0.0752
(8.6)
0.0600
(3.5)
0.0752
(10.3)
Patrick Mahomes 0.1305
0.0652
(36.1)
0.0911
(24.4)
0.0939
(21.5)
0.0677
(35.5)
Andy Dalton 0.0929
0.0697
(7.4)
0.0752
(7.5)
0.0799
(4.9)
0.0721
(7.0)
Matthew Stafford 0.0572
0.0733
(10.7)
0.0715
(6.4)
0.0687
(6.1)
0.0710
(8.5)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 0.0934 0.0672 17.5
2 Andrew Luck 0.0765 0.0907 7.1
3 Deshaun Watson 0.0836 0.0754 5.7
4 Tom Brady 0.0843 0.0773 5.7
5 Sam Darnold 0.0553 0.0711 5.3
6 Jared Goff 0.0761 0.0879 4.9
7 Carson Wentz 0.0831 0.0753 4.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Luck 0.0752 0.0907 11.6
2 Philip Rivers 0.0811 0.0922 7.0
3 Matt Ryan 0.0760 0.0829 5.8
4 Carson Wentz 0.0910 0.0753 5.2
5 Kirk Cousins 0.0812 0.0706 4.8
6 Deshaun Watson 0.0871 0.0754 4.6
7 Josh Allen 0.0752 0.0592 4.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Philip Rivers 0.0802 0.0922 6.4
2 Aaron Rodgers 0.0758 0.0672 4.8
3 Matt Ryan 0.0759 0.0829 4.6
4 Joe Flacco 0.0621 0.0517 3.7
5 Kirk Cousins 0.0759 0.0706 2.9
6 Sam Darnold 0.0677 0.0711 1.6
7 Dak Prescott 0.0653 0.0618 1.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 0.0899 0.0672 14.5
2 Andrew Luck 0.0752 0.0907 8.9
3 Deshaun Watson 0.0895 0.0754 7.9
4 Philip Rivers 0.0752 0.0922 7.8
5 Josh Allen 0.0784 0.0592 6.7
6 Carson Wentz 0.0833 0.0753 3.8
7 Dak Prescott 0.0673 0.0618 3.8

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Case Keenum 0.0256
0.0204
(3.9)
0.0205
(2.9)
0.0467
(11.3)
0.0224
(3.0)
Philip Rivers 0.0236
0.0201
(2.5)
0.0195
(2.1)
0.0191
(3.2)
0.0216
(2.0)
Sam Darnold 0.0362
0.0275
(4.2)
0.0216
(6.0)
0.0286
(3.9)
0.0293
(3.7)
Matt Ryan 0.0115
0.0189
(3.6)
0.0240
(7.6)
0.0193
(3.6)
0.0216
(5.0)
Blake Bortles 0.0273
0.0231
(2.3)
0.0216
(2.3)
0.0455
(6.6)
0.0216
(3.1)
Kirk Cousins 0.0165
0.0247
(4.1)
0.0225
(3.7)
0.0210
(1.6)
0.0249
(3.9)
Mitchell Trubisky 0.0276
0.0228
(2.7)
0.0229
(2.0)
0.0214
(3.5)
0.0262
(1.5)
Josh Rosen 0.0356
0.0261
(4.3)
0.0216
(5.5)
0.0294
(3.1)
0.0216
(6.3)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0207
0.0271
(2.9)
0.0271
(3.8)
0.0251
(1.5)
0.0264
(2.2)
Aaron Rodgers 0.0034
0.0163
(6.9)
0.0216
(10.9)
0.0115
(3.8)
0.0152
(5.9)
Andy Dalton 0.0301
0.0199
(4.2)
0.0216
(3.1)
0.0257
(2.3)
0.0254
(2.4)
Jameis Winston 0.0370
0.0250
(5.1)
0.0245
(4.7)
0.0274
(4.3)
0.0259
(5.0)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Deshaun Watson 0.0329 0.0178 6.9
2 Drew Brees 0.0220 0.0102 5.1
3 Dak Prescott 0.0256 0.0152 4.8
4 Tom Brady 0.0129 0.0193 4.5
5 Jared Goff 0.0181 0.0214 2.6
6 Eli Manning 0.0249 0.0191 2.5
7 Baker Mayfield 0.0255 0.0288 2.3
8 Andrew Luck 0.0276 0.0235 1.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Brees 0.0219 0.0102 5.7
2 Josh Allen 0.0216 0.0375 5.1
3 Deshaun Watson 0.0260 0.0178 4.2
4 Baker Mayfield 0.0216 0.0288 3.5
5 Dak Prescott 0.0216 0.0152 3.4
6 Tom Brady 0.0140 0.0193 3.0
7 Cam Newton 0.0216 0.0276 2.8
8 Derek Carr 0.0216 0.0181 2.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Allen 0.0292 0.0375 3.2
2 Tom Brady 0.0169 0.0193 2.4
3 Matthew Stafford 0.0181 0.0198 1.9
4 Joe Flacco 0.0223 0.0158 1.8
5 Baker Mayfield 0.0271 0.0288 1.7
6 Jared Goff 0.0202 0.0214 1.7
7 Andrew Luck 0.0234 0.0235 1.2
8 Marcus Mariota 0.0295 0.0242 1.2

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Deshaun Watson 0.0309 0.0178 5.6
2 Drew Brees 0.0216 0.0102 4.6
3 Cam Newton 0.0216 0.0276 3.7
4 Dak Prescott 0.0241 0.0152 3.7
5 Ben Roethlisberger 0.0216 0.0237 2.7
6 Joe Flacco 0.0249 0.0158 2.7
7 Andrew Luck 0.0216 0.0235 2.4
8 Russell Wilson 0.0216 0.0164 1.4

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Phillip Lindsay 192
54
(138.3)
10
(182.0)
10
(182.0)
10
(182.0)
Nick Chubb 192
69
(122.7)
10
(182.0)
110
(82.0)
10
(182.0)
Chris Carson 247
166
(80.5)
166
(81.3)
135
(112.0)
10
(237.0)
Sony Michel 209
102
(107.4)
10
(199.0)
126
(83.0)
10
(199.0)
Peyton Barber 234
177
(57.1)
198
(36.3)
164
(70.0)
10
(224.0)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Miller 10 210 200.0
2 Frank Gore 10 156 146.0
3 James Conner 82 215 132.5
4 Gus Edwards 10 137 127.0
5 Dalvin Cook 259 133 125.8
6 Alex Collins 239 114 125.2
7 Lamar Jackson 24 147 123.2
8 Josh Adams 0 120 120.0
9 Melvin Gordon 268 175 92.7
10 LeSean McCoy 244 161 82.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Saquon Barkley 10 261 251.0
2 Doug Martin 10 172 162.0
3 LeSean McCoy 10 161 151.0
4 Alfred Blue 10 150 140.0
5 Lamar Jackson 10 147 137.0
6 Isaiah Crowell 10 143 133.0
7 Mark Ingram 10 138 128.0
8 Gus Edwards 10 137 127.0
9 Josh Adams 10 120 110.0
10 Kerryon Johnson 10 118 108.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Conner 46 215 169.0
2 Gus Edwards 10 137 127.0
3 Alex Collins 238 114 124.0
4 Adrian Peterson 130 251 121.0
5 Josh Adams 10 120 110.0
6 Dalvin Cook 238 133 105.0
7 Alfred Blue 56 150 94.0
8 Melvin Gordon 267 175 92.0
9 Kareem Hunt 266 181 85.0
10 David Johnson 315 258 57.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ezekiel Elliott 10 304 294.0
2 David Johnson 10 258 248.0
3 Todd Gurley 10 256 246.0
4 Adrian Peterson 10 251 241.0
5 Jordan Howard 10 250 240.0
6 Joe Mixon 10 237 227.0
7 Lamar Miller 10 210 200.0
8 Marlon Mack 10 195 185.0
9 Kareem Hunt 10 181 171.0
10 Melvin Gordon 10 175 165.0

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Phillip Lindsay 5.4010
3.9218
(226.3)
4.5470
(137.8)
4.5470
(107.1)
4.5470
(151.8)
Nick Chubb 5.1875
4.2872
(115.1)
4.5470
(96.8)
4.0091
(169.4)
4.5470
(110.8)
Kerryon Johnson 5.4322
4.0649
(125.9)
4.5470
(88.3)
4.1950
(111.1)
4.5470
(97.0)
David Johnson 3.6434
4.0872
(192.1)
3.9280
(108.7)
4.3048
(247.0)
4.5470
(249.5)
Jordan Howard 3.7400
4.2763
(209.3)
4.3899
(196.6)
4.3000
(214.0)
4.5470
(217.6)
Alex Collins 3.6053
4.2734
(110.5)
4.5470
(122.9)
4.3950
(123.8)
4.5470
(114.6)
Peyton Barber 3.7222
4.0599
(149.4)
4.1219
(125.5)
4.2988
(204.2)
4.5470
(207.8)
Alfred Blue 3.3267
3.9269
(135.1)
4.5470
(203.5)
3.8214
(118.6)
4.5470
(192.5)
Aaron Jones 5.4737
4.4313
(98.6)
4.6616
(89.8)
4.4118
(101.9)
4.4984
(121.3)
Matt Breida 5.3203
4.1820
(128.1)
4.1081
(164.6)
4.2900
(112.3)
4.5470
(108.6)
Christian McCaffrey 5.0137
4.0020
(155.7)
4.3115
(123.9)
3.9066
(177.6)
3.7611
(260.5)
Carlos Hyde 3.3198
3.9923
(167.4)
4.2175
(177.9)
4.1000
(185.1)
4.5470
(222.0)
LeSean McCoy 3.1925
4.5037
(259.5)
4.5470
(240.1)
4.1897
(208.2)
4.5470
(228.3)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 5.9790 4.7279 228.1
2 Joe Mixon 3.9308 4.9283 165.1
3 Melvin Gordon 3.8853 5.0571 152.4
4 Derrick Henry 4.2164 4.9256 87.8
5 Saquon Barkley 4.3917 5.0077 82.3
6 Josh Adams 4.5470 4.2583 70.7
7 Chris Carson 4.0835 4.6599 68.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Frank Gore 3.3212 4.6282 182.6
2 Derrick Henry 3.9639 4.9256 177.4
3 Joe Mixon 4.2022 4.9283 139.7
4 Alvin Kamara 5.1205 4.5515 136.9
5 Melvin Gordon 4.2389 5.0571 119.3
6 Todd Gurley 5.1544 4.8867 103.5
7 Kareem Hunt 4.9853 4.5525 103.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alvin Kamara 5.3026 4.5515 203.2
2 Joe Mixon 3.8971 4.9283 174.2
3 Melvin Gordon 3.9026 5.0571 150.2
4 Austin Ekeler 3.9762 5.2264 101.1
5 Lamar Miller 3.8950 4.6333 92.9
6 Frank Gore 3.7919 4.6282 84.3
7 Lamar Jackson 4.9882 4.7279 81.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Conner 3.4570 4.5256 216.1
2 Saquon Barkley 4.2847 5.0077 172.2
3 Austin Ekeler 3.7993 5.2264 144.6
4 Adrian Peterson 4.5470 4.1514 115.2
5 Lamar Jackson 5.3372 4.7279 98.9
6 Gus Edwards 4.5470 5.2409 86.4
7 Derrick Henry 4.4686 4.9256 84.7

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Alvin Kamara 0.0722
0.0415
(5.0)
0.0389
(6.1)
0.0461
(4.1)
0.0390
(6.2)
Melvin Gordon 0.0571
0.0243
(4.9)
0.0317
(4.2)
0.0262
(4.6)
0.0354
(3.6)
Gus Edwards 0.0146
0.0354
(3.5)
0.0354
(3.1)
0.0354
(3.5)
0.0354
(3.0)
Alex Collins 0.0614
0.0238
(3.7)
0.0354
(2.8)
0.0294
(3.1)
0.0354
(2.9)
Aaron Jones 0.0602
0.0258
(3.9)
0.0363
(3.0)
0.0235
(4.2)
0.0347
(3.3)
Derrick Henry 0.0558
0.0320
(4.0)
0.0318
(4.8)
0.0363
(3.2)
0.0324
(4.8)
Todd Gurley 0.0664
0.0370
(6.2)
0.0578
(1.8)
0.0403
(5.5)
0.0354
(7.7)
Matt Breida 0.0196
0.0298
(2.3)
0.0326
(2.2)
0.0300
(2.3)
0.0354
(2.6)
Ezekiel Elliott 0.0197
0.0352
(6.2)
0.0348
(5.1)
0.0407
(7.8)
0.0354
(5.1)
Frank Gore 0.0000
0.0354
(6.3)
0.0094
(1.7)
0.0268
(4.9)
0.0354
(5.7)
Dalvin Cook 0.0150
0.0255
(2.1)
0.0354
(2.9)
0.0294
(2.5)
0.0354
(2.8)
James Conner 0.0558
0.0315
(4.1)
0.0342
(4.3)
0.0217
(6.3)
0.0262
(6.2)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Phillip Lindsay 0.0223 0.0469 3.7
2 Lamar Miller 0.0354 0.0238 3.5
3 Sony Michel 0.0364 0.0287 2.7
4 David Johnson 0.0320 0.0271 2.5
5 Alfred Blue 0.0248 0.0133 2.5
6 Marlon Mack 0.0288 0.0462 2.4
7 Saquon Barkley 0.0288 0.0421 2.2
8 Tevin Coleman 0.0310 0.0240 2.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alfred Blue 0.0354 0.0133 3.6
2 LeSean McCoy 0.0354 0.0186 3.0
3 Adrian Peterson 0.0372 0.0279 2.8
4 Doug Martin 0.0354 0.0233 2.4
5 Marlon Mack 0.0335 0.0462 2.1
6 Phillip Lindsay 0.0354 0.0469 1.9
7 Peyton Barber 0.0278 0.0214 1.9
8 Sony Michel 0.0354 0.0287 1.7

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marlon Mack 0.0244 0.0462 3.3
2 Peyton Barber 0.0305 0.0214 3.3
3 Tevin Coleman 0.0357 0.0240 2.8
4 David Johnson 0.0317 0.0271 2.4
5 Adrian Peterson 0.0308 0.0279 1.9
6 Josh Adams 0.0354 0.0250 1.8
7 Sony Michel 0.0317 0.0287 1.6
8 LeSean McCoy 0.0230 0.0186 1.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Peyton Barber 0.0354 0.0214 3.5
2 Alfred Blue 0.0354 0.0133 3.5
3 Saquon Barkley 0.0284 0.0421 3.3
4 LeSean McCoy 0.0354 0.0186 2.9
5 Lamar Miller 0.0354 0.0238 2.6
6 David Johnson 0.0354 0.0271 2.4
7 Doug Martin 0.0354 0.0233 2.3
8 Adrian Peterson 0.0354 0.0279 2.1

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Thomas 8 147 139.0
2 A.J. Green 154 77 77.2
3 George Kittle 69 136 66.6
4 James Conner 10 71 61.5
5 Mike Williams 8 66 58.0
6 Jalen Richard 24 81 57.5
7 Marquez Valdes-Scantling 16 73 56.8
8 JuJu Smith-Schuster 112 166 54.2
9 Jarius Wright 9 59 50.4
10 James White 73 123 50.3

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarvis Landry 0.6952 0.5436 26.1
2 Michael Thomas 0.6683 0.8503 23.3
3 DeAndre Hopkins 0.5670 0.7055 18.8
4 John Ross 0.5969 0.3621 15.0
5 Alshon Jeffery 0.5273 0.7065 14.3
6 Christian McCaffrey 0.7351 0.8629 13.0
7 Emmanuel Sanders 0.5795 0.7245 11.9
8 Amari Cooper 0.5664 0.7009 11.9
9 John Brown 0.5319 0.4330 11.9
10 Adam Thielen 0.6415 0.7386 11.3

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Stefon Diggs 10.0098
12.6300
(441.6)
12.9892
(454.3)
13.0000
(494.7)
12.7980
(438.1)
Mike Evans 17.7209
13.9894
(467.5)
13.6771
(548.5)
13.8718
(485.7)
13.8482
(513.4)
Courtland Sutton 16.7619
13.1419
(275.2)
12.6128
(342.7)
13.4118
(253.7)
12.1349
(375.9)
George Kittle 15.6477
11.1932
(559.1)
12.3278
(442.1)
11.6591
(497.6)
11.7561
(508.6)
Julio Jones 14.8407
15.7410
(211.5)
12.6128
(367.0)
15.8021
(219.5)
12.6128
(352.9)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 12.9525 17.0000 507.4
2 Antonio Brown 14.2913 12.4712 363.5
3 Adam Thielen 13.8773 12.1504 316.8
4 Taylor Gabriel 13.0528 10.2687 290.9
5 Dede Westbrook 13.2762 10.8636 278.4
6 Mark Andrews 10.5855 16.2353 265.3
7 Jarvis Landry 9.9911 12.0494 255.5
8 Michael Thomas 12.6128 11.2400 252.3
9 John Brown 14.1271 17.0238 247.7
10 David Moore 12.6128 17.1154 220.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dede Westbrook 16.8675 10.8636 613.4
2 Saquon Barkley 12.6128 7.9231 575.8
3 Dion Lewis 12.6128 6.7797 395.5
4 Josh Gordon 12.6128 17.9756 375.8
5 David Moore 10.7771 17.1154 332.3
6 John Ross 15.3165 10.0000 312.4
7 Jalen Richard 12.6128 8.9265 304.2
8 Devontae Booker 12.6128 7.2368 277.7
9 Jarvis Landry 10.3100 12.0494 248.8
10 Adam Thielen 13.6595 12.1504 241.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 13.7162 17.0000 404.7
2 Adam Thielen 13.6957 12.1504 286.9
3 Dede Westbrook 13.1897 10.8636 268.2
4 Taylor Gabriel 12.8148 10.2687 267.5
5 Jarius Wright 14.2857 10.3953 249.0
6 Zach Ertz 11.2667 10.0259 245.0
7 Keelan Cole 16.0400 12.9211 241.4
8 John Brown 14.2500 17.0238 237.1
9 DeSean Jackson 15.3571 18.8780 236.1
10 Antonio Brown 13.5248 12.4712 232.4

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 12.6128 17.0000 580.2
2 Ezekiel Elliott 12.6128 7.3636 513.1
3 James White 12.6128 8.6322 508.3
4 T.Y. Hilton 12.6128 16.7105 473.5
5 DeSean Jackson 12.6128 18.8780 452.4
6 John Brown 12.6128 17.0238 413.1
7 Dion Lewis 12.6128 6.7797 401.0
8 Josh Gordon 12.6128 17.9756 370.0
9 Jalen Richard 12.6128 8.9265 310.9
10 T.J. Yeldon 12.6128 8.8545 305.0

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Mike Williams 0.2326
0.0852
(8.8)
0.0852
(9.3)
0.0852
(9.3)
0.0852
(9.6)
Anthony Miller 0.2121
0.0852
(6.1)
0.0852
(6.5)
0.0882
(6.3)
0.0852
(6.7)
John Ross 0.3333
0.0787
(14.0)
0.0854
(14.0)
0.1220
(11.9)
0.0852
(14.3)
Tyler Lockett 0.1754
0.0799
(5.7)
0.0756
(6.6)
0.0870
(5.7)
0.0723
(7.1)
Kenny Stills 0.1622
0.0796
(4.4)
0.0873
(4.4)
0.0833
(4.6)
0.0852
(4.8)
Eric Ebron 0.1970
0.0844
(10.9)
0.0954
(10.5)
0.0800
(12.1)
0.0852
(12.0)
David Moore 0.1923
0.0852
(5.0)
0.0732
(6.0)
0.0852
(5.3)
0.0720
(6.3)
Antonio Brown 0.1442
0.0775
(8.9)
0.0852
(8.9)
0.0990
(6.5)
0.0852
(9.5)
Tyreek Hill 0.1379
0.0600
(8.8)
0.0936
(5.3)
0.0946
(5.0)
0.0852
(6.9)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Calvin Ridley 0.0769 0.1562 6.1
2 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.0838 0.0631 5.7
3 George Kittle 0.0828 0.0568 5.4
4 Zay Jones 0.0602 0.1250 5.2
5 Kenny Golladay 0.0985 0.0714 4.8
6 Zach Ertz 0.0859 0.0690 4.7
7 DJ Moore 0.0805 0.0364 4.7
8 Julio Jones 0.0825 0.0708 4.3
9 Alshon Jeffery 0.1245 0.0923 4.2
10 Mike Evans 0.1096 0.0930 4.2

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.1048 0.0631 7.9
2 Jalen Richard 0.0852 0.0000 7.4
3 Calvin Ridley 0.0852 0.1562 6.0
4 Chris Conley 0.0357 0.1562 6.0
5 Danny Amendola 0.0852 0.0169 5.9
6 Saquon Barkley 0.0852 0.0440 5.7
7 Taylor Gabriel 0.0852 0.0299 5.7
8 Dion Lewis 0.0852 0.0169 5.0
9 Devontae Booker 0.0852 0.0000 4.6
10 DJ Moore 0.0852 0.0364 4.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenny Golladay 0.1389 0.0714 8.8
2 George Kittle 0.1136 0.0568 8.7
3 Chris Conley 0.0000 0.1562 7.8
4 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.1029 0.0631 7.8
5 Jarius Wright 0.1429 0.0233 7.5
6 Chris Godwin Jr. 0.0476 0.1186 6.1
7 Keelan Cole 0.1000 0.0263 5.6
8 DeAndre Hopkins 0.1196 0.0957 5.0
9 Quincy Enunwa 0.0909 0.0263 4.9
10 Taylor Gabriel 0.0741 0.0299 4.7

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jalen Richard 0.0852 0.0000 7.1
2 Calvin Ridley 0.0797 0.1562 6.8
3 Jarvis Landry 0.0852 0.0494 5.7
4 Danny Amendola 0.0852 0.0169 5.6
5 Taylor Gabriel 0.0852 0.0299 5.4
6 Marquez Valdes-Scantling 0.1231 0.0526 5.3
7 Chris Godwin Jr. 0.0616 0.1186 5.2
8 Dion Lewis 0.0852 0.0169 4.7
9 Ezekiel Elliott 0.0852 0.0390 4.6
10 George Kittle 0.0874 0.0568 4.5