2024 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Passers with 300 attempts, rushers with 100 carries, receivers with 50 targets.

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Bryce Young 384
512
(128.3)
394
(10.0)
556
(172.0)
531
(147.4)
Jayden Daniels 480
506
(25.9)
509
(29.0)
529
(49.0)
544
(63.6)
Geno Smith 578
479
(99.1)
625
(47.0)
504
(74.0)
521
(56.6)
Joe Burrow 652
554
(97.5)
594
(58.0)
582
(70.0)
580
(71.7)
Aaron Rodgers 584
521
(63.0)
545
(39.0)
554
(30.0)
545
(39.4)
Daniel Jones 341
490
(149.4)
423
(82.0)
468
(127.0)
494
(153.0)
Kirk Cousins 453
530
(77.2)
553
(100.0)
532
(79.0)
537
(84.3)
Will Levis 301
549
(247.9)
550
(249.0)
529
(228.0)
513
(212.3)
Tua Tagovailoa 399
517
(118.4)
524
(125.0)
541
(142.0)
545
(146.1)
Jalen Hurts 361
496
(134.6)
493
(132.0)
504
(143.0)
520
(159.2)
Bo Nix 567
489
(78.1)
466
(101.0)
513
(54.0)
497
(70.4)
Brock Purdy 455
476
(21.3)
512
(57.0)
508
(53.0)
498
(43.1)
Josh Allen 483
522
(39.3)
544
(61.0)
560
(77.0)
565
(81.9)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drake Maye 482 338 143.5
2 Sam Darnold 470 545 74.8
3 Caleb Williams 512 562 49.9
4 Russell Wilson 380 336 43.8
5 Patrick Mahomes 550 581 31.5
6 Baker Mayfield 542 570 27.9
7 Kyler Murray 514 541 26.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Love 559 425 134.0
2 Gardner Minshew 424 306 118.0
3 C.J. Stroud 579 532 47.0
4 Matthew Stafford 551 517 34.0
5 Jared Goff 572 539 33.0
6 Justin Herbert 534 504 30.0
7 Caleb Williams 545 562 17.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Love 544 425 119.0
2 Russell Wilson 429 336 93.0
3 Drake Maye 414 338 76.0
4 Gardner Minshew 349 306 43.0
5 Jared Goff 579 539 40.0
6 Lamar Jackson 441 474 33.0
7 C.J. Stroud 560 532 28.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Wilson 30 336 306.0
2 Jordan Love 546 425 120.5
3 Gardner Minshew 413 306 107.3
4 Drake Maye 423 338 84.6
5 Justin Herbert 545 504 40.8
6 Matthew Stafford 553 517 36.0
7 Jared Goff 569 539 29.9

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jayden Daniels 0.6896
0.6230
(23.1)
0.6876
(6.0)
0.6200
(24.6)
0.6229
(24.8)
Caleb Williams 0.6246
0.6469
(23.0)
0.6367
(14.9)
0.6497
(24.5)
0.6506
(23.2)
Geno Smith 0.7042
0.6636
(12.7)
0.6704
(11.2)
0.6508
(20.2)
0.6555
(19.4)
Sam Darnold 0.6624
0.6210
(12.5)
0.6250
(12.5)
0.6190
(13.6)
0.6351
(6.6)
Joe Burrow 0.7055
0.6653
(14.2)
0.6751
(10.4)
0.6701
(11.1)
0.6703
(13.1)
C.J. Stroud 0.6316
0.6447
(16.8)
0.6459
(15.3)
0.6500
(19.6)
0.6510
(18.4)
Baker Mayfield 0.7140
0.6336
(35.3)
0.6684
(17.7)
0.6204
(42.9)
0.6318
(38.3)
Aaron Rodgers 0.6301
0.6562
(26.1)
0.6459
(17.6)
0.6697
(33.8)
0.6607
(26.7)
Jordan Love 0.6306
0.6361
(10.2)
0.6476
(13.4)
0.6507
(16.4)
0.6504
(14.8)
Jared Goff 0.7236
0.6710
(18.4)
0.6556
(28.8)
0.6701
(18.9)
0.6750
(18.0)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.7293
0.6730
(15.1)
0.6756
(15.7)
0.6802
(12.3)
0.6806
(13.4)
Brock Purdy 0.6593
0.6674
(12.1)
0.6738
(13.2)
0.6791
(17.4)
0.6748
(13.9)
Josh Allen 0.6356
0.6600
(20.7)
0.6526
(15.2)
0.6500
(15.8)
0.6516
(15.0)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Young 0.6354 0.6094 17.1
2 Bo Nix 0.6234 0.6631 12.0
3 Daniel Jones 0.6425 0.6334 9.4
4 Jalen Hurts 0.6425 0.6870 9.4
5 Will Levis 0.6344 0.6312 6.5
6 Russell Wilson 0.6369 0.6369 6.2
7 Justin Herbert 0.6519 0.6587 5.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyler Murray 0.6455 0.6876 15.0
2 Drake Maye 0.6152 0.6657 12.2
3 Kirk Cousins 0.6745 0.6689 9.1
4 Matthew Stafford 0.6588 0.6576 8.1
5 Justin Herbert 0.6573 0.6587 6.6
6 Russell Wilson 0.6411 0.6369 6.3
7 Jalen Hurts 0.6552 0.6870 6.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Young 0.6295 0.6094 14.8
2 Bo Nix 0.6199 0.6631 14.1
3 Daniel Jones 0.6496 0.6334 11.8
4 Justin Herbert 0.6604 0.6587 10.1
5 Drake Maye 0.6208 0.6657 9.0
6 Patrick Mahomes 0.6706 0.6747 8.3
7 Matthew Stafford 0.6505 0.6576 5.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Wilson 0.6666 0.6369 15.1
2 Bo Nix 0.6240 0.6631 13.6
3 Bryce Young 0.6272 0.6094 12.7
4 Daniel Jones 0.6526 0.6334 11.7
5 Jalen Hurts 0.6524 0.6870 7.0
6 Patrick Mahomes 0.6711 0.6747 6.7
7 Gardner Minshew 0.6271 0.6634 6.5

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Caleb Williams 10.0883
10.6785
(317.1)
11.1009
(570.0)
10.7737
(362.2)
10.9172
(496.9)
Sam Darnold 11.9640
10.7068
(699.3)
11.3000
(360.9)
11.2985
(385.0)
10.8309
(587.4)
C.J. Stroud 11.0923
11.5716
(241.2)
11.6765
(311.7)
11.6896
(296.0)
11.9581
(490.1)
Justin Herbert 11.6566
11.0136
(337.1)
10.8234
(419.1)
10.4514
(628.0)
10.8102
(398.7)
Lamar Jackson 13.2025
11.3250
(902.2)
11.5279
(793.0)
11.9861
(596.0)
11.7558
(659.5)
Jordan Love 12.6455
11.2766
(592.8)
11.1740
(624.6)
11.0734
(685.5)
11.2390
(574.2)
Jared Goff 11.8692
10.7329
(626.4)
11.2187
(349.7)
11.1856
(390.5)
11.0203
(427.7)
Daniel Jones 9.5833
10.4272
(278.9)
10.9060
(451.6)
10.4638
(286.3)
10.0099
(164.3)
Tua Tagovailoa 9.8522
11.5592
(670.7)
11.5932
(695.4)
11.7663
(747.4)
11.5065
(682.1)
Patrick Mahomes 10.0204
11.0202
(565.8)
11.0807
(617.1)
11.1839
(652.2)
11.1267
(674.9)
Brock Purdy 12.8800
12.2866
(281.8)
12.2725
(275.6)
11.7681
(524.5)
12.1250
(318.4)
Josh Allen 12.1531
10.8866
(624.2)
11.3662
(379.2)
11.2363
(462.6)
11.0361
(512.8)
Matthew Stafford 11.0647
11.6955
(312.7)
10.6226
(227.7)
11.5374
(223.2)
11.6137
(312.4)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 11.2568 10.5897 374.5
2 Joe Burrow 11.1724 10.6913 296.8
3 Gardner Minshew 10.9030 9.9163 294.0
4 Geno Smith 11.0230 10.6143 221.3
5 Bryce Young 10.8473 10.2692 212.0
6 Russell Wilson 11.0595 11.5981 189.7
7 Baker Mayfield 11.4070 11.0565 185.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kirk Cousins 10.6971 11.5776 398.1
2 Kyler Murray 11.0780 10.3522 393.7
3 Aaron Rodgers 11.0710 10.5897 282.1
4 Drake Maye 10.6995 10.1156 198.0
5 Bo Nix 10.3667 10.0399 186.3
6 Jalen Hurts 11.1889 11.7056 185.9
7 Bryce Young 10.7185 10.2692 173.2

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyler Murray 11.0678 10.3522 365.1
2 Russell Wilson 10.6333 11.5981 337.9
3 Drake Maye 11.1128 10.1156 323.3
4 Geno Smith 11.0701 10.6143 239.9
5 Bo Nix 10.4874 10.0399 230.6
6 Will Levis 11.6067 11.0053 168.7
7 Gardner Minshew 10.4818 9.9163 160.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drake Maye 9.1538 10.1156 306.4
2 Gardner Minshew 10.7747 9.9163 279.6
3 Geno Smith 10.9587 10.6143 231.1
4 Bo Nix 10.3598 10.0399 212.8
5 Will Levis 11.5294 11.0053 174.4
6 Joe Burrow 10.8979 10.6913 170.8
7 Russell Wilson 11.0559 11.5981 163.6

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jayden Daniels 0.0755
0.0482
(9.3)
0.0571
(8.1)
0.0549
(7.0)
0.0594
(6.4)
Caleb Williams 0.0570
0.0694
(11.4)
0.0692
(7.6)
0.0642
(7.5)
0.0730
(10.6)
Geno Smith 0.0516
0.0626
(10.9)
0.0644
(8.2)
0.0671
(12.4)
0.0705
(12.5)
Sam Darnold 0.0970
0.0586
(16.6)
0.0765
(10.4)
0.0646
(14.4)
0.0637
(16.6)
Brock Purdy 0.0667
0.0761
(7.9)
0.0899
(11.2)
0.0841
(10.6)
0.0881
(11.0)
C.J. Stroud 0.0595
0.0769
(13.4)
0.0882
(16.0)
0.0742
(11.0)
0.0814
(13.1)
Baker Mayfield 0.1007
0.0687
(13.8)
0.0720
(15.6)
0.0708
(13.6)
0.0726
(14.5)
Lamar Jackson 0.1297
0.0734
(23.0)
0.0820
(22.0)
0.0801
(20.7)
0.0824
(21.1)
Jared Goff 0.0949
0.0661
(11.3)
0.0773
(8.7)
0.0696
(10.4)
0.0729
(10.3)
Daniel Jones 0.0370
0.0444
(5.2)
0.0564
(7.1)
0.0493
(6.2)
0.0515
(5.9)
Kirk Cousins 0.0594
0.0728
(9.6)
0.0697
(5.3)
0.0735
(9.1)
0.0770
(9.2)
Gardner Minshew 0.0443
0.0500
(4.1)
0.0547
(3.6)
0.0591
(6.4)
0.0621
(6.3)
Bo Nix 0.0771
0.0551
(8.0)
0.0600
(8.9)
0.0566
(8.2)
0.0613
(7.4)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0663
0.0907
(18.7)
0.0833
(10.7)
0.0806
(11.8)
0.0828
(11.2)
Joe Burrow 0.0935
0.0726
(8.5)
0.0798
(8.0)
0.0718
(10.2)
0.0774
(8.7)
Josh Allen 0.0912
0.0667
(8.0)
0.0761
(6.6)
0.0687
(8.0)
0.0753
(6.4)
Matthew Stafford 0.0588
0.0666
(8.1)
0.0716
(7.4)
0.0718
(9.8)
0.0757
(10.2)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 0.0796 0.0761 6.6
2 Justin Herbert 0.0711 0.0693 4.9
3 Russell Wilson 0.0566 0.0748 3.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0819 0.0653 7.2
2 Kyler Murray 0.0665 0.0565 6.2
3 Jordan Love 0.0829 0.0933 3.8

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyler Murray 0.0619 0.0565 6.2
2 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0734 0.0653 5.6
3 Jordan Love 0.0763 0.0933 4.7

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drake Maye 0.0455 0.0667 6.2
2 Kyler Murray 0.0622 0.0565 4.6
3 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0736 0.0653 4.4

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jayden Daniels 0.0187
0.0267
(2.8)
0.0255
(2.1)
0.0246
(2.4)
0.0254
(2.5)
Geno Smith 0.0260
0.0211
(4.0)
0.0224
(3.5)
0.0198
(4.0)
0.0228
(2.7)
Caleb Williams 0.0107
0.0258
(7.3)
0.0275
(8.1)
0.0254
(7.8)
0.0252
(7.3)
Justin Herbert 0.0060
0.0196
(5.8)
0.0206
(6.1)
0.0170
(5.1)
0.0182
(5.4)
Baker Mayfield 0.0281
0.0223
(4.5)
0.0232
(4.2)
0.0211
(4.4)
0.0211
(4.8)
C.J. Stroud 0.0226
0.0197
(2.6)
0.0207
(2.3)
0.0179
(2.9)
0.0181
(3.1)
Lamar Jackson 0.0084
0.0242
(6.5)
0.0237
(6.1)
0.0227
(6.4)
0.0229
(6.1)
Drake Maye 0.0296
0.0260
(1.9)
0.0242
(2.6)
0.0242
(2.1)
0.0239
(2.4)
Jared Goff 0.0223
0.0194
(2.7)
0.0192
(3.0)
0.0190
(2.2)
0.0186
(2.8)
Kirk Cousins 0.0353
0.0207
(7.6)
0.0217
(7.3)
0.0226
(6.2)
0.0195
(7.8)
Will Levis 0.0399
0.0228
(5.8)
0.0273
(4.5)
0.0208
(6.0)
0.0242
(5.2)
Gardner Minshew 0.0327
0.0215
(4.0)
0.0236
(3.5)
0.0258
(2.4)
0.0249
(2.8)
Jalen Hurts 0.0139
0.0228
(2.5)
0.0223
(2.2)
0.0198
(1.9)
0.0233
(2.9)
Joe Burrow 0.0138
0.0206
(3.0)
0.0202
(2.6)
0.0172
(1.7)
0.0198
(2.9)
Josh Allen 0.0124
0.0237
(4.5)
0.0239
(4.3)
0.0232
(4.8)
0.0248
(5.2)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matthew Stafford 0.0232 0.0155 2.9
2 Brock Purdy 0.0225 0.0264 2.7
3 Aaron Rodgers 0.0173 0.0188 2.1
4 Russell Wilson 0.0224 0.0149 1.8
5 Bo Nix 0.0260 0.0212 1.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matthew Stafford 0.0254 0.0155 3.9
2 Brock Purdy 0.0215 0.0264 3.4
3 Jordan Love 0.0215 0.0259 2.9
4 Aaron Rodgers 0.0165 0.0188 2.8
5 Russell Wilson 0.0215 0.0149 1.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Love 0.0202 0.0259 2.8
2 Russell Wilson 0.0233 0.0149 2.6
3 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0240 0.0175 2.3
4 Daniel Jones 0.0150 0.0205 2.2
5 Bryce Young 0.0198 0.0234 1.7

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matthew Stafford 0.0226 0.0155 2.9
2 Brock Purdy 0.0217 0.0264 2.8
3 Jordan Love 0.0211 0.0259 2.7
4 Aaron Rodgers 0.0165 0.0188 2.2
5 Sam Darnold 0.0266 0.0220 1.7

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Kyren Williams 316
218
(98.5)
242
(74.0)
248
(68.0)
245
(70.6)
Chase Brown 229
135
(94.0)
153
(76.0)
122
(107.0)
142
(86.6)
Gus Edwards 101
179
(78.3)
189
(88.0)
199
(98.0)
10
(91.0)
Chuba Hubbard 250
138
(112.3)
198
(52.0)
135
(115.0)
156
(93.7)
Kenneth Walker III 153
237
(83.6)
231
(78.0)
238
(85.0)
241
(87.9)
Rachaad White 144
212
(68.3)
215
(71.0)
223
(79.0)
235
(91.2)
Bucky Irving 207
103
(103.6)
114
(93.0)
94
(113.0)
116
(90.8)
Kareem Hunt 200
10
(190.0)
114
(86.0)
10
(190.0)
10
(190.0)
Cam Akers 104
34
(70.2)
60
(44.0)
32
(72.0)
10
(94.0)
Saquon Barkley 345
253
(91.9)
299
(46.0)
247
(98.0)
269
(76.2)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 192
73
(118.9)
124
(68.0)
69
(123.0)
102
(89.6)
Rico Dowdle 235
154
(81.2)
141
(94.0)
119
(116.0)
140
(95.0)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Jones 161 255 94.0
2 Tony Pollard 172 260 87.5
3 Tank Bigsby 83 168 85.4
4 Bijan Robinson 230 304 74.5
5 Derrick Henry 255 325 70.0
6 D'Andre Swift 184 253 69.2
7 Jordan Mason 89 153 64.1
8 Jahmyr Gibbs 189 250 60.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Jacobs 238 301 63.0
2 Breece Hall 270 209 61.0
3 Jordan Mason 93 153 60.0
4 Jahmyr Gibbs 191 250 59.0
5 Bijan Robinson 247 304 57.0
6 Aaron Jones 203 255 52.0
7 Brian Robinson 232 187 45.0
8 Rhamondre Stevenson 249 207 42.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tank Bigsby 72 168 96.0
2 Tony Pollard 174 260 86.0
3 Bijan Robinson 224 304 80.0
4 Derrick Henry 250 325 75.0
5 D'Andre Swift 181 253 72.0
6 J.K. Dobbins 125 195 70.0
7 Jahmyr Gibbs 180 250 70.0
8 Josh Jacobs 232 301 69.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 10 263 253.0
2 Joe Mixon 10 245 235.0
3 D'Andre Swift 178 253 74.7
4 Tank Bigsby 102 168 66.5
5 Aaron Jones 189 255 65.7
6 Jerome Ford 169 104 64.7
7 Tony Pollard 198 260 62.5
8 J.K. Dobbins 134 195 61.4

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jerome Ford 5.4327
4.1446
(111.4)
4.2090
(111.3)
3.9938
(126.8)
3.9301
(131.2)
Kyren Williams 4.1108
4.6589
(241.8)
4.4421
(153.3)
4.6976
(254.9)
4.5456
(213.6)
Chuba Hubbard 4.7800
4.0625
(125.1)
4.3737
(63.1)
4.1037
(114.1)
3.9795
(139.9)
Gus Edwards 3.6139
4.2348
(84.6)
4.2857
(83.4)
4.2965
(91.2)
4.6172
(125.7)
Rhamondre Stevenson 3.8696
4.1938
(112.1)
4.2088
(102.1)
4.1019
(93.6)
4.1709
(112.3)
Kenneth Walker III 3.7451
4.3402
(124.3)
4.1991
(93.0)
4.2059
(104.1)
4.1748
(102.6)
Jahmyr Gibbs 5.6480
4.6062
(206.2)
4.7382
(189.0)
4.9944
(108.4)
4.6514
(188.9)
Bucky Irving 5.4203
4.3250
(181.8)
4.5351
(151.4)
4.1064
(226.5)
3.7573
(294.3)
D'Andre Swift 3.7905
4.5250
(240.8)
4.1841
(138.5)
4.6022
(261.0)
4.5457
(252.1)
Kareem Hunt 3.6400
4.6172
(238.9)
3.9912
(101.0)
4.6172
(239.4)
4.6172
(243.7)
Derrick Henry 5.9108
4.2192
(479.2)
5.2326
(170.5)
4.3960
(420.8)
4.4708
(389.6)
Breece Hall 4.1914
4.4617
(101.9)
4.6074
(119.1)
4.5957
(130.5)
4.5267
(120.5)
De'Von Achane 4.4680
4.6190
(74.7)
4.6720
(72.6)
5.4942
(253.0)
5.1834
(194.2)
Saquon Barkley 5.8116
4.1245
(507.2)
5.0201
(220.0)
4.1984
(480.7)
4.1949
(474.6)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.K. Dobbins 5.0094 4.6410 114.2
2 Aaron Jones 4.6932 4.4627 114.1
3 Tony Pollard 4.3061 4.1500 97.0
4 Najee Harris 4.0691 3.9658 84.3
5 Josh Jacobs 3.9265 4.4153 81.8
6 David Montgomery 4.3861 4.1892 76.6

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Mixon 4.3319 4.1469 83.0
2 Rico Dowdle 4.0851 4.5915 82.9
3 Lamar Jackson 5.8696 6.5827 77.8
4 David Montgomery 4.4320 4.1892 73.4
5 Najee Harris 4.0868 3.9658 72.3
6 Alvin Kamara 4.2933 4.1667 63.9

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 5.4097 6.5827 132.5
2 Jordan Mason 4.1848 5.1569 115.1
3 David Montgomery 4.5047 4.1892 99.0
4 J.K. Dobbins 4.9040 4.6410 94.2
5 Jayden Daniels 5.2039 6.0203 88.3
6 Tony Pollard 4.1897 4.1500 67.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 4.6172 3.9658 234.7
2 Joe Mixon 4.6172 4.1469 174.3
3 Tank Bigsby 3.3803 4.5595 157.6
4 Rico Dowdle 3.8950 4.5915 107.0
5 Tony Pollard 4.2841 4.1500 97.5
6 Aaron Jones 4.5911 4.4627 94.2

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Josh Jacobs 0.0498
0.0277
(5.4)
0.0336
(3.7)
0.0302
(3.9)
0.0337
(3.5)
James Cook 0.0773
0.0212
(10.7)
0.0329
(8.4)
0.0184
(10.8)
0.0220
(10.5)
Zach Charbonnet 0.0593
0.0286
(3.6)
0.0283
(3.6)
0.0259
(3.6)
0.0247
(4.1)
Tony Pollard 0.0192
0.0296
(3.8)
0.0270
(3.1)
0.0287
(4.2)
0.0289
(3.7)
Jahmyr Gibbs 0.0640
0.0439
(3.9)
0.0366
(5.9)
0.0444
(3.2)
0.0415
(4.5)
D'Andre Swift 0.0237
0.0277
(2.1)
0.0293
(2.4)
0.0276
(2.7)
0.0292
(2.5)
Aaron Jones 0.0196
0.0280
(3.2)
0.0296
(3.5)
0.0248
(3.0)
0.0291
(3.5)
Bijan Robinson 0.0461
0.0336
(2.5)
0.0324
(3.0)
0.0312
(2.5)
0.0304
(3.4)
Breece Hall 0.0239
0.0340
(3.0)
0.0333
(2.8)
0.0298
(2.6)
0.0325
(2.7)
J.K. Dobbins 0.0462
0.0263
(3.0)
0.0299
(2.4)
0.0240
(3.0)
0.0292
(2.4)
De'Von Achane 0.0296
0.0364
(2.3)
0.0370
(2.3)
0.0349
(2.4)
0.0411
(3.3)
Josh Allen 0.1176
0.0912
(2.3)
0.0811
(3.3)
0.0860
(2.6)
0.0819
(3.2)
Rico Dowdle 0.0085
0.0293
(5.9)
0.0284
(5.6)
0.0252
(5.5)
0.0257
(5.1)
Jordan Mason 0.0196
0.0382
(3.5)
0.0430
(4.2)
0.0326
(3.0)
0.0379
(3.5)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 0.0450 0.0288 2.9
2 Brian Robinson 0.0235 0.0428 2.8
3 Tyler Allgeier 0.0355 0.0219 2.5
4 Joe Mixon 0.0312 0.0449 2.3
5 Bucky Irving 0.0232 0.0386 2.3
6 Najee Harris 0.0265 0.0228 2.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jalen Hurts 0.0662 0.0933 3.5
2 Jayden Daniels 0.0548 0.0405 2.7
3 Najee Harris 0.0289 0.0228 2.6
4 Alvin Kamara 0.0337 0.0263 2.6
5 Saquon Barkley 0.0268 0.0377 2.4
6 David Montgomery 0.0485 0.0649 2.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Mixon 0.0261 0.0449 3.0
2 Jalen Hurts 0.0683 0.0933 2.8
3 Bucky Irving 0.0213 0.0386 2.2
4 Brian Robinson 0.0245 0.0428 2.2
5 Tyler Allgeier 0.0310 0.0219 2.2
6 Kareem Hunt 0.0389 0.0350 2.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 0.0389 0.0228 5.4
2 Cam Akers 0.0389 0.0192 2.5
3 Chuba Hubbard 0.0256 0.0400 2.5
4 David Montgomery 0.0483 0.0649 2.2
5 Bucky Irving 0.0241 0.0386 2.1
6 Brian Robinson 0.0286 0.0428 1.8

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jauan Jennings 43 113 69.7
2 Brock Bowers 86 153 67.5
3 Jonnu Smith 46 111 65.1
4 Wan'Dale Robinson 87 140 53.2
5 Jerry Jeudy 98 145 47.4
6 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 14 60 45.9
7 Christian Watson 95 53 41.9
8 A.J. Brown 138 97 41.5
9 Zach Ertz 50 91 40.7
10 Keon Coleman 97 57 40.2

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Keenan Allen 0.6837 0.5785 15.8
2 Marvin Harrison Jr. 0.6373 0.5345 14.9
3 De'Von Achane 0.7334 0.8966 12.0
4 Wan'Dale Robinson 0.7200 0.6643 11.4
5 Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.7173 0.8156 10.3
6 CeeDee Lamb 0.7054 0.6645 10.1
7 Jonnu Smith 0.6841 0.7928 9.2
8 Pat Freiermuth 0.6928 0.8333 9.0
9 Rome Odunze 0.5952 0.5347 8.7
10 Travis Kelce 0.7688 0.7293 8.6

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Zay Flowers 14.3108
12.4138
(206.5)
11.5176
(305.6)
11.6463
(284.5)
12.1486
(236.0)
Christian Watson 21.3793
15.2550
(318.4)
13.7193
(397.6)
14.6078
(347.6)
14.5177
(356.9)
Alec Pierce 22.2703
14.1044
(555.4)
15.9600
(424.4)
14.8667
(496.2)
15.0456
(489.7)
Travis Kelce 8.4845
10.1159
(232.6)
10.5476
(295.5)
11.4458
(422.1)
10.7964
(324.5)
Garrett Wilson 10.9307
14.1615
(515.6)
12.6966
(296.4)
12.5000
(274.4)
12.5053
(262.1)
Keon Coleman 19.1724
13.8285
(297.9)
13.3488
(322.9)
13.5455
(308.6)
13.3584
(324.1)
Calvin Ridley 15.8906
13.7000
(248.8)
14.6324
(131.9)
13.6533
(243.0)
13.6938
(248.3)
Rashod Bateman 16.8000
13.1612
(253.6)
12.7609
(279.4)
12.4419
(298.5)
13.0931
(257.7)
Malik Nabers 11.0459
13.0948
(368.2)
11.8387
(161.8)
13.1548
(394.6)
13.2599
(398.1)
Wan'Dale Robinson 7.5161
9.1440
(244.3)
9.2716
(268.0)
9.0172
(239.9)
9.2897
(266.2)
DJ Moore 9.8571
13.5426
(532.4)
13.5256
(535.8)
13.5067
(540.6)
13.7582
(564.0)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Jefferson 12.7947 14.8835 303.6
2 Tee Higgins 14.7607 12.4795 261.4
3 Jameson Williams 14.3963 17.2586 249.8
4 Jayden Reed 12.1637 15.5818 247.6
5 Cooper Kupp 12.7593 10.5970 227.9
6 Tyreek Hill 13.5709 11.8395 227.4
7 Jerry Jeudy 14.9837 13.6556 209.6
8 Jonnu Smith 11.7580 10.0455 203.1
9 A.J. Brown 13.9354 16.1045 199.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 13.7593 11.8395 255.7
2 Calvin Austin III 10.7000 15.2222 253.1
3 Jayden Reed 12.4789 15.5818 220.8
4 Darnell Mooney 13.5000 15.5000 195.1
5 Jake Ferguson 10.4559 8.3729 192.8
6 Mike Evans 15.1216 13.5676 188.4
7 Ladd McConkey 12.3247 14.0122 171.2
8 Chuba Hubbard 6.9737 3.9767 170.4
9 Jahmyr Gibbs 7.4906 9.9423 144.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 14.4771 11.8395 350.5
2 Khalil Shakir 13.5965 10.8026 300.6
3 Jameson Williams 13.7963 17.2586 295.8
4 Brian Thomas Jr. 12.4909 14.7356 270.3
5 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 11.1000 15.5312 253.1
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown 12.4579 10.9826 237.9
7 Cooper Kupp 12.7215 10.5970 233.7
8 A.J. Brown 13.5684 16.1045 225.4
9 Tee Higgins 14.2958 12.4795 221.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jameson Williams 14.0489 17.2586 280.5
2 Khalil Shakir 13.1081 10.8026 243.3
3 Jayden Reed 12.4165 15.5818 227.8
4 Tee Higgins 14.3073 12.4795 213.1
5 Calvin Austin III 11.6024 15.2222 202.5
6 Cooper Kupp 12.3492 10.5970 188.0
7 Jake Ferguson 10.4173 8.3729 186.8
8 Amon-Ra St. Brown 12.1721 10.9826 185.7
9 A.J. Brown 14.1733 16.1045 174.9

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Ray-Ray McCloud 0.0161
0.0630
(5.1)
0.0833
(6.1)
0.0645
(5.0)
0.0822
(6.2)
Alec Pierce 0.1892
0.0714
(7.3)
0.1200
(4.6)
0.0667
(7.8)
0.0830
(7.0)
Travis Kelce 0.0309
0.0857
(8.9)
0.0833
(7.3)
0.0843
(8.4)
0.0844
(7.8)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 0.2812
0.0723
(11.8)
0.1154
(9.8)
0.1000
(10.3)
0.0755
(12.0)
Rashod Bateman 0.2000
0.0584
(9.3)
0.0870
(8.0)
0.0698
(8.7)
0.0758
(8.6)
Jake Ferguson 0.0000
0.0826
(8.1)
0.0735
(6.5)
0.0811
(7.8)
0.0835
(7.6)
Ja'Marr Chase 0.1339
0.0782
(7.6)
0.0952
(6.3)
0.0841
(7.0)
0.0836
(7.8)
Terry McLaurin 0.1585
0.0429
(12.1)
0.0886
(7.9)
0.0658
(9.7)
0.0602
(10.9)
Mark Andrews 0.2000
0.0952
(6.4)
0.1020
(6.6)
0.1014
(6.1)
0.1099
(5.8)
Brock Bowers 0.0446
0.0671
(5.3)
0.0769
(5.3)
0.0806
(7.0)
0.0731
(5.2)
Trey McBride 0.0180
0.0423
(5.4)
0.0732
(8.5)
0.0595
(7.5)
0.0592
(6.9)
Jalen McMillan 0.2162
0.0759
(7.4)
0.0714
(8.2)
0.1000
(6.2)
0.0752
(7.9)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Wilson 0.1130 0.0693 8.6
2 Calvin Ridley 0.1000 0.0625 6.0
3 DK Metcalf 0.1182 0.0758 5.9
4 Jordan Addison 0.0739 0.1429 5.6
5 Marvin Harrison Jr. 0.0692 0.1290 5.5
6 DJ Moore 0.0866 0.0612 5.2
7 Rome Odunze 0.0921 0.0556 4.9
8 Tutu Atwell 0.0660 0.0000 4.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jerry Jeudy 0.0833 0.0444 6.0
2 Tutu Atwell 0.0909 0.0000 5.8
3 Jordan Addison 0.0870 0.1429 5.3
4 Tee Higgins 0.0886 0.1370 5.0
5 Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.0667 0.1043 4.9
6 Rome Odunze 0.1017 0.0556 4.9
7 Zach Ertz 0.0500 0.1061 4.9
8 Jakobi Meyers 0.0789 0.0460 4.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quentin Johnston 0.0606 0.1455 6.9
2 Puka Nacua 0.0899 0.0380 6.5
3 CeeDee Lamb 0.0893 0.0594 6.0
4 Jakobi Meyers 0.0820 0.0460 5.9
5 Marvin Harrison Jr. 0.0698 0.1290 5.8
6 Tyler Boyd 0.0789 0.0000 5.0
7 Jerry Jeudy 0.0678 0.0444 4.8
8 Tyreek Hill 0.1009 0.0741 4.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quentin Johnston 0.0788 0.1455 5.6
2 Marvin Harrison Jr. 0.0769 0.1290 5.4
3 DJ Moore 0.0920 0.0612 5.1
4 Tyler Boyd 0.0822 0.0000 5.0
5 Calvin Ridley 0.0983 0.0625 5.0
6 Tutu Atwell 0.0690 0.0000 4.6
7 Puka Nacua 0.0760 0.0380 4.6
8 Jordan Addison 0.0909 0.1429 4.6