2024 Projection Accuracy

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Deshaun Watson 216
492
(276.1)
496
(280.0)
530
(314.0)
545
(328.6)
Trevor Lawrence 284
536
(252.1)
549
(265.0)
571
(287.0)
566
(282.4)
Mason Rudolph 228
74
(154.1)
33
(195.0)
40
(188.0)
44
(184.0)
Derek Carr 279
523
(244.2)
531
(252.0)
537
(258.0)
30
(249.0)
Spencer Rattler 228
67
(161.4)
58
(170.0)
31
(197.0)
67
(161.4)
Daniel Jones 341
490
(149.4)
423
(82.0)
468
(127.0)
494
(153.0)
Dak Prescott 286
550
(263.5)
551
(265.0)
561
(275.0)
572
(286.5)
Will Levis 301
549
(247.9)
550
(249.0)
529
(228.0)
513
(212.3)
Joe Flacco 248
65
(183.3)
138
(110.0)
61
(187.0)
49
(199.1)
Anthony Richardson 264
490
(225.6)
468
(204.0)
501
(237.0)
512
(248.2)
Tua Tagovailoa 399
517
(118.4)
524
(125.0)
541
(142.0)
545
(146.1)
Jalen Hurts 361
496
(134.6)
493
(132.0)
504
(143.0)
520
(159.2)
Mac Jones 262
71
(191.2)
32
(230.0)
37
(225.0)
47
(215.1)
Jameis Winston 296
70
(226.0)
146
(150.0)
51
(245.0)
60
(235.5)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Mullens 152 2 149.8
2 Drake Maye 482 338 143.5
3 Bryce Young 512 384 128.3
4 Malik Willis 165 54 110.6
5 Geno Smith 479 578 99.1
6 Joe Burrow 554 652 97.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 468 161 307.0
2 Jordan Love 559 425 134.0
3 Gardner Minshew 424 306 118.0
4 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 13 118 105.0
5 Bo Nix 466 567 101.0
6 Kirk Cousins 553 453 100.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Young 556 384 172.0
2 Andy Dalton 15 160 145.0
3 Jordan Love 544 425 119.0
4 Russell Wilson 429 336 93.0
5 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 30 118 88.0
6 Sam Howell 96 14 82.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Wilson 30 336 306.0
2 Bryce Young 531 384 147.4
3 Jordan Love 546 425 120.5
4 Andy Dalton 46 160 114.5
5 Gardner Minshew 413 306 107.3
6 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 30 118 88.0

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Geno Smith 0.7042
0.6636
(18.5)
0.6704
(14.5)
0.6508
(26.9)
0.6555
(24.6)
Caleb Williams 0.6246
0.6469
(17.4)
0.6367
(11.7)
0.6497
(18.0)
0.6506
(18.1)
Sam Darnold 0.6624
0.6210
(17.9)
0.6250
(15.7)
0.6190
(19.9)
0.6351
(11.5)
Joe Burrow 0.7055
0.6653
(20.7)
0.6751
(14.2)
0.6701
(18.6)
0.6703
(19.0)
C.J. Stroud 0.6316
0.6447
(11.5)
0.6459
(12.3)
0.6500
(13.5)
0.6510
(13.6)
Baker Mayfield 0.7140
0.6336
(41.0)
0.6684
(21.0)
0.6204
(49.5)
0.6318
(43.4)
Trevor Lawrence 0.6056
0.6499
(15.0)
0.6576
(17.2)
0.6497
(14.5)
0.6594
(17.0)
Jared Goff 0.7236
0.6710
(23.8)
0.6556
(32.0)
0.6701
(25.1)
0.6750
(22.9)
Anthony Richardson 0.4773
0.6373
(44.5)
0.5449
(20.1)
0.6387
(44.4)
0.6363
(43.6)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.7293
0.6730
(19.1)
0.6756
(18.0)
0.6802
(16.8)
0.6806
(17.0)
Aaron Rodgers 0.6301
0.6562
(20.2)
0.6459
(14.3)
0.6697
(27.1)
0.6607
(21.4)
Dorian Thompson-Robinson 0.5169
0.6556
(17.4)
0.6154
(12.6)
0.6556
(17.2)
0.6556
(17.1)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jayden Daniels 0.6230 0.6896 27.8
2 Spencer Rattler 0.6562 0.5702 21.5
3 Bo Nix 0.6234 0.6631 17.7
4 Josh Allen 0.6600 0.6356 15.9
5 Bryce Young 0.6354 0.6094 13.3
6 Jalen Hurts 0.6425 0.6870 13.0
7 Dak Prescott 0.6786 0.6469 11.5
8 Kyler Murray 0.6606 0.6876 10.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyler Murray 0.6455 0.6876 18.1
2 Jameis Winston 0.6575 0.6115 16.2
3 Drake Maye 0.6152 0.6657 14.1
4 Josh Allen 0.6526 0.6356 12.4
5 Jordan Love 0.6476 0.6306 10.9
6 Dak Prescott 0.6751 0.6469 10.6
7 Brock Purdy 0.6738 0.6593 10.5
8 Jalen Hurts 0.6552 0.6870 8.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jayden Daniels 0.6200 0.6896 30.1
2 Spencer Rattler 0.6774 0.5702 26.0
3 Bo Nix 0.6199 0.6631 20.6
4 Drake Maye 0.6208 0.6657 12.9
5 Jameis Winston 0.6471 0.6115 12.6
6 Brock Purdy 0.6791 0.6593 12.1
7 Jordan Love 0.6507 0.6306 11.5
8 Kyler Murray 0.6595 0.6876 11.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jayden Daniels 0.6229 0.6896 29.1
2 Spencer Rattler 0.6562 0.5702 21.0
3 Bo Nix 0.6240 0.6631 18.7
4 Jordan Love 0.6504 0.6306 11.0
5 Josh Allen 0.6516 0.6356 10.7
6 Jalen Hurts 0.6524 0.6870 10.3
7 Brock Purdy 0.6748 0.6593 9.8
8 Gardner Minshew 0.6271 0.6634 9.2

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Caleb Williams 10.0883
10.6785
(287.2)
11.1009
(559.6)
10.7737
(325.5)
10.9172
(499.6)
Deshaun Watson 8.3796
12.1158
(789.9)
10.7043
(498.5)
11.1125
(567.4)
11.2094
(624.2)
Sam Darnold 11.9640
10.7068
(728.3)
11.3000
(371.1)
11.2985
(420.6)
10.8309
(584.8)
Justin Herbert 11.6566
11.0136
(364.0)
10.8234
(428.5)
10.4514
(660.9)
10.8102
(396.3)
Lamar Jackson 13.2025
11.3250
(927.5)
11.5279
(801.8)
11.9861
(626.9)
11.7558
(657.3)
Trevor Lawrence 11.8895
10.8223
(325.6)
10.6205
(365.2)
10.9299
(302.7)
10.6712
(329.0)
Jordan Love 12.6455
11.2766
(615.4)
11.1740
(632.6)
11.0734
(713.3)
11.2390
(572.3)
Jared Goff 11.8692
10.7329
(655.2)
11.2187
(359.8)
11.1856
(425.7)
11.0203
(425.2)
Anthony Richardson 14.3968
10.8663
(953.0)
12.6863
(456.0)
10.7937
(979.2)
10.7588
(944.6)
Tua Tagovailoa 9.8522
11.5592
(649.5)
11.5932
(687.9)
11.7663
(721.3)
11.5065
(684.0)
Patrick Mahomes 10.0204
11.0202
(534.9)
11.0807
(606.2)
11.1839
(614.3)
11.1267
(677.6)
Brock Purdy 12.8800
12.2866
(306.1)
12.2725
(284.1)
11.7681
(554.2)
12.1250
(316.2)
Josh Allen 12.1531
10.8866
(650.0)
11.3662
(388.2)
11.2363
(494.1)
11.0361
(510.5)
Dorian Thompson-Robinson 7.2131
10.9741
(434.4)
10.8750
(430.1)
10.9741
(431.3)
10.9741
(450.9)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 11.2568 10.5897 343.3
2 Matthew Stafford 11.6955 11.0647 285.2
3 Gardner Minshew 10.9030 9.9163 277.7
4 Joe Burrow 11.1724 10.6913 262.0
5 Daniel Jones 10.4272 9.5833 260.7
6 Mac Jones 10.8085 9.7778 249.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Jones 10.9060 9.5833 445.3
2 Kirk Cousins 10.6971 11.5776 406.5
3 Jacoby Brissett 11.2357 8.6947 406.4
4 Kyler Murray 11.0780 10.3522 383.6
5 C.J. Stroud 11.6765 11.0923 301.8
6 Derek Carr 10.3107 11.3492 294.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Wilson 10.6333 11.5981 359.9
2 Kyler Murray 11.0678 10.3522 329.7
3 Jameis Winston 10.7879 11.7182 306.8
4 Drake Maye 11.1128 10.1156 301.2
5 Andy Dalton 11.3000 9.3302 298.2
6 Mason Rudolph 11.8750 10.4795 294.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 16.1002 8.6947 1201.9
2 Spencer Rattler 7.7048 10.1308 539.4
3 C.J. Stroud 11.9581 11.0923 492.5
4 Matthew Stafford 11.6137 11.0647 314.8
5 Drake Maye 9.1538 10.1156 304.8
6 Gardner Minshew 10.7747 9.9163 281.0

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jayden Daniels 0.0755
0.0482
(10.8)
0.0571
(9.0)
0.0549
(8.8)
0.0594
(7.7)
Geno Smith 0.0516
0.0626
(9.2)
0.0644
(7.2)
0.0671
(10.3)
0.0705
(11.0)
Deshaun Watson 0.0365
0.0660
(7.4)
0.0631
(5.7)
0.0638
(6.4)
0.0688
(7.0)
Sam Darnold 0.0970
0.0586
(18.3)
0.0765
(11.4)
0.0646
(16.4)
0.0637
(18.0)
Brock Purdy 0.0667
0.0761
(6.5)
0.0899
(10.4)
0.0841
(9.0)
0.0881
(9.8)
C.J. Stroud 0.0595
0.0769
(11.8)
0.0882
(15.1)
0.0742
(9.0)
0.0814
(11.7)
Baker Mayfield 0.1007
0.0687
(15.5)
0.0720
(16.6)
0.0708
(15.7)
0.0726
(16.0)
Lamar Jackson 0.1297
0.0734
(24.4)
0.0820
(22.8)
0.0801
(22.4)
0.0824
(22.4)
Jared Goff 0.0949
0.0661
(12.9)
0.0773
(9.7)
0.0696
(12.4)
0.0729
(11.8)
Bo Nix 0.0771
0.0551
(9.7)
0.0600
(9.9)
0.0566
(10.3)
0.0613
(8.9)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0663
0.0907
(17.0)
0.0833
(9.7)
0.0806
(9.7)
0.0828
(9.7)
Joe Burrow 0.0935
0.0726
(10.4)
0.0798
(9.2)
0.0718
(12.6)
0.0774
(10.4)
Josh Allen 0.0912
0.0667
(9.5)
0.0761
(7.5)
0.0687
(9.8)
0.0753
(7.6)
Matthew Stafford 0.0588
0.0666
(6.5)
0.0716
(6.4)
0.0718
(7.9)
0.0757
(8.8)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Caleb Williams 0.0694 0.0570 9.7
2 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 0.0701 0.0000 8.8
3 Spencer Rattler 0.0641 0.0308 8.7
4 Kirk Cousins 0.0728 0.0594 8.3
5 Mac Jones 0.0617 0.0468 5.2
6 Aaron Rodgers 0.0796 0.0761 4.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.0679 0.0211 7.5
2 Spencer Rattler 0.0606 0.0308 6.7
3 Caleb Williams 0.0692 0.0570 6.6
4 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0819 0.0653 6.5
5 Daniel Jones 0.0564 0.0370 6.5
6 Dak Prescott 0.0806 0.0595 6.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.0778 0.0211 9.5
2 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 0.0701 0.0000 8.5
3 Kirk Cousins 0.0735 0.0594 7.5
4 Jordan Love 0.0763 0.0933 6.2
5 Andy Dalton 0.1000 0.0660 5.8
6 Mason Rudolph 0.0833 0.0616 5.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.0916 0.0211 11.4
2 Caleb Williams 0.0730 0.0570 9.1
3 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 0.0701 0.0000 8.3
4 Kirk Cousins 0.0770 0.0594 8.0
5 Drake Maye 0.0455 0.0667 7.1
6 Dak Prescott 0.0792 0.0595 5.7

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Caleb Williams 0.0107
0.0258
(8.0)
0.0275
(8.4)
0.0254
(8.3)
0.0252
(8.0)
Justin Herbert 0.0060
0.0196
(6.5)
0.0206
(6.4)
0.0170
(5.6)
0.0182
(6.0)
Baker Mayfield 0.0281
0.0223
(3.7)
0.0232
(3.9)
0.0211
(3.9)
0.0211
(4.1)
Lamar Jackson 0.0084
0.0242
(7.1)
0.0237
(6.3)
0.0227
(6.8)
0.0229
(6.7)
Mason Rudolph 0.0395
0.0244
(3.6)
0.0303
(2.5)
0.0250
(3.3)
0.0273
(2.8)
Anthony Richardson 0.0455
0.0241
(5.8)
0.0363
(2.9)
0.0240
(5.7)
0.0223
(6.2)
Kirk Cousins 0.0353
0.0207
(7.0)
0.0217
(7.1)
0.0226
(5.8)
0.0195
(7.3)
Will Levis 0.0399
0.0228
(5.4)
0.0273
(4.4)
0.0208
(5.7)
0.0242
(4.8)
Joe Burrow 0.0138
0.0206
(3.9)
0.0202
(2.9)
0.0172
(2.2)
0.0198
(3.8)
Josh Allen 0.0124
0.0237
(5.1)
0.0239
(4.6)
0.0232
(5.2)
0.0248
(5.9)
Dorian Thompson-Robinson 0.0508
0.0220
(3.5)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0220
(3.4)
0.0220
(3.4)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jameis Winston 0.0271 0.0405 4.2
2 Gardner Minshew 0.0215 0.0327 3.7
3 Matthew Stafford 0.0232 0.0155 3.6
4 Jayden Daniels 0.0267 0.0187 3.4
5 Geno Smith 0.0211 0.0260 3.3
6 Jalen Hurts 0.0228 0.0139 2.9
7 Jacoby Brissett 0.0215 0.0062 2.3
8 Bo Nix 0.0260 0.0212 2.3
9 Russell Wilson 0.0224 0.0149 2.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matthew Stafford 0.0254 0.0155 4.1
2 Gardner Minshew 0.0236 0.0327 3.4
3 Geno Smith 0.0224 0.0260 3.2
4 Brock Purdy 0.0215 0.0264 3.1
5 Jacoby Brissett 0.0256 0.0062 2.8
6 Jordan Love 0.0215 0.0259 2.7
7 Jared Goff 0.0192 0.0223 2.7
8 Deshaun Watson 0.0282 0.0139 2.7
9 Aaron Rodgers 0.0165 0.0188 2.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Dalton 0.0000 0.0375 6.0
2 Geno Smith 0.0198 0.0260 3.5
3 Russell Wilson 0.0233 0.0149 2.9
4 Jayden Daniels 0.0246 0.0187 2.8
5 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0240 0.0175 2.6
6 C.J. Stroud 0.0179 0.0226 2.5
7 Jordan Love 0.0202 0.0259 2.4
8 Dak Prescott 0.0196 0.0280 2.4
9 Spencer Rattler 0.0323 0.0219 2.4

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.0379 0.0062 5.1
2 Matthew Stafford 0.0226 0.0155 3.6
3 Jalen Hurts 0.0233 0.0139 3.3
4 Jayden Daniels 0.0254 0.0187 3.1
5 Mac Jones 0.0192 0.0305 3.0
6 Andy Dalton 0.0198 0.0375 2.9
7 C.J. Stroud 0.0181 0.0226 2.5
8 Gardner Minshew 0.0249 0.0327 2.4
9 Sam Darnold 0.0266 0.0220 2.4

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Ty Chandler 56
157
(100.7)
120
(64.0)
150
(94.0)
147
(90.6)
Chase Brown 229
135
(94.0)
153
(76.0)
122
(107.0)
142
(86.6)
Gus Edwards 101
179
(78.3)
189
(88.0)
199
(98.0)
10
(91.0)
Jonathon Brooks 9
143
(134.3)
122
(113.0)
162
(153.0)
152
(143.1)
Kenneth Walker III 153
237
(83.6)
231
(78.0)
238
(85.0)
241
(87.9)
Rachaad White 144
212
(68.3)
215
(71.0)
223
(79.0)
235
(91.2)
Bucky Irving 207
103
(103.6)
114
(93.0)
94
(113.0)
116
(90.8)
Kareem Hunt 200
10
(190.0)
114
(86.0)
10
(190.0)
10
(190.0)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 192
73
(118.9)
124
(68.0)
69
(123.0)
102
(89.6)
Rico Dowdle 235
154
(81.2)
141
(94.0)
119
(116.0)
140
(95.0)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chuba Hubbard 138 250 112.3
2 Kyren Williams 218 316 98.5
3 Aaron Jones 161 255 94.0
4 Saquon Barkley 253 345 91.9
5 Tony Pollard 172 260 87.5
6 Tank Bigsby 83 168 85.4
7 Bijan Robinson 230 304 74.5
8 Cam Akers 34 104 70.2
9 Derrick Henry 255 325 70.0
10 D'Andre Swift 184 253 69.2

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyren Williams 242 316 74.0
2 Justin Fields 135 62 73.0
3 Trey Benson 130 63 67.0
4 Dameon Pierce 106 40 66.0
5 Josh Jacobs 238 301 63.0
6 Breece Hall 270 209 61.0
7 Dylan Laube 62 1 61.0
8 Jordan Mason 93 153 60.0
9 Jahmyr Gibbs 191 250 59.0
10 Dalvin Cook 66 8 58.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chuba Hubbard 135 250 115.0
2 Saquon Barkley 247 345 98.0
3 Tank Bigsby 72 168 96.0
4 Tony Pollard 174 260 86.0
5 Bijan Robinson 224 304 80.0
6 Derrick Henry 250 325 75.0
7 Cam Akers 32 104 72.0
8 D'Andre Swift 181 253 72.0
9 J.K. Dobbins 125 195 70.0
10 Jahmyr Gibbs 180 250 70.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 10 263 253.0
2 Joe Mixon 10 245 235.0
3 Cam Akers 10 104 94.0
4 Chuba Hubbard 156 250 93.7
5 Saquon Barkley 269 345 76.2
6 D'Andre Swift 178 253 74.7
7 Trey Benson 134 63 71.2
8 Kyren Williams 245 316 70.6
9 Tank Bigsby 102 168 66.5
10 Aaron Jones 189 255 65.7

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Dameon Pierce 7.3250
3.8157
(131.4)
4.1132
(121.6)
4.0000
(123.8)
4.2060
(115.8)
Jerome Ford 5.4327
4.1446
(110.5)
4.2090
(109.3)
3.9938
(125.8)
3.9301
(133.0)
Kyren Williams 4.1108
4.6589
(244.4)
4.4421
(159.4)
4.6976
(257.8)
4.5456
(208.0)
Baker Mayfield 6.3000
3.1465
(175.7)
3.4426
(161.1)
2.6852
(203.2)
3.3031
(166.4)
Kyler Murray 7.3333
5.5680
(120.1)
5.6634
(116.8)
5.3889
(133.8)
5.5250
(123.6)
Jahmyr Gibbs 5.6480
4.6062
(204.1)
4.7382
(184.2)
4.9944
(106.2)
4.6514
(193.3)
Drake Maye 7.7963
4.9887
(139.4)
3.9608
(197.8)
4.5833
(161.1)
3.7733
(205.2)
Bucky Irving 5.4203
4.3250
(180.1)
4.5351
(147.4)
4.1064
(224.6)
3.7573
(298.0)
Kareem Hunt 3.6400
4.6076
(238.6)
3.9912
(104.8)
4.6076
(239.3)
4.6076
(238.2)
Derrick Henry 5.9108
4.2192
(476.6)
5.2326
(164.2)
4.3960
(417.9)
4.4708
(395.3)
Breece Hall 4.1914
4.4617
(103.6)
4.6074
(123.1)
4.5957
(132.4)
4.5267
(116.8)
D'Andre Swift 3.7905
4.5250
(242.8)
4.1841
(143.3)
4.6022
(263.3)
4.5457
(247.6)
Emari Demercado 9.2917
4.3813
(112.4)
4.2222
(117.5)
4.6076
(106.9)
4.3596
(113.0)
Saquon Barkley 5.8116
4.1245
(504.4)
5.0201
(213.4)
4.1984
(477.6)
4.1949
(480.6)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenneth Walker III 4.3402 3.7451 125.5
2 Chuba Hubbard 4.0625 4.7800 123.1
3 Aaron Jones 4.6932 4.4627 116.2
4 J.K. Dobbins 5.0094 4.6410 115.8
5 Rhamondre Stevenson 4.1938 3.8696 113.7
6 Tony Pollard 4.3061 4.1500 99.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rhamondre Stevenson 4.2088 3.8696 106.0
2 Taysom Hill 4.3000 7.1282 103.6
3 Cooper Rush 4.3333 0.6923 99.2
4 Kenneth Walker III 4.1991 3.7451 95.9
5 Joe Mixon 4.3319 4.1469 87.7
6 Gus Edwards 4.2857 3.6139 85.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 De'Von Achane 5.4942 4.4680 254.8
2 Lamar Jackson 5.4097 6.5827 131.2
3 Cooper Rush 5.0000 0.6923 118.0
4 Jordan Mason 4.1848 5.1569 113.7
5 Chuba Hubbard 4.1037 4.7800 111.8
6 Kenneth Walker III 4.2059 3.7451 105.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 4.6076 3.9658 227.6
2 De'Von Achane 5.1834 4.4680 190.6
3 Joe Mixon 4.6076 4.1469 167.6
4 Tank Bigsby 3.3803 4.5595 160.6
5 Chuba Hubbard 3.9795 4.7800 144.2
6 Gus Edwards 4.6076 3.6139 122.9

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Josh Jacobs 0.0498
0.0277
(5.7)
0.0336
(4.0)
0.0302
(3.9)
0.0337
(3.7)
James Cook 0.0773
0.0212
(11.0)
0.0329
(8.6)
0.0184
(10.8)
0.0220
(10.7)
Zach Charbonnet 0.0593
0.0286
(3.7)
0.0283
(3.8)
0.0259
(3.6)
0.0247
(4.2)
Tony Pollard 0.0192
0.0296
(3.5)
0.0270
(2.8)
0.0287
(4.2)
0.0289
(3.5)
Jahmyr Gibbs 0.0640
0.0439
(4.3)
0.0366
(6.1)
0.0444
(3.3)
0.0415
(4.7)
Taysom Hill 0.1538
0.0530
(3.8)
0.0500
(3.9)
0.0383
(4.2)
0.0383
(4.4)
Aaron Jones 0.0196
0.0280
(2.9)
0.0296
(3.3)
0.0248
(3.0)
0.0291
(3.4)
Bijan Robinson 0.0461
0.0336
(2.9)
0.0324
(3.3)
0.0312
(2.5)
0.0304
(3.6)
Breece Hall 0.0239
0.0340
(2.8)
0.0333
(2.6)
0.0298
(2.6)
0.0325
(2.6)
J.K. Dobbins 0.0462
0.0263
(3.3)
0.0299
(2.6)
0.0240
(3.0)
0.0292
(2.6)
Josh Allen 0.1176
0.0912
(2.4)
0.0811
(3.4)
0.0860
(2.6)
0.0819
(3.3)
Rico Dowdle 0.0085
0.0293
(5.6)
0.0284
(5.4)
0.0252
(5.5)
0.0257
(4.9)
Jordan Mason 0.0196
0.0382
(3.3)
0.0430
(4.0)
0.0326
(3.0)
0.0379
(3.4)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Robinson 0.0235 0.0428 3.0
2 Justin Fields 0.0314 0.0806 2.9
3 Lamar Jackson 0.0450 0.0288 2.7
4 Joe Mixon 0.0312 0.0449 2.6
5 Bucky Irving 0.0232 0.0386 2.6
6 Sam Darnold 0.0491 0.0149 2.5
7 Tyler Allgeier 0.0355 0.0219 2.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ameer Abdullah 0.0909 0.0303 4.2
2 Jalen Hurts 0.0662 0.0933 3.6
3 Saquon Barkley 0.0268 0.0377 2.8
4 Jayden Daniels 0.0548 0.0405 2.5
5 David Montgomery 0.0485 0.0649 2.5
6 Najee Harris 0.0289 0.0228 2.4
7 Carson Steele 0.0392 0.0000 2.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Mixon 0.0261 0.0449 3.0
2 Jalen Hurts 0.0683 0.0933 2.8
3 D'Andre Swift 0.0276 0.0237 2.6
4 De'Von Achane 0.0349 0.0296 2.4
5 Bucky Irving 0.0213 0.0386 2.2
6 Brian Robinson 0.0245 0.0428 2.2
7 Tyler Allgeier 0.0310 0.0219 2.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 0.0383 0.0228 5.1
2 De'Von Achane 0.0411 0.0296 3.1
3 Chuba Hubbard 0.0256 0.0400 2.7
4 Sam Darnold 0.0472 0.0149 2.4
5 Cam Akers 0.0383 0.0192 2.4
6 David Montgomery 0.0483 0.0649 2.4
7 Carson Steele 0.0383 0.0000 2.4

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jauan Jennings 43 113 69.7
2 Brock Bowers 86 153 67.5
3 Brandon Aiyuk 114 47 66.6
4 Jonnu Smith 46 111 65.1
5 Wan'Dale Robinson 87 140 53.2
6 Jerry Jeudy 98 145 47.4
7 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 14 60 45.9
8 Rashid Shaheed 86 41 45.2
9 Christian Watson 95 53 41.9
10 A.J. Brown 138 97 41.5

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Keenan Allen 0.6837 0.5785 15.0
2 Marvin Harrison Jr. 0.6373 0.5345 14.1
3 De'Von Achane 0.7334 0.8966 12.6
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.7173 0.8156 11.2
5 Wan'Dale Robinson 0.7200 0.6643 10.4
6 Jonnu Smith 0.6841 0.7928 10.0
7 Pat Freiermuth 0.6928 0.8333 9.5
8 George Kittle 0.7140 0.8298 9.1
9 CeeDee Lamb 0.7054 0.6645 9.1
10 Terry McLaurin 0.6060 0.7009 8.9

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Zay Flowers 14.3108
12.4138
(205.1)
11.5176
(301.6)
11.6463
(287.6)
12.1486
(236.8)
Christian Watson 21.3793
15.2550
(317.8)
13.7193
(395.7)
14.6078
(349.1)
14.5177
(357.3)
Alec Pierce 22.2703
14.1044
(554.6)
15.9600
(422.1)
14.8667
(498.0)
15.0456
(490.2)
Travis Kelce 8.4845
10.1159
(234.1)
10.5476
(300.1)
11.4458
(418.5)
10.7964
(323.6)
Garrett Wilson 10.9307
14.1615
(517.4)
12.6966
(301.7)
12.5000
(270.2)
12.5053
(261.1)
Keon Coleman 19.1724
13.8285
(297.3)
13.3488
(320.9)
13.5455
(310.2)
13.3584
(324.5)
Rashod Bateman 16.8000
13.1612
(252.7)
12.7609
(276.9)
12.4419
(300.4)
13.0931
(258.2)
Malik Nabers 11.0459
13.0948
(370.2)
11.8387
(167.6)
13.1548
(390.1)
13.2599
(396.9)
Wan'Dale Robinson 7.5161
9.1440
(245.9)
9.2716
(272.8)
9.0172
(236.1)
9.2897
(265.2)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 21.6316
16.2989
(229.0)
15.1111
(278.4)
15.8125
(247.9)
15.6566
(257.6)
DJ Moore 9.8571
13.5426
(534.0)
13.5256
(540.6)
13.5067
(536.9)
13.7582
(563.1)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Jefferson 12.7947 14.8835 301.8
2 Tee Higgins 14.7607 12.4795 262.7
3 Jameson Williams 14.3963 17.2586 248.7
4 Calvin Ridley 13.7000 15.8906 247.4
5 Jayden Reed 12.1637 15.5818 246.7
6 Cooper Kupp 12.7593 10.5970 229.1
7 Tyreek Hill 13.5709 11.8395 228.8
8 Jerry Jeudy 14.9837 13.6556 211.3
9 Jermaine Burton 11.6838 26.7500 209.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 13.7593 11.8395 259.9
2 Calvin Austin III 10.7000 15.2222 251.1
3 Jayden Reed 12.4789 15.5818 218.2
4 Jake Ferguson 10.4559 8.3729 195.7
5 Jermaine Burton 12.6364 26.7500 194.9
6 Mike Evans 15.1216 13.5676 192.2
7 Darnell Mooney 13.5000 15.5000 191.5
8 Ashton Dulin 11.3333 33.5000 175.8
9 Chuba Hubbard 6.9737 3.9767 172.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 14.4771 11.8395 347.2
2 Jameson Williams 13.7963 17.2586 298.2
3 Khalil Shakir 13.5965 10.8026 297.9
4 Brian Thomas Jr. 12.4909 14.7356 273.9
5 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 11.1000 15.5312 254.7
6 Calvin Ridley 13.6533 15.8906 246.2
7 Amon-Ra St. Brown 12.4579 10.9826 234.2
8 Cooper Kupp 12.7215 10.5970 231.0
9 A.J. Brown 13.5684 16.1045 228.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jameson Williams 14.0489 17.2586 281.1
2 Calvin Ridley 13.6938 15.8906 249.1
3 Khalil Shakir 13.1081 10.8026 242.6
4 Jayden Reed 12.4165 15.5818 228.3
5 Tee Higgins 14.3073 12.4795 212.4
6 Jermaine Burton 12.0960 26.7500 203.5
7 Calvin Austin III 11.6024 15.2222 202.9
8 Cooper Kupp 12.3492 10.5970 187.3
9 Jake Ferguson 10.4173 8.3729 186.2

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Ray-Ray McCloud 0.0161
0.0630
(5.0)
0.0833
(6.0)
0.0645
(4.9)
0.0809
(6.0)
Brandon Aiyuk 0.0000
0.0918
(4.8)
0.0972
(4.6)
0.0909
(4.7)
0.0957
(4.7)
Alec Pierce 0.1892
0.0714
(7.4)
0.1200
(4.7)
0.0667
(7.9)
0.0830
(7.0)
Travis Kelce 0.0309
0.0857
(8.7)
0.0833
(7.2)
0.0843
(8.2)
0.0844
(7.7)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine 0.2812
0.0723
(11.9)
0.1154
(9.9)
0.1000
(10.4)
0.0755
(12.1)
Rashod Bateman 0.2000
0.0584
(9.4)
0.0870
(8.0)
0.0698
(8.8)
0.0758
(8.6)
Jake Ferguson 0.0000
0.0826
(8.0)
0.0735
(6.5)
0.0811
(7.7)
0.0835
(7.5)
Ja'Marr Chase 0.1339
0.0782
(7.8)
0.0952
(6.5)
0.0841
(7.2)
0.0836
(8.0)
Terry McLaurin 0.1585
0.0429
(12.3)
0.0886
(8.0)
0.0658
(9.9)
0.0602
(11.0)
Mark Andrews 0.2000
0.0952
(6.5)
0.1020
(6.7)
0.1014
(6.2)
0.1099
(5.9)
Brock Bowers 0.0446
0.0671
(5.1)
0.0769
(5.2)
0.0806
(6.8)
0.0731
(5.0)
Trey McBride 0.0180
0.0423
(5.2)
0.0732
(8.3)
0.0595
(7.3)
0.0592
(6.7)
Jalen McMillan 0.2162
0.0759
(7.5)
0.0714
(8.3)
0.1000
(6.2)
0.0752
(7.9)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Wilson 0.1130 0.0693 8.4
2 Calvin Ridley 0.1000 0.0625 5.8
3 DK Metcalf 0.1182 0.0758 5.8
4 Jordan Addison 0.0739 0.1429 5.8
5 Marvin Harrison Jr. 0.0692 0.1290 5.7
6 DJ Moore 0.0866 0.0612 5.1
7 Rome Odunze 0.0921 0.0556 4.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jerry Jeudy 0.0833 0.0444 5.9
2 Tutu Atwell 0.0909 0.0000 5.7
3 Jordan Addison 0.0870 0.1429 5.4
4 Tee Higgins 0.0886 0.1370 5.1
5 Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.0667 0.1043 5.1
6 Zach Ertz 0.0500 0.1061 5.0
7 Rome Odunze 0.1017 0.0556 4.8

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quentin Johnston 0.0606 0.1455 6.9
2 Puka Nacua 0.0899 0.0380 6.4
3 Marvin Harrison Jr. 0.0698 0.1290 5.9
4 CeeDee Lamb 0.0893 0.0594 5.8
5 Jakobi Meyers 0.0820 0.0460 5.7
6 Tyler Boyd 0.0789 0.0000 5.0
7 Jerry Jeudy 0.0678 0.0444 4.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quentin Johnston 0.0788 0.1455 5.7
2 Marvin Harrison Jr. 0.0769 0.1290 5.5
3 DJ Moore 0.0920 0.0612 4.9
4 Tyler Boyd 0.0809 0.0000 4.9
5 Calvin Ridley 0.0983 0.0625 4.8
6 Jordan Addison 0.0909 0.1429 4.7
7 Tutu Atwell 0.0690 0.0000 4.5