2022 Projection Accuracy

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Justin Fields 318
517
(199.4)
466
(148.0)
468
(150.0)
505
(186.7)
Ryan Tannehill 325
513
(188.2)
403
(78.0)
506
(181.0)
30
(295.0)
Lamar Jackson 326
481
(154.6)
480
(154.0)
459
(133.0)
520
(194.5)
Kyler Murray 390
567
(176.7)
561
(171.0)
534
(144.0)
570
(180.5)
Dak Prescott 394
599
(205.0)
514
(120.0)
554
(160.0)
594
(199.6)
Tua Tagovailoa 400
568
(168.5)
549
(149.0)
534
(134.0)
575
(175.2)
Zach Wilson 242
454
(212.5)
509
(267.0)
563
(321.0)
453
(211.0)
Jimmy Garoppolo 308
30
(278.2)
496
(188.0)
31
(277.0)
32
(276.0)
Carson Wentz 276
527
(250.8)
383
(107.0)
531
(255.0)
538
(262.3)
Andy Dalton 378
66
(312.3)
194
(184.0)
180
(198.0)
58
(320.3)
Taylor Heinicke 259
16
(242.6)
73
(186.0)
59
(200.0)
30
(229.0)
Matthew Stafford 303
577
(273.8)
588
(285.0)
580
(277.0)
587
(283.7)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trey Lance 458 31 427.4
2 Geno Smith 342 572 230.4
3 Baker Mayfield 563 335 227.8
4 Brock Purdy 30 170 140.0
5 Justin Herbert 579 699 120.2
6 Sam Darnold 30 140 110.0
7 Colt McCoy 30 132 102.0
8 Mac Jones 544 442 101.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Mariota 476 300 176.0
2 Joe Flacco 34 191 157.0
3 Matt Ryan 608 461 147.0
4 Tom Brady 625 733 108.0
5 Nick Foles 133 42 91.0
6 Derek Carr 589 502 87.0
7 Brock Purdy 93 170 77.0
8 Kirk Cousins 571 643 72.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trey Lance 467 31 436.0
2 Geno Smith 325 572 247.0
3 Baker Mayfield 495 335 160.0
4 Brock Purdy 30 170 140.0
5 Joe Flacco 68 191 123.0
6 Tom Brady 622 733 111.0
7 Mac Jones 542 442 100.0
8 Kirk Cousins 549 643 94.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tom Brady 30 733 703.0
2 Derek Carr 30 502 472.0
3 Russell Wilson 30 483 453.0
4 Trey Lance 468 31 437.3
5 Matt Ryan 30 461 431.0
6 Geno Smith 350 572 222.1
7 Baker Mayfield 550 335 214.9
8 Kenny Pickett 190 389 199.0

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Geno Smith 0.6976
0.6455
(30.8)
0.6433
(31.2)
0.6308
(39.5)
0.6362
(35.9)
Russell Wilson 0.6046
0.6305
(11.7)
0.6525
(23.0)
0.6512
(21.4)
0.6441
(18.4)
Justin Herbert 0.6824
0.6538
(21.2)
0.6647
(12.5)
0.6598
(17.4)
0.6642
(13.7)
Trevor Lawrence 0.6627
0.6355
(16.9)
0.6112
(30.2)
0.6101
(32.1)
0.6327
(18.3)
Anthony Brown 0.4490
0.6441
(9.5)
0.6000
(7.4)
0.6441
(9.4)
0.6441
(9.5)
Derek Carr 0.6076
0.6655
(28.2)
0.6723
(32.4)
0.6703
(30.3)
0.6441
(17.6)
Daniel Jones 0.6716
0.6342
(18.5)
0.6400
(15.0)
0.6298
(20.9)
0.6266
(21.9)
Jalen Hurts 0.6652
0.6154
(23.7)
0.6219
(20.1)
0.6203
(21.7)
0.6207
(21.1)
Zach Wilson 0.5455
0.6198
(17.6)
0.6169
(17.2)
0.5897
(10.1)
0.6049
(14.0)
Davis Mills 0.6096
0.6463
(16.7)
0.6333
(11.2)
0.6508
(18.6)
0.6538
(20.5)
Andy Dalton 0.6667
0.6408
(10.4)
0.6289
(14.4)
0.6278
(15.6)
0.6308
(14.1)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0.6424 0.6713 19.8
2 Joe Burrow 0.6678 0.6832 10.4
3 Joe Flacco 0.6292 0.5759 9.8
4 Matt Ryan 0.6513 0.6703 9.5
5 Baker Mayfield 0.6285 0.6000 8.9
6 Kenny Pickett 0.6112 0.6298 7.9
7 Sam Darnold 0.6441 0.5857 7.9
8 Lamar Jackson 0.6488 0.6227 7.9
9 Justin Fields 0.6297 0.6038 7.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mac Jones 0.6856 0.6516 14.9
2 Justin Fields 0.5665 0.6038 11.9
3 Baker Mayfield 0.6358 0.6000 11.9
4 Aaron Rodgers 0.6661 0.6458 10.9
5 Joe Flacco 0.6176 0.5759 7.9
6 Skylar Thompson 0.5079 0.5714 6.7
7 Malik Willis 0.6180 0.5082 6.7
8 Gardner Minshew 0.6667 0.5789 6.6
9 Joe Burrow 0.6725 0.6832 6.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 0.6802 0.6458 17.4
2 Patrick Mahomes 0.6596 0.6713 9.1
3 Josh Allen 0.6502 0.6332 8.4
4 Trace McSorley 0.6441 0.5422 8.3
5 Jacoby Brissett 0.6205 0.6396 7.9
6 Lamar Jackson 0.6492 0.6227 7.9
7 Joe Flacco 0.6176 0.5759 7.5
8 Skylar Thompson 0.6441 0.5714 7.4
9 Matthew Stafford 0.6603 0.6799 6.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tom Brady 0.6441 0.6685 18.9
2 Aaron Rodgers 0.6747 0.6458 14.9
3 Matt Ryan 0.6441 0.6703 12.7
4 Patrick Mahomes 0.6588 0.6713 9.0
5 Baker Mayfield 0.6265 0.6000 8.4
6 Trace McSorley 0.6441 0.5422 8.3
7 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.6469 0.6721 8.2
8 Skylar Thompson 0.6441 0.5714 7.5
9 Lamar Jackson 0.6469 0.6227 7.4

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Sam Darnold 13.9390
10.9863
(428.7)
10.9612
(443.7)
10.7812
(474.7)
18.7582
(630.8)
Kyler Murray 9.1429
11.0474
(700.1)
10.5407
(470.4)
11.1844
(705.3)
11.0826
(634.2)
Jared Goff 11.6178
10.7550
(570.8)
11.1042
(413.9)
10.7600
(640.4)
10.5735
(797.1)
Gardner Minshew 15.0682
11.4960
(279.8)
10.9074
(330.8)
10.3889
(373.3)
10.7656
(350.8)
Tua Tagovailoa 13.6988
10.5455
(1305.1)
12.1813
(683.6)
10.9193
(1205.1)
10.6196
(1357.1)
Zach Wilson 12.7879
10.9862
(462.5)
11.0478
(467.5)
10.6747
(567.8)
10.9051
(531.5)
Patrick Mahomes 12.0690
11.6565
(338.3)
11.5250
(476.6)
11.5235
(504.5)
11.5893
(514.0)
Joe Burrow 10.8092
11.4304
(310.1)
11.4479
(271.0)
11.4677
(257.8)
11.8368
(432.7)
Matt Ryan 9.8932
11.1119
(511.3)
10.8366
(346.6)
10.9178
(364.9)
10.9863
(359.4)
Tom Brady 9.5796
10.7094
(747.8)
10.4091
(467.6)
11.1918
(1010.9)
10.9863
(801.3)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Herbert 11.2495 9.9350 842.2
2 Josh Allen 11.1087 11.9304 528.0
3 Ryan Tannehill 10.7889 11.9623 417.0
4 Kenny Pickett 10.9902 9.8122 415.6
5 Derek Carr 10.8711 11.5475 394.6
6 Daniel Jones 11.0529 10.1104 393.1
7 Matthew Stafford 11.4133 10.1311 355.3
8 Andy Dalton 10.7078 11.3929 300.3
9 Colt McCoy 10.9863 8.6667 291.7
10 Joe Flacco 11.0517 9.5545 265.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 11.9351 10.7318 578.7
2 Derek Carr 10.6894 11.5475 526.9
3 Trevor Lawrence 11.5562 10.6279 430.3
4 Kirk Cousins 11.5296 10.7241 394.8
5 Daniel Jones 11.0298 10.1104 343.5
6 Carson Wentz 11.5191 10.2035 310.3
7 Colt McCoy 11.0476 8.6667 289.0
8 Trace McSorley 12.7419 9.1556 281.8
9 Marcus Mariota 11.3300 12.0598 276.4
10 Teddy Bridgewater 10.6667 13.9388 273.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Herbert 11.2230 9.9350 737.4
2 Josh Allen 10.9141 11.9304 708.4
3 Kenny Pickett 11.4628 9.8122 551.4
4 Matthew Stafford 11.8068 10.1311 437.1
5 Ryan Tannehill 10.9132 11.9623 416.7
6 Kirk Cousins 11.4946 10.7241 345.5
7 Joe Flacco 11.5714 9.5545 340.7
8 Colt McCoy 11.0000 8.6667 277.2
9 Teddy Bridgewater 10.6857 13.9388 275.4
10 Baker Mayfield 11.8079 10.7612 272.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Herbert 11.2738 9.9350 716.6
2 Russell Wilson 10.9863 12.0685 674.1
3 Kenny Pickett 11.7851 9.8122 645.5
4 Geno Smith 12.1078 10.7318 607.7
5 Josh Allen 11.2917 11.9304 539.9
6 Derek Carr 10.9863 11.5475 439.2
7 Ryan Tannehill 10.9863 11.9623 419.1
8 Marcus Mariota 10.9992 12.0598 412.2
9 Matthew Stafford 11.6970 10.1311 379.5
10 Aaron Rodgers 11.4782 10.5571 329.3

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Justin Fields 0.0885
0.0549
(12.8)
0.0720
(7.1)
0.0605
(11.7)
0.0597
(11.1)
Justin Herbert 0.0524
0.0896
(21.3)
0.0664
(5.7)
0.0839
(16.0)
0.0819
(16.3)
Derek Carr 0.0787
0.0705
(7.4)
0.0707
(6.9)
0.0695
(8.9)
0.0657
(9.6)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.0965
0.0696
(13.4)
0.0797
(9.1)
0.0663
(15.5)
0.0677
(14.0)
Marcus Mariota 0.0815
0.0522
(10.8)
0.0606
(8.0)
0.0632
(8.1)
0.0600
(8.3)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0943
0.0908
(6.6)
0.0900
(6.5)
0.0864
(10.7)
0.0862
(9.3)
Josh Allen 0.0975
0.0903
(7.9)
0.0942
(5.2)
0.0884
(10.1)
0.0887
(8.5)
Tom Brady 0.0510
0.0802
(16.5)
0.0718
(11.0)
0.0911
(23.1)
0.0657
(6.2)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 0.0567 0.0752 14.4
2 Russell Wilson 0.0865 0.0548 12.1
3 Brock Purdy 0.0657 0.1140 9.3
4 Matt Ryan 0.0703 0.0453 8.5
5 Matthew Stafford 0.0829 0.0485 8.4
6 Jared Goff 0.0688 0.0759 8.1
7 Kenny Pickett 0.0547 0.0286 7.6
8 Dak Prescott 0.0780 0.0881 6.6
9 Davis Mills 0.0512 0.0582 6.6
10 Aaron Rodgers 0.0931 0.0743 6.6

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 0.0630 0.0743 9.2
2 Daniel Jones 0.0685 0.0473 7.2
3 Colt McCoy 0.0714 0.0111 7.2
4 Ryan Tannehill 0.0888 0.0613 7.0
5 Russell Wilson 0.0473 0.0548 6.4
6 Mac Jones 0.0680 0.0486 6.0
7 Trace McSorley 0.0645 0.0000 4.9
8 Sam Darnold 0.0583 0.0854 4.6
9 Andy Dalton 0.0656 0.0714 4.4
10 Jacoby Brissett 0.0683 0.0508 4.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenny Pickett 0.0691 0.0286 12.4
2 Geno Smith 0.0634 0.0752 11.7
3 Russell Wilson 0.0863 0.0548 11.1
4 Brock Purdy 0.0657 0.1140 9.7
5 Joe Burrow 0.0775 0.0845 9.5
6 Jared Goff 0.0686 0.0759 9.4
7 Matthew Stafford 0.0862 0.0485 8.8
8 Matt Ryan 0.0680 0.0453 6.5
9 Trevor Lawrence 0.0621 0.0646 6.5
10 Taylor Heinicke 0.1081 0.0745 6.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenny Pickett 0.0676 0.0286 12.8
2 Matthew Stafford 0.0854 0.0485 9.3
3 Brock Purdy 0.0657 0.1140 9.3
4 Jared Goff 0.0671 0.0759 8.8
5 Matt Ryan 0.0657 0.0453 6.6
6 Mac Jones 0.0693 0.0486 6.4
7 Colt McCoy 0.0657 0.0111 6.4
8 Geno Smith 0.0705 0.0752 6.2
9 Joe Burrow 0.0810 0.0845 5.9
10 Trevor Lawrence 0.0608 0.0646 5.9

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Justin Herbert 0.0143
0.0214
(4.9)
0.0191
(3.0)
0.0222
(5.6)
0.0213
(4.2)
Trevor Lawrence 0.0137
0.0255
(6.9)
0.0253
(6.5)
0.0271
(7.9)
0.0239
(5.4)
Jared Goff 0.0119
0.0206
(5.0)
0.0236
(6.5)
0.0242
(7.3)
0.0221
(5.4)
Dak Prescott 0.0381
0.0194
(7.4)
0.0214
(6.8)
0.0199
(7.1)
0.0197
(7.6)
Daniel Jones 0.0106
0.0223
(5.5)
0.0267
(7.3)
0.0262
(7.4)
0.0233
(5.5)
Derek Carr 0.0279
0.0216
(3.2)
0.0204
(4.1)
0.0197
(4.0)
0.0229
(3.0)
Jalen Hurts 0.0130
0.0255
(5.7)
0.0211
(3.5)
0.0270
(6.5)
0.0255
(5.2)
Jimmy Garoppolo 0.0130
0.0302
(5.3)
0.0262
(3.9)
0.0323
(6.0)
0.0344
(6.3)
Aaron Rodgers 0.0221
0.0134
(4.8)
0.0164
(3.4)
0.0092
(6.9)
0.0127
(5.7)
Tom Brady 0.0123
0.0188
(4.8)
0.0160
(2.3)
0.0177
(4.1)
0.0229
(7.1)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carson Wentz 0.0196 0.0326 3.6
2 Davis Mills 0.0243 0.0313 3.4
3 Andy Dalton 0.0320 0.0238 3.1
4 Nick Foles 0.0224 0.0952 3.1
5 Matt Ryan 0.0221 0.0282 2.9
6 Ryan Tannehill 0.0271 0.0185 2.8
7 Trace McSorley 0.0301 0.0602 2.5
8 Kirk Cousins 0.0181 0.0218 2.4
9 Teddy Bridgewater 0.0208 0.0506 2.4
10 Lamar Jackson 0.0287 0.0215 2.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenny Pickett 0.0317 0.0231 3.1
2 Justin Fields 0.0258 0.0346 3.0
3 Jacoby Brissett 0.0245 0.0163 2.8
4 Geno Smith 0.0247 0.0192 2.8
5 Nick Foles 0.0301 0.0952 2.8
6 Ryan Tannehill 0.0273 0.0185 2.7
7 Brett Rypien 0.0167 0.0455 2.6
8 Kyle Allen 0.0192 0.0513 2.5
9 Joe Flacco 0.0294 0.0157 2.5
10 Josh Allen 0.0211 0.0247 2.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carson Wentz 0.0207 0.0326 3.2
2 Trace McSorley 0.0229 0.0602 3.1
3 Davis Mills 0.0248 0.0313 3.0
4 Taylor Heinicke 0.0339 0.0232 2.8
5 Matt Ryan 0.0224 0.0282 2.6
6 Kenny Pickett 0.0296 0.0231 2.6
7 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0262 0.0200 2.5
8 Russell Wilson 0.0174 0.0228 2.5
9 Teddy Bridgewater 0.0189 0.0506 2.5
10 Kyle Allen 0.0229 0.0513 2.2

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 0.0280 0.0192 4.4
2 Sam Darnold 0.0480 0.0214 3.6
3 Carson Wentz 0.0215 0.0326 3.3
4 Trace McSorley 0.0229 0.0602 3.2
5 Nick Foles 0.0229 0.0952 3.1
6 Davis Mills 0.0262 0.0313 2.9
7 Matt Ryan 0.0229 0.0282 2.9
8 Jacoby Brissett 0.0250 0.0163 2.8
9 Teddy Bridgewater 0.0229 0.0506 2.3
10 Justin Fields 0.0287 0.0346 2.2

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Josh Jacobs 340
211
(129.1)
284
(56.0)
222
(118.0)
225
(115.3)
Jonathan Taylor 192
311
(118.7)
317
(125.0)
302
(110.0)
327
(134.7)
D'Andre Swift 99
197
(98.2)
222
(123.0)
201
(102.0)
220
(121.1)
Joe Mixon 210
271
(60.9)
304
(94.0)
292
(82.0)
10
(200.0)
Breece Hall 80
238
(158.0)
271
(191.0)
248
(168.0)
219
(139.0)
Latavius Murray 171
10
(161.0)
100
(71.0)
10
(161.0)
10
(161.0)
Jeff Wilson 176
45
(131.3)
95
(81.0)
55
(121.0)
10
(166.0)
J.K. Dobbins 92
199
(106.7)
251
(159.0)
169
(77.0)
204
(112.1)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jamaal Williams 144 262 118.5
2 D'Onta Foreman 86 203 117.4
3 Isiah Pacheco 57 170 113.3
4 Tyler Allgeier 99 210 110.7
5 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 172 71 100.7
6 Kenyan Drake 12 109 96.7
7 Brian Robinson 116 205 89.2
8 Kenneth Walker III 150 228 77.7
9 Saquon Barkley 223 295 72.4
10 Taysom Hill 26 96 69.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Boone 186 24 162.0
2 Melvin Gordon 249 90 159.0
3 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 215 71 144.0
4 Khalil Herbert 209 129 80.0
5 Leonard Fournette 266 189 77.0
6 Trey Sermon 79 2 77.0
7 Lamar Jackson 179 112 67.0
8 Jordan Mason 108 43 65.0
9 Tyler Allgeier 145 210 65.0
10 Travis Etienne 158 220 62.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Allgeier 72 210 138.0
2 D'Onta Foreman 78 203 125.0
3 Jamaal Williams 146 262 116.0
4 Isiah Pacheco 66 170 104.0
5 Brian Robinson 102 205 103.0
6 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 174 71 103.0
7 Taysom Hill 0 96 96.0
8 Nick Chubb 220 302 82.0
9 Melvin Gordon 168 90 78.0
10 Kenneth Walker III 152 228 76.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Chubb 10 302 292.0
2 Najee Harris 10 272 262.0
3 Dalvin Cook 10 264 254.0
4 Jamaal Williams 10 262 252.0
5 Miles Sanders 10 259 249.0
6 Ezekiel Elliott 10 231 221.0
7 D'Onta Foreman 10 203 193.0
8 Leonard Fournette 10 189 179.0
9 Cam Akers 10 188 178.0
10 Cordarrelle Patterson 10 144 134.0

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Leonard Fournette 3.5344
4.2754
(169.0)
3.9323
(110.8)
4.4076
(179.0)
4.6220
(212.3)
James Cook 5.6966
4.3068
(110.1)
4.4095
(97.8)
4.2955
(118.1)
4.3190
(119.4)
Justin Fields 7.1437
5.7850
(192.9)
6.3295
(100.1)
5.8972
(187.6)
5.5303
(252.4)
Josh Jacobs 4.8618
4.1944
(174.9)
4.1937
(163.1)
4.0045
(266.3)
4.1989
(213.2)
Tyler Allgeier 4.9286
4.1249
(136.7)
4.1034
(133.7)
4.4028
(94.8)
3.7547
(239.0)
Khalil Herbert 5.6667
4.3012
(156.4)
4.3158
(150.0)
4.0104
(204.1)
3.6066
(261.1)
D'Andre Swift 5.4747
4.2181
(109.3)
4.2523
(102.4)
4.2090
(118.0)
4.2322
(119.5)
Jalen Hurts 4.6061
5.4654
(167.0)
5.2375
(135.3)
5.6107
(178.0)
5.3451
(127.9)
Ezekiel Elliott 3.7922
4.1869
(126.5)
4.1872
(134.7)
4.3013
(134.7)
4.6220
(200.0)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 4.1144 3.8015 126.7
2 Aaron Jones 4.5521 5.2629 118.8
3 Rhamondre Stevenson 4.2559 4.9524 114.1
4 Justin Herbert 4.6569 2.7222 112.7
5 Jeff Wilson 4.1051 4.8864 110.6
6 Jonathan Taylor 4.8677 4.4844 103.0
7 Tyler Huntley 5.3873 3.1860 101.2
8 Travis Etienne 4.5050 5.1136 100.2
9 Isiah Pacheco 4.1499 4.8824 98.5
10 Lamar Jackson 5.7904 6.8214 98.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Jones 4.3744 5.2629 149.1
2 Kenneth Walker III 5.0628 4.6053 147.2
3 Tony Pollard 4.2704 5.2176 146.5
4 Alvin Kamara 4.4747 4.0224 142.8
5 Justin Herbert 5.0000 2.7222 133.2
6 Travis Etienne 4.3418 5.1136 128.4
7 AJ Dillon 4.5962 4.1398 119.9
8 Lamar Jackson 5.5698 6.8214 119.1
9 Brian Robinson 4.1739 3.8878 97.3
10 Breece Hall 4.3838 5.7875 97.2

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alvin Kamara 5.0000 4.0224 234.5
2 Travis Etienne 4.2982 5.1136 163.1
3 Jonathan Taylor 5.1921 4.4844 150.1
4 Brian Robinson 4.4804 3.8878 136.7
5 Taysom Hill 4.6220 5.9896 124.2
6 Jeff Wilson 4.1636 4.8864 114.2
7 Breece Hall 4.2944 5.7875 113.5
8 Tyler Huntley 5.6667 3.1860 109.9
9 Najee Harris 4.1007 3.8015 101.6
10 Justin Herbert 4.5167 2.7222 100.9

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 4.6220 3.8015 232.9
2 Sam Darnold 12.8462 4.0769 228.9
3 Kenneth Walker III 3.7805 4.6053 179.9
4 Joe Mixon 4.6220 3.8762 164.1
5 Jamaal Williams 4.6220 4.0687 154.3
6 Rhamondre Stevenson 4.2357 4.9524 143.0
7 Isiah Pacheco 4.0414 4.8824 136.9
8 Tom Brady 4.6220 -0.0345 136.1
9 Taysom Hill 4.6220 5.9896 127.8
10 Nick Chubb 4.6220 5.0497 118.3

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Leonard Fournette 0.0159
0.0434
(5.3)
0.0338
(3.5)
0.0379
(4.5)
0.0357
(3.8)
Alvin Kamara 0.0090
0.0321
(5.3)
0.0369
(6.3)
0.0429
(8.0)
0.0381
(6.6)
Austin Ekeler 0.0637
0.0400
(4.7)
0.0333
(6.1)
0.0474
(2.9)
0.0409
(4.6)
Tony Pollard 0.0466
0.0234
(4.4)
0.0204
(5.0)
0.0222
(4.3)
0.0251
(4.1)
Jamaal Williams 0.0649
0.0286
(9.4)
0.0485
(4.2)
0.0205
(11.1)
0.0357
(7.6)
Trevor Lawrence 0.0806
0.0408
(2.4)
0.0316
(3.0)
0.0241
(3.4)
0.0340
(2.9)
Justin Herbert 0.0000
0.0586
(3.2)
0.0476
(2.6)
0.0500
(2.8)
0.0501
(2.7)
Aaron Jones 0.0094
0.0303
(4.6)
0.0332
(5.1)
0.0292
(4.7)
0.0318
(4.8)
Brian Robinson 0.0098
0.0432
(7.0)
0.0261
(3.4)
0.0294
(4.4)
0.0336
(4.9)
Jalen Hurts 0.0788
0.0611
(2.8)
0.0500
(4.7)
0.0534
(3.8)
0.0546
(3.9)
Ezekiel Elliott 0.0519
0.0366
(3.4)
0.0383
(3.1)
0.0306
(4.5)
0.0357
(3.7)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miles Sanders 0.0233 0.0425 4.8
2 Cordarrelle Patterson 0.0240 0.0556 4.5
3 Jonathan Taylor 0.0428 0.0208 4.3
4 Justin Fields 0.0259 0.0500 3.8
5 Raheem Mostert 0.0358 0.0166 3.6
6 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0399 0.0238 3.5
7 Kenneth Walker III 0.0253 0.0395 3.1
8 Nick Chubb 0.0305 0.0397 2.6
9 Daniel Jones 0.0371 0.0583 2.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cordarrelle Patterson 0.0207 0.0556 5.0
2 Miles Sanders 0.0249 0.0425 4.5
3 Kenneth Walker III 0.0544 0.0395 3.5
4 Raheem Mostert 0.0348 0.0166 3.4
5 Christian McCaffrey 0.0456 0.0328 3.2
6 Taysom Hill 0.1053 0.0729 3.1
7 Justin Fields 0.0682 0.0500 3.0
8 Tyler Allgeier 0.0276 0.0143 2.9
9 Nick Chubb 0.0481 0.0397 2.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Taylor 0.0464 0.0208 5.3
2 Daniel Jones 0.0175 0.0583 4.7
3 Miles Sanders 0.0262 0.0425 3.7
4 Taysom Hill 0.0357 0.0729 3.4
5 Tyler Allgeier 0.0278 0.0143 3.3
6 D'Onta Foreman 0.0385 0.0246 3.2
7 Isiah Pacheco 0.0455 0.0294 3.1
8 Dameon Pierce 0.0296 0.0182 2.9
9 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0355 0.0238 2.9

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Taylor 0.0459 0.0208 4.9
2 Taysom Hill 0.0357 0.0729 3.5
3 Raheem Mostert 0.0338 0.0166 3.2
4 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0378 0.0238 3.0
5 Daniel Jones 0.0333 0.0583 3.0
6 Cordarrelle Patterson 0.0357 0.0556 2.8
7 Najee Harris 0.0357 0.0257 2.8
8 Kenneth Walker III 0.0270 0.0395 2.8
9 Justin Fields 0.0345 0.0500 2.4

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rashod Bateman 118 28 89.5
2 KJ Hamler 78 14 63.8
3 Juwan Johnson 2 65 62.5
4 Sterling Shepard 86 24 61.7
5 Darius Slayton 11 71 60.2
6 Demarcus Robinson 15 75 59.7
7 Cooper Kupp 157 98 58.8
8 Zay Jones 64 121 56.7
9 Hunter Renfrow 106 50 56.1
10 Bryan Edwards 59 5 54.0

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Davante Adams 0.7093 0.5556 27.3
2 Evan Engram 0.6084 0.7449 13.6
3 DeVonta Smith 0.6168 0.6985 11.4
4 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.6631 0.7723 11.2
5 Darius Slayton 0.5093 0.6479 10.0
6 Amari Cooper 0.6630 0.5909 9.2
7 Austin Ekeler 0.7784 0.8425 8.4
8 Justin Jefferson 0.6554 0.6957 7.8
9 Christian McCaffrey 0.8582 0.7870 7.5
10 Stefon Diggs 0.6561 0.7013 7.3

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jaylen Waddle 18.0800
10.6278
(835.3)
12.7363
(572.5)
12.7746
(618.6)
11.6424
(757.5)
Davante Adams 15.1600
11.9524
(521.0)
12.6040
(379.0)
12.9556
(393.5)
12.4188
(500.1)
Chris Godwin Jr. 9.8365
11.4667
(275.9)
12.1139
(387.3)
12.5070
(381.8)
11.7133
(261.2)
A.J. Brown 17.0000
14.3896
(333.1)
14.3810
(314.5)
13.5000
(504.9)
14.7343
(333.9)
Justin Watson 21.0000
11.0732
(326.9)
13.0000
(256.7)
12.0961
(302.1)
12.0961
(304.0)
Michael Pittman 9.3434
12.3257
(464.6)
10.9785
(294.0)
12.5595
(456.0)
12.3776
(422.6)
Ja'Marr Chase 12.0230
14.9452
(433.5)
14.0000
(325.3)
15.2530
(435.3)
15.5958
(473.8)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DK Metcalf 14.6049 11.6444 461.6
2 Amari Cooper 11.3099 14.8718 428.9
3 Austin Ekeler 9.3196 6.7477 366.4
4 Diontae Johnson 12.2310 10.2558 336.4
5 Deebo Samuel Sr. 14.5123 11.2857 332.7
6 Zay Jones 12.1721 10.0366 296.3
7 Tyreek Hill 12.3975 14.3697 282.1
8 Corey Davis 12.9085 16.7500 225.8
9 Gabe Davis 14.6928 17.4167 224.2
10 Dyami Brown 12.2842 28.6000 224.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DK Metcalf 14.4054 11.6444 452.8
2 Nelson Agholor 15.7708 11.6774 240.8
3 Amari Cooper 12.6375 14.8718 235.5
4 Austin Ekeler 8.0685 6.7477 224.9
5 CeeDee Lamb 13.6667 12.7009 220.9
6 Dyami Brown 12.5556 28.6000 218.3
7 DeVonta Smith 13.6892 12.5895 210.8
8 Demarcus Robinson 11.8333 9.5417 205.6
9 K.J. Osborn 12.6607 10.8333 205.0
10 Chig Okonkwo 9.2727 14.0625 199.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zay Jones 12.7500 10.0366 330.5
2 George Pickens 11.5179 15.4038 324.9
3 DK Metcalf 13.7895 11.6444 305.0
4 Deebo Samuel Sr. 14.4915 11.2857 303.1
5 Cooper Kupp 13.4495 10.8267 258.8
6 Darius Slayton 12.0961 15.7391 257.4
7 Gabe Davis 14.7414 17.4167 247.1
8 Justin Jefferson 15.4565 14.1328 246.9
9 Terry McLaurin 13.4625 15.4675 238.4
10 Dyami Brown 12.0961 28.6000 230.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gabe Davis 12.0961 17.4167 498.3
2 Leonard Fournette 12.0961 7.1644 406.3
3 Tyreek Hill 12.0961 14.3697 392.8
4 Amari Cooper 12.0961 14.8718 371.3
5 Joe Mixon 12.0961 7.3500 353.2
6 Rex Burkhead 12.0961 5.5135 333.8
7 Deebo Samuel Sr. 14.5531 11.2857 303.6
8 Corey Davis 12.0961 16.7500 300.2
9 Diontae Johnson 12.0961 10.2558 265.1
10 Austin Ekeler 8.8545 6.7477 262.9

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jaylen Waddle 0.1067
0.0653
(4.9)
0.0769
(3.6)
0.0704
(4.6)
0.0703
(4.7)
Davante Adams 0.1400
0.0725
(12.2)
0.0891
(9.3)
0.1000
(7.8)
0.0986
(8.2)
Jahan Dotson 0.2000
0.0830
(7.1)
0.0606
(8.6)
0.0588
(8.8)
0.0660
(8.4)
Dyami Brown 0.4000
0.0842
(4.4)
0.0556
(4.8)
0.0737
(4.6)
0.0631
(4.8)
Chris Godwin Jr. 0.0288
0.0760
(6.7)
0.0759
(6.6)
0.0986
(9.5)
0.0780
(6.4)
Amari Cooper 0.1154
0.0704
(6.0)
0.0875
(3.8)
0.0758
(5.6)
0.0737
(6.0)
Cole Kmet 0.1400
0.0620
(5.4)
0.0909
(3.5)
0.0588
(5.8)
0.0631
(5.6)
Jerick McKinnon 0.1607
0.0530
(7.7)
0.0417
(8.5)
0.0333
(9.3)
0.0737
(6.5)
George Kittle 0.1833
0.0734
(9.5)
0.0781
(9.1)
0.0896
(8.3)
0.0784
(9.4)
Diontae Johnson 0.0000
0.0437
(6.4)
0.0549
(7.9)
0.0549
(7.6)
0.0737
(10.3)
DJ Moore 0.1111
0.0684
(5.1)
0.0571
(6.5)
0.0588
(6.5)
0.0629
(6.1)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Lockett 0.0481 0.1071 6.9
2 Christian Kirk 0.0554 0.0952 5.3
3 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.0885 0.0385 5.0
4 Garrett Wilson 0.0796 0.0482 4.6
5 Travis Kelce 0.0809 0.1091 4.3
6 DeVonta Smith 0.1051 0.0737 4.3
7 Michael Pittman 0.0695 0.0404 4.1
8 A.J. Brown 0.0974 0.1250 4.0
9 Mark Andrews 0.1037 0.0685 4.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Jefferson 0.0991 0.0625 6.6
2 Travis Kelce 0.1444 0.1091 5.2
3 Demarcus Robinson 0.1111 0.0417 5.1
4 Donovan Peoples-Jones 0.0980 0.0492 4.6
5 Chris Olave 0.0946 0.0556 4.5
6 A.J. Brown 0.0952 0.1250 4.5
7 Darius Slayton 0.1000 0.0435 3.9
8 Treylon Burks 0.1000 0.0303 3.7
9 Tyler Lockett 0.0779 0.1071 3.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Brown 0.0750 0.1250 7.7
2 Mike Evans 0.1389 0.0779 7.4
3 Juwan Johnson 0.0737 0.1667 6.2
4 Tyreek Hill 0.0976 0.0588 6.1
5 Justin Jefferson 0.0978 0.0625 5.9
6 DeAndre Hopkins 0.1111 0.0469 5.9
7 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.0986 0.0385 5.8
8 Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.0847 0.0357 4.3
9 Tyler Lockett 0.0746 0.1071 4.2

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gabe Davis 0.0737 0.1458 7.1
2 Juwan Johnson 0.0722 0.1667 6.4
3 Justin Jefferson 0.0992 0.0625 6.0
4 Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.0959 0.0357 5.3
5 Mike Evans 0.1215 0.0779 5.0
6 Christian Watson 0.1021 0.1707 4.8
7 Jakobi Meyers 0.0499 0.0896 4.2
8 Christian Kirk 0.0680 0.0952 4.1
9 DeAndre Hopkins 0.0930 0.0469 4.1