2025 Projection Accuracy

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jake Browning 125
6
(118.8)
31
(94.0)
6
(119.0)
15
(110.0)
Justin Fields 204
482
(277.8)
421
(217.0)
457
(253.0)
494
(290.0)
Michael Penix Jr. 276
545
(268.9)
512
(236.0)
558
(282.0)
541
(265.3)
J.J. McCarthy 243
600
(357.0)
458
(215.0)
557
(314.0)
558
(314.5)
Brock Purdy 284
544
(260.2)
510
(226.0)
494
(210.0)
521
(236.7)
C.J. Stroud 423
584
(160.8)
544
(121.0)
555
(132.0)
558
(135.5)
Lamar Jackson 302
468
(166.0)
453
(151.0)
479
(177.0)
476
(173.6)
Kyler Murray 161
552
(390.6)
516
(355.0)
525
(364.0)
538
(377.5)
Carson Wentz 169
6
(162.9)
30
(139.0)
30
(139.0)
14
(154.5)
Tua Tagovailoa 384
602
(217.5)
534
(150.0)
540
(156.0)
573
(189.3)
Marcus Mariota 227
6
(221.3)
31
(196.0)
41
(186.0)
23
(204.4)
Jacoby Brissett 485
6
(479.5)
385
(100.0)
35
(450.0)
18
(466.7)
Joe Burrow 259
628
(368.5)
600
(341.0)
589
(330.0)
621
(361.9)
Mac Jones 289
6
(283.4)
32
(257.0)
50
(239.0)
22
(267.1)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Wilson 265 119 146.4
2 Geno Smith 591 448 143.4
3 Joe Flacco 292 416 123.5
4 Brady Cook 30 153 123.0
5 Anthony Richardson 124 2 122.3
6 Bryce Young 588 478 110.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dillon Gabriel 490 185 305.0
2 Russell Wilson 366 119 247.0
3 Jaxson Dart 133 339 206.0
4 Anthony Richardson 197 2 195.0
5 Shedeur Sanders 99 212 113.0
6 Tyler Shough 234 327 93.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Wilson 382 119 263.0
2 Jaxson Dart 124 339 215.0
3 Tyler Shough 136 327 191.0
4 Joe Flacco 233 416 183.0
5 Spencer Rattler 435 257 178.0
6 Brady Cook 30 153 123.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jaxson Dart 114 339 225.0
2 Tyler Shough 102 327 224.8
3 Spencer Rattler 448 257 190.7
4 Brady Cook 30 153 123.0
5 Geno Smith 565 448 117.2
6 Shedeur Sanders 95 212 116.8

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Mac Jones 0.6955
0.6607
(11.5)
0.6562
(12.3)
0.6200
(22.3)
0.6393
(18.4)
Caleb Williams 0.5810
0.6356
(28.1)
0.6497
(37.1)
0.6209
(21.7)
0.6353
(26.7)
Sam Darnold 0.6771
0.6525
(14.2)
0.6492
(15.0)
0.6290
(23.8)
0.6552
(14.0)
Baker Mayfield 0.6317
0.6828
(25.0)
0.6717
(19.9)
0.6896
(30.5)
0.6928
(29.2)
Trevor Lawrence 0.6089
0.6489
(19.5)
0.6589
(26.1)
0.6295
(10.5)
0.6418
(14.3)
Drake Maye 0.7195
0.6657
(29.0)
0.6692
(26.4)
0.6613
(29.5)
0.6680
(29.0)
Spencer Rattler 0.6770
0.6389
(11.1)
0.6196
(15.6)
0.5885
(23.2)
0.6040
(20.7)
Daniel Jones 0.6797
0.6323
(20.2)
0.6531
(11.5)
0.6292
(20.0)
0.6248
(23.9)
Patrick Mahomes 0.6275
0.6711
(19.3)
0.6718
(20.5)
0.6699
(20.4)
0.6771
(21.2)
Josh Allen 0.6935
0.6425
(25.8)
0.6613
(16.4)
0.6313
(29.4)
0.6404
(27.8)
Cam Ward 0.5981
0.6241
(11.2)
0.6407
(21.1)
0.6306
(16.6)
0.6371
(17.0)
Tyler Shough 0.6758
0.6277
(17.4)
0.6154
(20.9)
0.6324
(14.8)
0.6292
(17.7)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.J. McCarthy 0.6500 0.5761 16.7
2 Shedeur Sanders 0.6230 0.5660 11.0
3 Jordan Love 0.6436 0.6629 10.7
4 Bo Nix 0.6565 0.6340 10.7
5 Brady Cook 0.6452 0.5752 9.9
6 Dak Prescott 0.6629 0.6733 9.3
7 Tyler Huntley 0.6452 0.7761 9.1
8 Jacoby Brissett 0.6364 0.6495 8.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.6052 0.6495 23.1
2 Bo Nix 0.6574 0.6340 12.3
3 Shedeur Sanders 0.6162 0.5660 9.9
4 Tyler Huntley 0.6377 0.7761 9.5
5 Joe Flacco 0.6289 0.6034 9.2
6 Malik Willis 0.6207 0.8571 8.4
7 Trey Lance 0.6207 0.4737 8.2
8 Jaxson Dart 0.6165 0.6372 8.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.J. McCarthy 0.6499 0.5761 17.5
2 Aaron Rodgers 0.6293 0.6566 14.5
3 Joe Flacco 0.6309 0.6034 10.7
4 Brady Cook 0.6452 0.5752 10.4
5 Jordan Love 0.6412 0.6629 10.3
6 Marcus Mariota 0.6585 0.6123 10.1
7 Lamar Jackson 0.6701 0.6358 9.9
8 Jalen Hurts 0.6710 0.6476 9.9

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.J. McCarthy 0.6524 0.5761 16.7
2 Dak Prescott 0.6578 0.6733 13.8
3 Jordan Love 0.6417 0.6629 12.5
4 Marcus Mariota 0.6726 0.6123 12.0
5 Aaron Rodgers 0.6416 0.6566 11.1
6 Brady Cook 0.6452 0.5752 9.6
7 Jalen Hurts 0.6759 0.6476 9.5
8 Tyler Huntley 0.6452 0.7761 9.3

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Caleb Williams 11.9455
11.0893
(542.3)
10.8783
(587.7)
10.4696
(961.9)
10.5591
(942.0)
Sam Darnold 12.5325
10.8256
(861.2)
10.6615
(877.0)
11.4431
(623.5)
10.6410
(1032.1)
Lamar Jackson 13.2760
11.9313
(435.9)
12.1960
(316.4)
12.0841
(425.7)
12.1438
(424.1)
Drake Maye 12.4124
10.4431
(1017.4)
10.5932
(879.1)
10.2879
(1152.4)
10.3443
(1151.4)
Spencer Rattler 9.1149
11.0289
(466.6)
10.9307
(475.0)
11.5430
(568.1)
10.4712
(278.6)
Daniel Jones 11.8812
10.5004
(568.1)
10.3876
(561.1)
11.4315
(256.3)
10.4455
(655.8)
Patrick Mahomes 11.3873
10.6915
(398.8)
10.6025
(377.6)
10.2976
(656.3)
10.4656
(599.3)
Cam Ward 9.8111
10.9180
(544.5)
10.8012
(552.2)
11.1095
(583.5)
10.8025
(388.4)
Matthew Stafford 12.1314
11.6112
(369.4)
11.2185
(525.6)
11.2391
(662.7)
11.2563
(684.9)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brock Purdy 12.5346 11.0000 407.8
2 Dillon Gabriel 10.8021 8.5182 404.3
3 Trevor Lawrence 11.1310 11.7507 402.2
4 Joe Flacco 10.9268 9.8765 396.0
5 Brady Cook 10.9370 8.3977 373.4
6 Bo Nix 10.8179 10.1314 359.8
7 Bryce Young 10.6869 9.9046 326.9
8 C.J. Stroud 11.9496 11.1392 301.1
9 Tua Tagovailoa 11.1107 10.2308 300.1
10 Jameis Winston 10.9370 15.3243 296.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bo Nix 10.7944 10.1314 425.6
2 Trevor Lawrence 10.9892 11.7507 408.3
3 Dillon Gabriel 10.5109 8.5182 374.7
4 Joe Flacco 10.7297 9.8765 368.5
5 Brock Purdy 12.2082 11.0000 352.4
6 Aaron Rodgers 10.8166 10.1590 343.6
7 J.J. McCarthy 10.2537 11.6571 333.1
8 Bryce Young 10.5643 9.9046 330.9
9 Marcus Mariota 10.7500 12.1942 320.5
10 Tua Tagovailoa 11.0111 10.2308 312.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Flacco 11.7483 9.8765 688.1
2 Marcus Mariota 10.4074 12.1942 455.0
3 Dillon Gabriel 10.9573 8.5182 411.0
4 Brady Cook 10.9370 8.3977 355.2
5 Dak Prescott 10.9021 11.2673 349.8
6 Kyler Murray 10.9162 8.7455 314.4
7 Geno Smith 10.9162 10.0166 305.5
8 Jameis Winston 11.2308 15.3243 284.5
9 Jacoby Brissett 11.4783 10.6857 278.8
10 Max Brosmer 10.9370 6.9787 265.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Shough 13.7605 10.7873 883.3
2 Jameis Winston 28.4714 15.3243 849.8
3 Jacoby Brissett 12.2231 10.6857 613.7
4 Dak Prescott 10.7418 11.2673 478.6
5 Jake Browning 13.3039 9.5185 439.2
6 Trevor Lawrence 11.2625 11.7507 425.8
7 Mac Jones 12.3071 10.7015 385.4
8 Trey Lance 14.9865 8.3704 361.6
9 Brady Cook 10.9370 8.3977 346.9
10 Kenny Pickett 13.6889 6.7143 301.6

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Michael Penix Jr. 0.0542
0.0653
(4.5)
0.0717
(5.8)
0.0653
(4.2)
0.0678
(4.2)
Trevor Lawrence 0.0850
0.0590
(11.6)
0.0705
(6.2)
0.0661
(8.3)
0.0663
(9.5)
Drake Maye 0.0876
0.0670
(7.5)
0.0706
(6.6)
0.0606
(11.2)
0.0658
(9.9)
Max Brosmer 0.0000
0.0724
(5.5)
0.0682
(5.1)
0.0724
(5.4)
0.0724
(5.3)
Jacoby Brissett 0.0730
0.0571
(5.1)
0.0815
(5.8)
0.0435
(12.3)
0.0579
(6.5)
Brock Purdy 0.1015
0.0681
(8.0)
0.0792
(5.3)
0.0755
(6.2)
0.0775
(6.3)
Bo Nix 0.0644
0.0742
(9.3)
0.0761
(9.3)
0.0691
(5.4)
0.0754
(7.7)
Cam Ward 0.0464
0.0663
(13.6)
0.0623
(10.5)
0.0651
(12.3)
0.0647
(10.8)
Matthew Stafford 0.1186
0.0748
(22.9)
0.0840
(18.5)
0.0700
(26.5)
0.0719
(26.8)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Baker Mayfield 0.0884 0.0758 9.8
2 Brady Cook 0.0724 0.0227 8.4
3 Jared Goff 0.0682 0.0865 7.5
4 Patrick Mahomes 0.0752 0.0698 5.4
5 Aaron Rodgers 0.0573 0.0734 5.3
6 Cooper Rush 0.0937 0.0000 5.2
7 Sam Darnold 0.0619 0.0774 4.9
8 Carson Wentz 0.0769 0.0545 4.7
9 Jalen Hurts 0.0697 0.0850 4.5
10 Bryce Young 0.0611 0.0757 4.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Baker Mayfield 0.0871 0.0758 8.0
2 Patrick Mahomes 0.0810 0.0698 7.4
3 Jaxson Dart 0.0488 0.0694 5.8
4 Sam Darnold 0.0621 0.0774 5.6
5 Caleb Williams 0.0696 0.0818 5.0
6 J.J. McCarthy 0.0551 0.0786 4.8
7 Tyler Shough 0.0556 0.0452 4.5
8 Marcus Mariota 0.0500 0.0719 4.2
9 Jared Goff 0.0759 0.0865 4.1
10 C.J. Stroud 0.0756 0.0696 4.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Browning 0.0000 0.0741 8.7
2 Brady Cook 0.0724 0.0227 8.2
3 Josh Allen 0.0921 0.0784 8.2
4 Caleb Williams 0.0635 0.0818 8.0
5 Bryce Young 0.0565 0.0757 7.2
6 Joe Flacco 0.0680 0.0598 5.2
7 Trey Lance 0.0833 0.0000 5.0
8 Jordan Love 0.0861 0.0790 4.9
9 Jalen Hurts 0.0714 0.0850 4.3
10 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0618 0.0769 4.2

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jameis Winston 0.1857 0.0541 8.8
2 Brady Cook 0.0724 0.0227 7.9
3 Tyler Shough 0.0669 0.0452 7.6
4 Caleb Williams 0.0670 0.0818 7.4
5 Baker Mayfield 0.0856 0.0758 6.2
6 Bryce Young 0.0616 0.0757 5.9
7 Sam Darnold 0.0637 0.0774 5.7
8 Josh Allen 0.0872 0.0784 4.9
9 Cooper Rush 0.0724 0.0000 3.9
10 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0653 0.0769 3.8

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jake Browning 0.0640
0.0323
(4.1)
0.0323
(4.2)
0.0000
(7.9)
0.0267
(4.8)
Cooper Rush 0.0769
0.0192
(3.1)
0.0333
(2.4)
0.0000
(4.0)
0.0219
(2.9)
Justin Fields 0.0049
0.0255
(4.0)
0.0261
(4.0)
0.0219
(3.7)
0.0219
(3.2)
Michael Penix Jr. 0.0109
0.0246
(3.5)
0.0254
(3.5)
0.0233
(3.7)
0.0248
(3.5)
J.J. McCarthy 0.0494
0.0258
(6.0)
0.0262
(6.1)
0.0251
(5.7)
0.0258
(6.0)
Shedeur Sanders 0.0472
0.0258
(4.8)
0.0303
(3.9)
0.0224
(5.1)
0.0263
(4.7)
Justin Herbert 0.0254
0.0180
(4.3)
0.0188
(4.3)
0.0115
(6.6)
0.0159
(5.4)
Drake Maye 0.0163
0.0239
(3.3)
0.0246
(3.2)
0.0240
(4.3)
0.0246
(3.5)
Jordan Love 0.0137
0.0252
(4.6)
0.0230
(3.3)
0.0255
(5.6)
0.0239
(4.0)
Jared Goff 0.0138
0.0219
(4.0)
0.0205
(2.8)
0.0210
(4.7)
0.0208
(3.4)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.0391
0.0219
(7.0)
0.0225
(7.0)
0.0204
(6.8)
0.0208
(7.5)
Jaxson Dart 0.0147
0.0263
(3.6)
0.0301
(4.6)
0.0242
(3.5)
0.0281
(4.1)
Cam Ward 0.0130
0.0250
(5.9)
0.0285
(7.5)
0.0261
(7.6)
0.0261
(6.5)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 0.0223 0.0379 7.5
2 Matthew Stafford 0.0212 0.0134 4.0
3 Mac Jones 0.0357 0.0208 4.0
4 Caleb Williams 0.0201 0.0123 3.8
5 Brady Cook 0.0219 0.0458 3.8
6 Brock Purdy 0.0232 0.0352 3.7
7 Dak Prescott 0.0232 0.0167 3.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 0.0223 0.0379 7.8
2 Caleb Williams 0.0226 0.0123 4.8
3 Brock Purdy 0.0235 0.0352 3.8
4 Sam Darnold 0.0242 0.0294 3.3
5 Dillon Gabriel 0.0265 0.0108 2.6
6 Mac Jones 0.0312 0.0208 2.5
7 Dak Prescott 0.0222 0.0167 2.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Mariota 0.0000 0.0308 6.8
2 Jacoby Brissett 0.0286 0.0165 6.3
3 Sam Darnold 0.0188 0.0294 4.6
4 Tyler Shough 0.0294 0.0183 3.9
5 Matthew Stafford 0.0189 0.0134 3.9
6 Bo Nix 0.0233 0.0180 3.8
7 Baker Mayfield 0.0260 0.0203 3.7

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 0.0237 0.0379 6.9
2 Tyler Shough 0.0342 0.0183 4.8
3 Jacoby Brissett 0.0273 0.0165 4.7
4 Marcus Mariota 0.0133 0.0308 4.2
5 Brady Cook 0.0219 0.0458 3.8
6 Brock Purdy 0.0238 0.0352 3.6
7 Matthew Stafford 0.0200 0.0134 3.3

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Trey Benson 29
138
(109.3)
132
(103.0)
108
(79.0)
129
(100.4)
Kimani Vidal 155
10
(145.0)
6
(149.0)
10
(145.0)
40
(115.4)
Tank Bigsby 63
140
(76.7)
115
(52.0)
131
(68.0)
150
(87.5)
Kareem Hunt 163
82
(81.1)
93
(70.0)
88
(75.0)
10
(153.0)
Rico Dowdle 236
75
(161.1)
90
(146.0)
92
(144.0)
93
(142.9)
Woody Marks 196
46
(149.7)
47
(149.0)
64
(132.0)
58
(137.6)
Braelon Allen 18
112
(94.1)
77
(59.0)
112
(94.0)
117
(98.6)
Kyle Monangai 169
57
(112.4)
101
(68.0)
37
(132.0)
44
(124.7)
Quinshon Judkins 230
44
(185.9)
139
(91.0)
138
(92.0)
127
(103.0)
Travis Etienne 260
179
(81.1)
137
(123.0)
139
(121.0)
140
(119.8)
Omarion Hampton 124
256
(132.0)
243
(119.0)
254
(130.0)
226
(101.5)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenny Gainwell 209 114 94.7
2 Justin Fields 161 71 89.9
3 Josh Jacobs 303 234 68.6
4 Blake Corum 80 145 64.5
5 Kyren Williams 322 259 62.9
6 Christian McCaffrey 256 311 54.5
7 Saquon Barkley 332 280 52.3
8 Zach Charbonnet 132 184 51.8
9 Rhamondre Stevenson 181 130 50.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javonte Williams 133 252 119.0
2 Christian McCaffrey 219 311 92.0
3 Jaydon Blue 130 38 92.0
4 Blake Corum 59 145 86.0
5 James Cook 225 309 84.0
6 Jaxson Dart 18 86 68.0
7 Anthony Richardson 64 4 60.0
8 Kenny Gainwell 55 114 59.0
9 Jaylen Warren 160 211 51.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Cook 211 309 98.0
2 Justin Fields 156 71 85.0
3 Kenny Gainwell 32 114 82.0
4 Jaxson Dart 6 86 80.0
5 Jaylen Warren 134 211 77.0
6 Blake Corum 81 145 64.0
7 Zach Charbonnet 120 184 64.0
8 Javonte Williams 189 252 63.0
9 Samaje Perine 26 84 58.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javonte Williams 167 252 84.6
2 James Cook 232 309 76.5
3 Jaydon Blue 114 38 75.8
4 Jaxson Dart 12 86 73.9
5 Christian McCaffrey 246 311 65.5
6 Justin Fields 135 71 64.2
7 Jaylen Warren 149 211 62.1
8 Josh Jacobs 291 234 57.0
9 Saquon Barkley 336 280 56.4

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
James Cook 5.2460
4.6688
(168.7)
4.6000
(183.4)
4.8104
(114.2)
4.6882
(163.9)
Blake Corum 5.1448
4.2261
(128.7)
4.2542
(121.5)
3.9136
(168.9)
3.7195
(202.7)
Kyren Williams 4.8340
4.3983
(104.8)
4.2701
(132.5)
4.1952
(148.3)
4.2828
(135.6)
Tyler Allgeier 3.5944
4.5581
(142.3)
4.3562
(116.4)
4.3881
(122.9)
4.5763
(144.3)
Justin Herbert 6.0000
4.1956
(147.2)
4.2545
(140.5)
4.3651
(130.2)
4.1590
(150.5)
Drake Maye 4.3689
7.1205
(286.6)
6.6429
(239.6)
6.2933
(205.0)
6.3666
(208.6)
D'Andre Swift 4.8744
4.1089
(163.8)
4.2039
(137.8)
3.8924
(204.2)
4.0539
(176.9)
Bijan Robinson 5.1498
4.6988
(120.5)
4.6481
(128.9)
4.7051
(108.7)
4.6647
(131.4)
Saquon Barkley 4.0714
4.8309
(221.4)
5.3000
(358.7)
4.9940
(276.8)
5.0048
(269.0)
De'Von Achane 5.6723
4.5999
(247.8)
4.6784
(224.0)
4.5909
(241.6)
4.6563
(235.3)
Christian McCaffrey 3.8650
4.5579
(225.2)
4.5434
(227.3)
4.5000
(218.1)
4.5251
(213.8)
Ashton Jeanty 3.6654
4.5803
(251.6)
4.4821
(231.2)
4.5017
(240.0)
4.4987
(229.0)
Javonte Williams 4.7659
3.9456
(198.9)
4.0977
(155.1)
4.0000
(176.3)
3.8327
(228.2)
Quinshon Judkins 3.5957
4.3492
(180.5)
4.2302
(158.0)
4.3841
(196.5)
4.2811
(164.0)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Woody Marks 4.3153 3.5867 148.9
2 Derrick Henry 4.6946 5.1954 144.2
3 RJ Harvey 4.4420 3.6986 113.1
4 Emari Demercado 4.5506 7.0909 110.4
5 TreVeyon Henderson 4.4440 5.0611 105.5
6 Kenneth Walker III 4.1612 4.6471 100.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 TreVeyon Henderson 4.2857 5.0611 130.1
2 Woody Marks 4.1915 3.5867 128.8
3 Emari Demercado 4.1333 7.0909 127.8
4 J.K. Dobbins 4.2143 5.0458 119.2
5 Jaxson Dart 4.4444 5.6628 100.3
6 Baker Mayfield 5.0893 6.9455 99.2

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Woody Marks 4.3906 3.5867 170.5
2 Baker Mayfield 3.9231 6.9455 162.6
3 Kenneth Walker III 3.9958 4.6471 129.3
4 J.K. Dobbins 4.1972 5.0458 119.7
5 Emari Demercado 4.3214 7.0909 118.9
6 Josh Jacobs 4.3943 3.9701 114.7

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kimani Vidal 2.4015 4.1484 266.5
2 Kyle Monangai 5.9955 4.6331 234.9
3 Baker Mayfield 4.4729 6.9455 134.5
4 Kareem Hunt 4.4993 3.7485 126.9
5 TreVeyon Henderson 4.3493 5.0611 123.2
6 Kenneth Walker III 4.0630 4.6471 123.0

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Josh Jacobs 0.0556
0.0390
(3.3)
0.0399
(3.3)
0.0394
(2.8)
0.0395
(3.1)
Zach Charbonnet 0.0652
0.0318
(5.7)
0.0357
(5.1)
0.0333
(5.1)
0.0361
(4.8)
Tyler Allgeier 0.0559
0.0311
(3.2)
0.0274
(3.9)
0.0224
(4.2)
0.0272
(3.7)
Trevor Lawrence 0.1098
0.0634
(3.6)
0.0508
(4.7)
0.0400
(5.4)
0.0570
(4.1)
Jonathan Taylor 0.0557
0.0332
(6.5)
0.0350
(6.2)
0.0332
(5.9)
0.0344
(6.0)
TreVeyon Henderson 0.0500
0.0284
(3.5)
0.0306
(3.2)
0.0276
(3.3)
0.0283
(3.4)
Bijan Robinson 0.0244
0.0384
(4.7)
0.0383
(4.4)
0.0407
(5.9)
0.0374
(4.5)
Woody Marks 0.0102
0.0259
(3.5)
0.0213
(2.5)
0.0312
(5.0)
0.0274
(3.9)
Ashton Jeanty 0.0188
0.0325
(4.3)
0.0357
(4.9)
0.0332
(5.0)
0.0341
(4.8)
Jaxson Dart 0.1047
0.0430
(5.1)
0.0556
(4.1)
0.0000
(8.6)
0.0413
(5.2)
Saquon Barkley 0.0250
0.0334
(3.0)
0.0367
(3.7)
0.0329
(3.4)
0.0330
(3.0)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 0.0114
0.0269
(3.1)
0.0267
(3.0)
0.0321
(4.4)
0.0280
(3.4)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kimani Vidal 0.0373 0.0194 3.1
2 Josh Allen 0.0978 0.1250 2.8
3 RJ Harvey 0.0272 0.0479 2.7
4 Chase Brown 0.0344 0.0259 2.5
5 Kenneth Walker III 0.0314 0.0226 2.5
6 James Cook 0.0444 0.0388 2.4
7 J.J. McCarthy 0.0407 0.1081 2.4
8 De'Von Achane 0.0410 0.0336 2.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javonte Williams 0.0301 0.0437 3.0
2 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0308 0.0538 2.8
3 Kimani Vidal 0.0000 0.0194 2.8
4 Jordan Love 0.0571 0.0000 2.8
5 Justin Herbert 0.0545 0.0241 2.7
6 Kareem Hunt 0.0323 0.0491 2.5
7 LeQuint Allen Jr. 0.1000 0.0000 2.3
8 Rico Dowdle 0.0333 0.0254 2.2

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Cook 0.0474 0.0388 4.0
2 Blake Corum 0.0123 0.0414 3.6
3 Kimani Vidal 0.0373 0.0194 3.4
4 Kenneth Walker III 0.0333 0.0226 3.3
5 Javonte Williams 0.0265 0.0437 3.3
6 J.J. McCarthy 0.0175 0.1081 3.2
7 Jordan Love 0.0606 0.0000 3.0
8 Chase Brown 0.0342 0.0259 2.9

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Monangai 0.0542 0.0296 4.6
2 Javonte Williams 0.0263 0.0437 3.7
3 Josh Allen 0.0923 0.1250 3.3
4 Kenneth Walker III 0.0343 0.0226 3.2
5 Breece Hall 0.0266 0.0165 3.1
6 D'Andre Swift 0.0257 0.0404 2.6
7 Chase Brown 0.0343 0.0259 2.6
8 J.J. McCarthy 0.0366 0.1081 2.5

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Terry McLaurin 129 60 69.2
2 Parker Washington 29 95 66.2
3 Brock Bowers 149 86 63.0
4 Michael Wilson 70 126 56.5
5 CeeDee Lamb 172 117 54.8
6 Noah Brown 65 10 54.6
7 Tutu Atwell 68 15 53.4
8 Colby Parkinson 8 56 47.5
9 Kendrick Bourne 8 53 45.0
10 Cooper Kupp 115 70 44.6

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Emeka Egbuka 0.6354 0.4961 17.3
2 Puka Nacua 0.6847 0.7771 15.9
3 Kyle Pitts 0.6241 0.7458 14.8
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.7673 0.6802 14.4
5 Elic Ayomanor 0.6216 0.4607 14.0
6 Stefon Diggs 0.7056 0.8333 13.4
7 Dalton Schultz 0.6654 0.7736 11.8
8 Darnell Mooney 0.6089 0.4444 11.6
9 Nico Collins 0.6835 0.5917 10.6
10 Davante Adams 0.6225 0.5263 10.6

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Alec Pierce 21.3404
13.7008
(615.3)
16.3333
(379.8)
16.1111
(411.5)
17.2508
(316.1)
Keenan Allen 9.5926
11.7778
(304.9)
10.8571
(213.6)
11.1224
(226.9)
11.5307
(276.3)
A.J. Brown 12.8590
14.6952
(260.2)
14.5930
(268.6)
14.7763
(272.0)
14.6408
(255.2)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 15.0672
12.3401
(393.3)
11.5747
(490.1)
12.3548
(388.3)
11.9302
(458.0)
Keon Coleman 10.6316
16.9059
(388.7)
14.1321
(235.2)
14.6444
(256.2)
15.7228
(319.7)
Bijan Robinson 10.3797
7.8512
(228.1)
7.6250
(233.7)
7.5439
(258.1)
7.5925
(253.4)
Kyle Pitts 10.5455
13.4438
(379.1)
12.5600
(295.1)
12.8235
(307.8)
12.6641
(288.6)
Deebo Samuel Sr. 10.0972
14.1643
(433.7)
12.7761
(313.3)
12.7500
(295.3)
12.7084
(290.9)
Parker Washington 14.6034
11.0506
(307.7)
10.1786
(374.2)
11.7500
(239.7)
10.6193
(347.4)
Ja'Marr Chase 11.2960
13.1654
(403.9)
13.0088
(406.8)
13.2119
(415.5)
13.1632
(405.9)
Rashid Shaheed 11.6441
14.9865
(336.4)
14.2982
(288.9)
15.1538
(353.3)
15.1441
(352.1)
Isaiah Bond 18.7778
11.3786
(311.7)
12.6667
(247.5)
11.9994
(283.7)
12.1038
(279.3)
Tutu Atwell 32.0000
12.4329
(288.8)
12.6765
(282.6)
12.7568
(283.7)
12.7293
(284.2)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Ferguson 9.5697 7.3171 261.8
2 CeeDee Lamb 12.3017 14.3600 204.1
3 Jauan Jennings 13.5000 11.6909 191.1
4 Nico Collins 13.8333 15.7324 190.2
5 Bo Melton 11.9994 26.7500 187.7
6 Dalton Schultz 10.8933 9.4756 183.6
7 Kyle Williams 11.9994 20.9000 180.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Andrews 12.3818 8.7917 285.3
2 Chris Olave 12.9481 11.6300 281.4
3 Jake Ferguson 9.5238 7.3171 274.7
4 Justin Jefferson 13.7941 12.4762 254.3
5 Michael Pittman 11.5441 9.8000 247.5
6 Emeka Egbuka 12.5000 14.8889 241.7
7 George Kittle 13.6620 11.0175 216.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wan'Dale Robinson 8.2963 11.0217 335.3
2 Emeka Egbuka 11.9865 14.8889 326.7
3 Justin Jefferson 14.4457 12.4762 324.3
4 Christian Watson 11.9994 17.4571 282.0
5 Mark Andrews 12.0175 8.7917 248.9
6 Michael Pittman 11.5541 9.8000 231.4
7 Chris Olave 12.7568 11.6300 227.3

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Jefferson 13.9449 12.4762 253.2
2 Mark Andrews 11.8930 8.7917 240.0
3 Emeka Egbuka 12.6784 14.8889 239.2
4 Wan'Dale Robinson 9.0419 11.0217 231.4
5 Jake Ferguson 9.1458 7.3171 219.9
6 Michael Pittman 11.3227 9.8000 205.3
7 George Kittle 13.4920 11.0175 193.3

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Davante Adams 0.2333
0.1081
(13.1)
0.0976
(14.3)
0.0864
(15.5)
0.0975
(14.6)
Keenan Allen 0.0494
0.0765
(4.5)
0.0816
(5.2)
0.0816
(5.3)
0.0866
(5.5)
Jauan Jennings 0.1636
0.0684
(7.7)
0.0847
(6.2)
0.0694
(7.5)
0.0780
(7.0)
Justin Jefferson 0.0238
0.0926
(11.1)
0.0882
(10.5)
0.0978
(12.0)
0.0918
(10.7)
CeeDee Lamb 0.0400
0.0686
(4.5)
0.0741
(5.2)
0.0762
(5.5)
0.0723
(4.7)
Kyle Williams 0.3000
0.0828
(4.4)
0.0828
(4.3)
0.0828
(4.3)
0.0828
(4.4)
Tee Higgins 0.1864
0.0996
(7.5)
0.0976
(7.7)
0.1111
(6.3)
0.1032
(7.4)
Dallas Goedert 0.1833
0.0570
(9.5)
0.0656
(8.8)
0.0741
(8.0)
0.0678
(8.8)
Ja'Marr Chase 0.0640
0.0968
(7.9)
0.0973
(8.0)
0.0932
(7.5)
0.1016
(8.4)
Colby Parkinson 0.1860
0.0862
(5.0)
0.1000
(4.3)
0.0769
(5.5)
0.0849
(5.2)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zay Flowers 0.0965 0.0581 5.7
2 Kendrick Bourne 0.0828 0.0000 4.9
3 Kyle Pitts 0.0884 0.0568 4.9
4 Chris Olave 0.0504 0.0900 4.6
5 Quentin Johnston 0.0965 0.1569 4.2
6 Jayden Higgins 0.0756 0.1463 4.1
7 Brock Bowers 0.0520 0.1094 4.1
8 Rashid Shaheed 0.0660 0.0339 3.9
9 Michael Pittman 0.0428 0.0875 3.9
10 Courtland Sutton 0.1157 0.0946 3.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rashid Shaheed 0.0877 0.0339 5.9
2 Dalton Schultz 0.0750 0.0366 5.1
3 Ryan Flournoy 0.0000 0.1000 5.0
4 Stefon Diggs 0.0857 0.0471 5.0
5 Tyler Warren 0.0833 0.0526 4.6
6 Isaiah Bond 0.0833 0.0000 4.1
7 Kyle Pitts 0.0800 0.0568 3.9
8 Davis Allen 0.0000 0.1250 3.8
9 Quentin Johnston 0.1034 0.1569 3.6
10 DeVonta Smith 0.0741 0.0519 3.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Parker Washington 0.0000 0.0862 7.1
2 DeVonta Smith 0.0897 0.0519 5.5
3 Kendrick Bourne 0.0828 0.0000 5.0
4 Hunter Henry 0.0484 0.1167 5.0
5 Juwan Johnson 0.0755 0.0390 4.9
6 Trey McBride 0.0481 0.0873 4.7
7 Darnell Mooney 0.0806 0.0312 4.4
8 Christian Watson 0.0828 0.1714 4.3
9 Quentin Johnston 0.0952 0.1569 4.2
10 Isaiah Bond 0.0828 0.0000 4.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rashid Shaheed 0.0847 0.0339 5.4
2 DeVonta Smith 0.0862 0.0519 4.8
3 Jayden Higgins 0.0780 0.1463 4.1
4 Trey McBride 0.0558 0.0873 4.0
5 Dalton Schultz 0.0656 0.0366 3.9
6 Kyle Pitts 0.0820 0.0568 3.9
7 Zay Flowers 0.0831 0.0581 3.9
8 Chris Olave 0.0573 0.0900 3.9
9 Juwan Johnson 0.0681 0.0390 3.8
10 Darnell Mooney 0.0753 0.0312 3.7