2020 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Passers with 300 attempts, rushers with 100 carries, receivers with 50 targets.

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Sam Darnold 364
535
(170.8)
412
(47.7)
497
(133.0)
523
(159.0)
Justin Herbert 595
356
(239.5)
508
(87.5)
197
(398.0)
145
(450.4)
Lamar Jackson 376
467
(90.8)
424
(48.2)
440
(64.0)
469
(93.0)
Carson Wentz 437
529
(91.7)
388
(49.2)
549
(112.0)
562
(125.2)
Nick Foles 312
267
(45.3)
258
(54.3)
358
(46.0)
30
(282.0)
Ben Roethlisberger 608
530
(78.4)
546
(62.2)
512
(96.0)
30
(578.0)
Gardner Minshew 327
521
(193.6)
287
(39.8)
533
(206.0)
545
(218.0)
Joe Burrow 404
532
(128.0)
355
(49.3)
518
(114.0)
553
(149.0)
Cam Newton 368
509
(141.4)
454
(85.8)
478
(110.0)
30
(338.0)
Nick Mullens 326
24
(302.3)
288
(38.3)
28
(298.0)
17
(308.6)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Dalton 27 333 305.9
2 Drew Brees 520 390 130.0
3 Josh Allen 480 572 92.0
4 Daniel Jones 538 448 89.6
5 Russell Wilson 469 558 89.3
6 Drew Lock 513 443 70.0
7 Ryan Tannehill 438 481 42.8
8 Philip Rivers 504 543 38.5
9 Patrick Mahomes 554 588 34.5
10 Tom Brady 576 610 34.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Philip Rivers 30 543 513.0
2 Jared Goff 475 552 76.6
3 Aaron Rodgers 594 526 68.1
4 Baker Mayfield 553 486 66.7
5 Teddy Bridgewater 557 492 65.3
6 Derek Carr 564 517 47.2
7 Ryan Tannehill 522 481 40.7
8 Kirk Cousins 556 516 40.0
9 Josh Allen 534 572 38.1
10 Patrick Mahomes 554 588 34.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Dalton 14 333 319.0
2 Drew Brees 517 390 127.0
3 Daniel Jones 535 448 87.0
4 Drew Lock 522 443 79.0
5 Russell Wilson 494 558 64.0
6 Aaron Rodgers 582 526 56.0
7 Josh Allen 517 572 55.0
8 Matthew Stafford 581 528 53.0
9 Tom Brady 564 610 46.0
10 Jared Goff 591 552 39.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Ryan 30 626 596.0
2 Tom Brady 30 610 580.0
3 Russell Wilson 30 558 528.0
4 Philip Rivers 30 543 513.0
5 Derek Carr 30 517 487.0
6 Teddy Bridgewater 30 492 462.0
7 Ryan Tannehill 30 481 451.0
8 Drew Brees 30 390 360.0
9 Andy Dalton 16 333 317.0
10 Daniel Jones 559 448 110.8

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Ryan Tannehill 0.6549
0.6623
(12.4)
0.6851
(10.9)
0.6496
(7.0)
0.6589
(9.1)
Sam Darnold 0.5962
0.6154
(13.7)
0.5674
(13.2)
0.5996
(8.5)
0.6222
(14.9)
Deshaun Watson 0.7022
0.6525
(17.0)
0.6771
(17.7)
0.6495
(17.8)
0.6576
(16.1)
Russell Wilson 0.6882
0.6352
(19.3)
0.7245
(16.1)
0.6498
(10.3)
0.6589
(8.0)
Justin Herbert 0.6655
0.6307
(9.8)
0.6542
(11.2)
0.5888
(33.8)
0.6162
(20.5)
Drew Lock 0.5734
0.6376
(36.7)
0.6177
(16.3)
0.6303
(34.0)
0.6372
(34.9)
Carson Wentz 0.5744
0.6427
(37.9)
0.6305
(21.3)
0.6503
(41.9)
0.6475
(38.5)
Daniel Jones 0.6250
0.6326
(11.7)
0.6030
(13.2)
0.6206
(6.9)
0.6281
(8.1)
Aaron Rodgers 0.7072
0.6298
(31.0)
0.6837
(16.3)
0.6289
(30.8)
0.6295
(33.0)
Josh Allen 0.6923
0.6027
(40.7)
0.6359
(36.5)
0.5996
(41.6)
0.5931
(48.2)
Teddy Bridgewater 0.6911
0.6429
(14.6)
0.6659
(16.1)
0.6402
(15.3)
0.6589
(8.5)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Ryan 0.6500 0.6502 11.5
2 Kirk Cousins 0.6758 0.6764 9.2
3 Andy Dalton 0.6052 0.6486 8.3
4 Baker Mayfield 0.6254 0.6276 7.9
5 Matthew Stafford 0.6380 0.6420 7.6
6 Cam Newton 0.6196 0.6576 7.2
7 Nick Mullens 0.6498 0.6472 6.9
8 Jared Goff 0.6396 0.6703 6.8
9 Philip Rivers 0.6492 0.6796 6.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0.7627 0.6633 54.1
2 Joe Burrow 0.5999 0.6535 24.6
3 Lamar Jackson 0.7100 0.6436 22.2
4 Tom Brady 0.6967 0.6574 19.4
5 Jared Goff 0.7122 0.6703 19.0
6 Gardner Minshew 0.6173 0.6606 16.6
7 Philip Rivers 0.6589 0.6796 15.3
8 Drew Brees 0.7459 0.7051 13.0
9 Cam Newton 0.6329 0.6576 11.8

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Ryan 0.6698 0.6502 24.7
2 Drew Brees 0.7311 0.7051 17.9
3 Matthew Stafford 0.6489 0.6420 14.1
4 Gardner Minshew 0.6004 0.6606 13.2
5 Patrick Mahomes 0.6590 0.6633 9.2
6 Ben Roethlisberger 0.6504 0.6562 8.5
7 Kyler Murray 0.6393 0.6720 7.2
8 Tom Brady 0.6489 0.6574 7.0
9 Cam Newton 0.6192 0.6576 6.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Ryan 0.6589 0.6502 14.8
2 Drew Brees 0.6589 0.7051 12.2
3 Jared Goff 0.6357 0.6703 10.8
4 Ben Roethlisberger 0.6589 0.6562 10.7
5 Tom Brady 0.6589 0.6574 10.1
6 Gardner Minshew 0.6172 0.6606 9.3
7 Matthew Stafford 0.6435 0.6420 8.6
8 Nick Foles 0.6589 0.6474 8.2
9 Joe Burrow 0.6204 0.6535 7.3

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Ryan Tannehill 12.1238
11.8022
(346.7)
11.0215
(580.5)
12.0099
(217.3)
11.1508
(690.4)
Sam Darnold 10.1751
11.4050
(302.4)
11.9315
(601.2)
11.6846
(426.5)
11.3350
(253.9)
Deshaun Watson 12.6257
11.9679
(575.0)
11.5355
(650.0)
11.2434
(935.7)
11.6058
(806.3)
Joe Burrow 10.1818
11.2652
(276.4)
11.4196
(457.8)
11.6106
(440.8)
11.2224
(233.6)
Russell Wilson 10.9688
12.3876
(568.9)
11.7320
(367.5)
12.3053
(557.3)
11.1508
(156.4)
Derek Carr 11.7902
11.0522
(588.0)
10.4100
(767.7)
11.5552
(296.1)
11.1508
(569.6)
Kirk Cousins 12.2206
11.1613
(752.6)
11.3950
(480.0)
11.0489
(778.9)
11.3998
(662.1)
Ben Roethlisberger 9.5313
11.4357
(915.1)
12.0245
(1452.2)
11.8318
(1193.4)
11.1508
(703.6)
Nick Foles 9.1683
10.9659
(436.3)
10.7027
(446.1)
11.4061
(592.8)
11.1508
(474.3)
Aaron Rodgers 11.5565
11.5474
(214.8)
11.2270
(228.4)
11.2842
(320.9)
11.5162
(264.4)
Andy Dalton 10.0463
11.4268
(326.8)
11.4671
(438.3)
11.4444
(353.1)
18.6832
(2722.1)
Tom Brady 11.5536
12.1558
(123.8)
10.9191
(450.9)
11.3934
(303.7)
11.1508
(527.7)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Lock 11.2271 11.5472 318.7
2 Jared Goff 11.6033 10.6811 288.7
3 Justin Herbert 11.6722 10.9495 192.4
4 Baker Mayfield 11.7342 11.6820 168.6
5 Gardner Minshew 11.3639 10.4583 165.5
6 Carson Wentz 11.1989 10.4382 157.9
7 Nick Mullens 11.4870 11.5498 150.6
8 Patrick Mahomes 12.3407 12.1538 124.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 11.0995 12.1538 681.5
2 Daniel Jones 11.5323 10.5107 410.8
3 Carson Wentz 11.4479 10.4382 395.5
4 Gardner Minshew 11.3209 10.4583 247.8
5 Teddy Bridgewater 10.6742 10.9794 201.7
6 Matthew Stafford 11.7826 12.0472 195.0
7 Nick Mullens 11.0703 11.5498 190.4
8 Kyler Murray 10.9873 10.5893 163.7

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Lock 10.7842 11.5472 487.6
2 Matthew Stafford 11.5517 12.0472 439.9
3 Matt Ryan 10.8977 11.2555 435.4
4 Jared Goff 11.7275 10.6811 391.2
5 Carson Wentz 11.5350 10.4382 331.7
6 Nick Mullens 10.9412 11.5498 308.5
7 Justin Herbert 11.6897 10.9495 239.4
8 Gardner Minshew 11.4844 10.4583 225.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Herbert 13.6599 10.9495 1337.6
2 Drew Lock 11.1227 11.5472 392.9
3 Matthew Stafford 11.7671 12.0472 392.0
4 Matt Ryan 11.1508 11.2555 354.9
5 Philip Rivers 11.1508 11.2981 331.0
6 Josh Allen 11.5093 11.4747 244.7
7 Jared Goff 11.5306 10.6811 213.7
8 Patrick Mahomes 12.3213 12.1538 173.4

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Philip Rivers 0.0650
0.0779
(8.6)
0.0766
(6.4)
0.0680
(4.9)
0.0766
(7.3)
Ryan Tannehill 0.1048
0.0820
(9.5)
0.0795
(12.1)
0.0789
(9.5)
0.0766
(12.6)
Sam Darnold 0.0415
0.0668
(10.3)
0.0711
(10.8)
0.0738
(14.0)
0.0695
(10.9)
Joe Burrow 0.0492
0.0598
(5.5)
0.0752
(10.5)
0.0717
(11.5)
0.0647
(7.0)
Jared Goff 0.0541
0.0584
(4.1)
0.0697
(8.7)
0.0661
(10.0)
0.0668
(8.1)
Carson Wentz 0.0637
0.0786
(7.8)
0.0785
(6.5)
0.0728
(6.6)
0.0750
(5.8)
Daniel Jones 0.0393
0.0703
(15.2)
0.0723
(14.9)
0.0753
(18.8)
0.0704
(14.8)
Kirk Cousins 0.1003
0.0632
(17.6)
0.0787
(11.1)
0.0718
(11.6)
0.0740
(12.6)
Cam Newton 0.0331
0.0650
(12.9)
0.0644
(11.6)
0.0743
(17.4)
0.0766
(16.7)
Aaron Rodgers 0.1290
0.0754
(26.6)
0.0881
(21.4)
0.0710
(27.3)
0.0757
(27.0)
Matt Ryan 0.0639
0.0724
(7.2)
0.0709
(4.5)
0.0651
(4.5)
0.0766
(9.2)
Josh Allen 0.0934
0.0674
(13.2)
0.0778
(8.9)
0.0710
(9.4)
0.0688
(13.0)
Teddy Bridgewater 0.0441
0.0541
(6.4)
0.0706
(13.1)
0.0651
(13.3)
0.0766
(16.9)
Tom Brady 0.0998
0.0849
(7.2)
0.0754
(14.8)
0.0738
(12.2)
0.0766
(12.9)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Mullens 0.0779 0.0569 7.8
2 Justin Herbert 0.0629 0.0783 7.4
3 Lamar Jackson 0.0858 0.1074 7.0
4 Gardner Minshew 0.0548 0.0741 5.3
5 Kyler Murray 0.0753 0.0693 5.0
6 Andy Dalton 0.0732 0.0648 3.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 0.0860 0.1074 8.0
2 Patrick Mahomes 0.0867 0.0974 6.2
3 Derek Carr 0.0660 0.0776 5.9
4 Russell Wilson 0.0960 0.1042 4.5
5 Nick Foles 0.0635 0.0495 4.4
6 Nick Mullens 0.0682 0.0569 3.7

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Dalton 0.0000 0.0648 19.6
2 Nick Mullens 0.0000 0.0569 16.6
3 Nick Foles 0.0742 0.0495 9.6
4 Justin Herbert 0.0603 0.0783 7.1
5 Drew Lock 0.0669 0.0630 4.4
6 Deshaun Watson 0.0733 0.0864 3.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Wilson 0.0766 0.1042 14.3
2 Nick Foles 0.0766 0.0495 9.1
3 Andy Dalton 0.0891 0.0648 8.7
4 Deshaun Watson 0.0759 0.0864 4.6
5 Lamar Jackson 0.0959 0.1074 3.6
6 Drew Brees 0.0766 0.0873 3.4

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Philip Rivers 0.0203
0.0285
(3.6)
0.0202
(10.6)
0.0295
(3.9)
0.0202
(1.7)
Ryan Tannehill 0.0146
0.0249
(4.1)
0.0000
(2.4)
0.0235
(3.3)
0.0202
(1.3)
Deshaun Watson 0.0129
0.0225
(4.3)
0.0000
(3.6)
0.0248
(5.4)
0.0241
(4.5)
Joe Burrow 0.0124
0.0254
(4.6)
0.0000
(2.9)
0.0328
(7.5)
0.0269
(4.7)
Justin Herbert 0.0168
0.0270
(5.0)
0.0000
(1.6)
0.0305
(6.9)
0.0346
(8.8)
Russell Wilson 0.0233
0.0183
(3.7)
0.0000
(2.1)
0.0162
(5.1)
0.0202
(3.4)
Drew Lock 0.0339
0.0228
(5.7)
0.0000
(6.4)
0.0230
(5.7)
0.0239
(5.7)
Kirk Cousins 0.0252
0.0189
(4.1)
0.0000
(2.9)
0.0173
(5.1)
0.0200
(4.2)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0102
0.0172
(3.1)
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0159
(2.2)
0.0188
(3.3)
Carson Wentz 0.0343
0.0174
(8.2)
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0128
(10.3)
0.0178
(8.5)
Cam Newton 0.0272
0.0238
(1.9)
0.0000
(2.8)
0.0251
(1.5)
0.0202
(3.7)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Baker Mayfield 0.0307 0.0165 6.1
2 Tom Brady 0.0163 0.0197 3.1
3 Ben Roethlisberger 0.0232 0.0164 3.1
4 Nick Mullens 0.0295 0.0368 2.9
5 Aaron Rodgers 0.0159 0.0095 2.5
6 Teddy Bridgewater 0.0193 0.0224 2.4
7 Josh Allen 0.0227 0.0175 2.0
8 Nick Foles 0.0214 0.0256 1.9
9 Lamar Jackson 0.0212 0.0239 1.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Mullens 0.0000 0.0368 5.7
2 Aaron Rodgers 0.0000 0.0095 5.2
3 Sam Darnold 0.0000 0.0302 3.9
4 Jared Goff 0.0000 0.0236 2.2
5 Nick Foles 0.0000 0.0256 1.9
6 Ben Roethlisberger 0.0000 0.0164 1.8
7 Lamar Jackson 0.0000 0.0239 1.7
8 Drew Brees 0.0000 0.0154 1.6
9 Andy Dalton 0.0000 0.0240 1.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Dalton 0.0000 0.0240 8.7
2 Ben Roethlisberger 0.0273 0.0164 5.4
3 Baker Mayfield 0.0287 0.0165 5.0
4 Tom Brady 0.0177 0.0197 2.4
5 Teddy Bridgewater 0.0284 0.0224 2.0
6 Sam Darnold 0.0282 0.0302 1.5
7 Gardner Minshew 0.0206 0.0153 1.1
8 Matthew Stafford 0.0189 0.0189 1.1
9 Jared Goff 0.0237 0.0236 1.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Dalton 0.0437 0.0240 5.6
2 Baker Mayfield 0.0284 0.0165 4.3
3 Nick Foles 0.0202 0.0256 2.6
4 Teddy Bridgewater 0.0202 0.0224 2.5
5 Josh Allen 0.0249 0.0175 2.5
6 Tom Brady 0.0202 0.0197 1.5
7 Sam Darnold 0.0294 0.0302 1.4
8 Aaron Rodgers 0.0148 0.0095 1.2
9 Jared Goff 0.0244 0.0236 1.2

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
David Johnson 147
241
(94.3)
174
(27.3)
214
(67.0)
10
(137.0)
Chris Carson 141
253
(111.9)
177
(35.6)
247
(106.0)
10
(131.0)
Gus Edwards 144
75
(69.1)
123
(20.7)
38
(106.0)
10
(134.0)
Kareem Hunt 198
90
(107.5)
164
(34.3)
113
(85.0)
10
(188.0)
Dalvin Cook 312
248
(63.8)
262
(50.0)
246
(66.0)
10
(302.0)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Frank Gore 10 187 177.0
2 Wayne Gallman 25 147 121.8
3 Mike Davis 55 165 110.1
4 James Robinson 131 240 108.6
5 Jeff Wilson 19 126 106.8
6 Nick Chubb 278 190 88.2
7 Miles Sanders 248 164 83.7
8 Derrick Henry 299 378 79.1
9 Adrian Peterson 84 156 71.6
10 Raheem Mostert 173 104 68.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derrick Henry 319 378 59.4
2 Jeff Wilson 81 126 45.3
3 Cam Akers 100 145 45.0
4 Ronald Jones 171 192 21.3
5 Lamar Jackson 138 159 20.9
6 David Montgomery 227 247 19.6
7 Josh Jacobs 254 273 18.7
8 Giovani Bernard 142 124 18.5
9 James Conner 187 169 18.3
10 Kyler Murray 116 133 17.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Robinson 83 240 157.0
2 Wayne Gallman 29 147 118.0
3 Frank Gore 74 187 113.0
4 Mike Davis 56 165 109.0
5 Nick Chubb 297 190 107.0
6 Jeff Wilson 30 126 96.0
7 Derrick Henry 288 378 90.0
8 Miles Sanders 237 164 73.0
9 Ronald Jones 120 192 72.0
10 Darrell Henderson 76 138 62.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ezekiel Elliott 10 244 234.0
2 James Robinson 10 240 230.0
3 Kenyan Drake 10 239 229.0
4 Melvin Gordon 10 215 205.0
5 Todd Gurley 10 195 185.0
6 Ronald Jones 10 192 182.0
7 Nick Chubb 10 190 180.0
8 Frank Gore 10 187 177.0
9 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 10 181 171.0
10 Antonio Gibson 10 170 160.0

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Nick Chubb 5.6158
4.6898
(130.9)
4.8610
(123.6)
4.0034
(261.1)
4.6403
(186.3)
Josh Jacobs 3.9011
4.3592
(189.8)
4.5973
(218.5)
4.7004
(283.2)
4.5070
(164.1)
Giovani Bernard 3.3548
4.0931
(120.9)
3.9544
(87.3)
3.8060
(85.5)
4.6403
(158.8)
Aaron Jones 5.4925
4.4255
(166.8)
4.8818
(101.8)
4.7067
(110.1)
4.5335
(193.8)
Kenyan Drake 3.9958
4.6670
(217.1)
4.5620
(160.2)
4.6898
(222.8)
4.6403
(152.9)
Todd Gurley 3.4769
4.0546
(158.9)
4.3664
(193.8)
4.3917
(224.8)
4.6403
(225.9)
Miles Sanders 5.2866
4.3702
(111.4)
4.4363
(122.4)
4.5021
(89.6)
4.6403
(106.8)
Ezekiel Elliott 4.0123
4.4059
(153.9)
4.4787
(139.2)
4.5068
(178.8)
4.6403
(152.0)
J.K. Dobbins 6.0075
4.5153
(168.2)
4.8701
(138.4)
4.4863
(171.9)
4.2851
(231.5)
Josh Allen 4.1275
5.6811
(182.7)
6.1538
(217.3)
5.0952
(123.0)
5.5041
(139.9)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Frank Gore 4.6403 3.4920 259.1
2 Derrick Henry 4.5273 5.3624 226.1
3 Dalvin Cook 4.2764 4.9904 148.8
4 Ronald Jones 4.1536 5.0938 135.0
5 Cam Newton 5.0542 4.3212 132.9
6 Kareem Hunt 4.4652 4.2475 90.1
7 Damien Harris 4.1632 5.0438 88.2
8 Jonathan Taylor 4.4241 5.0388 87.6
9 Melvin Gordon 4.0146 4.5860 71.9
10 Kyler Murray 5.4149 6.1579 67.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derrick Henry 4.7272 5.3624 200.7
2 Melvin Gordon 3.8415 4.5860 137.7
3 Wayne Gallman 3.7407 4.6395 116.8
4 Cam Newton 4.9098 4.3212 94.9
5 Antonio Gibson 4.0625 4.6765 86.6
6 Clyde Edwards-Helaire 4.8030 4.4365 85.2
7 Damien Harris 4.3298 5.0438 83.5
8 Jeff Wilson 4.0211 4.7619 80.2
9 David Johnson 4.1119 4.7007 71.2
10 Devin Singletary 4.7401 4.4038 68.7

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wayne Gallman 2.9655 4.6395 211.1
2 Cam Newton 3.0902 4.3212 136.0
3 Ronald Jones 4.2917 5.0938 108.3
4 Mike Davis 4.2679 3.8909 101.5
5 Devin Singletary 4.8057 4.4038 99.9
6 Frank Gore 3.7162 3.4920 86.5
7 Adrian Peterson 4.1800 3.8718 85.2
8 Kyler Murray 5.2887 6.1579 83.9
9 Melvin Gordon 3.9906 4.5860 76.8
10 Kareem Hunt 4.3805 4.2475 73.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Frank Gore 4.6403 3.4920 213.8
2 Jonathan Taylor 4.2382 5.0388 186.9
3 Derrick Henry 4.9272 5.3624 166.4
4 Mike Davis 4.6403 3.8909 122.8
5 Adrian Peterson 4.6403 3.8718 119.1
6 Dalvin Cook 4.6403 4.9904 110.8
7 David Montgomery 3.9218 4.3320 102.5
8 Kyler Murray 5.4422 6.1579 95.8
9 Ronald Jones 4.6403 5.0938 88.0
10 Kareem Hunt 4.6403 4.2475 76.8

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Phillip Lindsay 0.0085
0.0276
(3.2)
0.0272
(3.0)
0.0310
(3.8)
0.0414
(4.2)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire 0.0221
0.0405
(4.8)
0.0337
(3.2)
0.0377
(4.6)
0.0414
(3.9)
Nick Chubb 0.0632
0.0356
(3.7)
0.0391
(3.4)
0.0269
(5.0)
0.0414
(3.7)
Alvin Kamara 0.0856
0.0410
(6.8)
0.0493
(5.6)
0.0449
(5.8)
0.0395
(8.2)
Kyler Murray 0.0827
0.0425
(4.3)
0.0569
(2.6)
0.0309
(5.6)
0.0378
(5.7)
D'Andre Swift 0.0702
0.0263
(4.1)
0.0264
(4.3)
0.0260
(3.9)
0.0242
(5.0)
Kareem Hunt 0.0303
0.0365
(2.8)
0.0495
(5.0)
0.0354
(3.0)
0.0414
(2.7)
Cam Akers 0.0138
0.0382
(4.7)
0.0270
(2.8)
0.0272
(3.4)
0.0414
(4.3)
Raheem Mostert 0.0192
0.0399
(3.0)
0.0350
(2.3)
0.0377
(2.9)
0.0425
(2.7)
Ezekiel Elliott 0.0246
0.0357
(4.7)
0.0342
(3.9)
0.0342
(4.8)
0.0414
(4.7)
Antonio Gibson 0.0647
0.0256
(5.3)
0.0288
(5.0)
0.0267
(4.8)
0.0414
(3.6)
Damien Harris 0.0146
0.0289
(3.1)
0.0346
(3.6)
0.0319
(3.7)
0.0414
(4.0)
Frank Gore 0.0107
0.0414
(7.2)
0.0147
(1.9)
0.0270
(4.9)
0.0414
(6.2)
J.K. Dobbins 0.0672
0.0269
(4.3)
0.0329
(3.8)
0.0342
(3.1)
0.0280
(4.9)
Cam Newton 0.0876
0.0404
(5.4)
0.0585
(3.1)
0.0328
(6.2)
0.0414
(6.0)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brian Hill 0.0230 0.0100 2.1
2 Devin Singletary 0.0173 0.0128 2.0
3 Adrian Peterson 0.0249 0.0449 1.9
4 Aaron Jones 0.0459 0.0448 1.8
5 Josh Allen 0.0566 0.0784 1.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Singletary 0.0282 0.0128 3.4
2 Derrick Henry 0.0461 0.0450 2.8
3 Jeff Wilson 0.0310 0.0556 2.3
4 Jonathan Taylor 0.0315 0.0474 2.2
5 Kenyan Drake 0.0268 0.0418 2.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wayne Gallman 0.0000 0.0408 4.6
2 Derrick Henry 0.0451 0.0450 3.8
3 Brian Hill 0.0312 0.0100 3.1
4 Devin Singletary 0.0171 0.0128 2.2
5 Aaron Jones 0.0433 0.0448 1.7

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Robinson 0.0414 0.0292 3.5
2 Brian Hill 0.0414 0.0100 3.4
3 Jonathan Taylor 0.0330 0.0474 2.8
4 Giovani Bernard 0.0414 0.0242 2.4
5 Dalvin Cook 0.0414 0.0513 2.4

Receiving

Targets

Everybody Missed for Targets

Player Actual ESPNSleeper
Chase Claypool 109
58
(51.5)
88
(21.1)
Robert Tonyan 59
23
(36.3)
70
(11.5)
Stefon Diggs 166
100
(65.8)
144
(21.7)
Darren Waller 145
99
(46.1)
130
(14.8)
J.D. McKissic 110
36
(74.0)
90
(19.7)
Will Fuller 75
120
(45.2)
8
(67.0)
Julio Jones 68
139
(70.9)
91
(22.8)
Diontae Johnson 144
104
(39.9)
108
(36.4)

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tim Patrick 20 79 58.6
2 Tee Higgins 52 108 55.8
3 Mike Davis 16 70 53.6
4 Nelson Agholor 31 82 51.0
5 Gabe Davis 17 62 45.0
6 Justin Jefferson 80 125 44.9
7 Chris Godwin Jr. 126 84 42.0
8 David Montgomery 35 68 33.4
9 Jalen Guyton 22 55 32.8
10 Robbie Chosen 103 136 32.6

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adam Thielen 140 108 31.7
2 Jamison Crowder 114 89 24.7
3 Tyreek Hill 114 135 21.2
4 Danny Amendola 90 69 20.8
5 Tyler Boyd 126 110 15.5
6 Curtis Samuel 83 97 13.9
7 Brandon Aiyuk 82 96 13.7
8 Christian Kirk 92 79 13.2
9 Mike Evans 121 109 11.8
10 Marquez Valdes-Scantling 74 63 11.4

REC/TGT

Everybody Missed for REC/TGT

Player Actual ESPNSleeper
Chase Claypool 0.5688
0.6035
(7.7)
0.6598
(11.7)
Stefon Diggs 0.7651
0.6297
(16.4)
0.6500
(16.4)
Alvin Kamara 0.7757
0.8008
(6.6)
0.8666
(11.4)
JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.7578
0.6321
(11.4)
0.6782
(8.1)
Robbie Chosen 0.6985
0.5532
(14.8)
0.6261
(7.7)
Calvin Ridley 0.6294
0.6661
(10.4)
0.6639
(7.2)
Jerry Jeudy 0.4602
0.6162
(21.7)
0.6039
(18.1)
Curtis Samuel 0.7938
0.5560
(19.5)
0.5824
(18.9)
Cole Beasley 0.7664
0.6520
(8.3)
0.6486
(10.9)
Marquise Brown 0.5800
0.6221
(7.8)
0.7121
(14.8)
Jalen Guyton 0.5091
0.5811
(6.0)
0.6559
(9.0)
Jonnu Smith 0.6308
0.7148
(7.8)
0.7697
(10.1)
Diontae Johnson 0.6111
0.6321
(8.3)
0.7017
(15.3)
DJ Moore 0.5593
0.6559
(15.7)
0.6189
(8.9)

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Davante Adams 0.6600 0.7718 11.2
2 Robert Tonyan 0.6652 0.8814 10.6
3 J.D. McKissic 0.7694 0.7273 8.6
4 Corey Davis 0.5941 0.7065 7.0
5 DJ Chark 0.6031 0.5699 6.5
6 Nelson Agholor 0.6226 0.5854 6.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Boyd 0.5809 0.7182 13.3
2 Tyreek Hill 0.7039 0.6444 10.2
3 Tim Patrick 0.5133 0.6456 9.2
4 Brandin Cooks 0.5922 0.6807 8.6
5 Allen Robinson 0.6038 0.6755 8.4
6 Travis Kelce 0.7613 0.7241 7.7

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Stefon Diggs 12.0866
15.0713
(494.9)
13.3731
(222.4)
14.7419
(425.8)
14.7230
(393.9)
JuJu Smith-Schuster 8.5670
12.8545
(548.4)
12.9734
(570.8)
13.1071
(569.6)
12.5673
(478.3)
Keenan Allen 9.9200
11.7691
(271.4)
11.8617
(293.2)
12.4643
(360.8)
12.1163
(284.2)
Diontae Johnson 10.4886
11.9362
(208.0)
12.4331
(287.7)
12.6552
(299.0)
12.5673
(261.4)
Justin Jefferson 15.9091
12.2500
(457.8)
13.0561
(350.0)
12.3333
(458.2)
13.6871
(310.7)
Nelson Agholor 18.6667
10.9326
(634.5)
10.7181
(647.4)
12.6000
(504.9)
12.5673
(521.7)
Tyler Lockett 10.5400
13.5566
(397.8)
13.3575
(378.9)
13.7945
(417.7)
14.1568
(442.7)
Jerry Jeudy 16.4615
12.8322
(410.5)
12.4382
(448.6)
12.5400
(453.3)
13.4907
(365.5)
Calvin Ridley 15.2667
13.2559
(288.0)
12.7829
(347.6)
13.1818
(311.0)
13.4430
(298.4)
Jalen Guyton 18.2500
12.9380
(292.3)
12.9126
(290.6)
12.5673
(317.5)
12.5673
(327.0)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 20.9091
15.2308
(357.9)
15.1908
(356.9)
13.4643
(474.7)
15.0947
(382.9)
DJ Moore 18.0758
12.9198
(608.8)
13.1323
(577.0)
13.0723
(601.0)
13.5993
(559.3)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Chosen 14.5909 11.5368 414.9
2 Robert Woods 12.7108 10.4000 297.7
3 Amari Cooper 14.3156 12.1087 286.5
4 Cooper Kupp 12.4725 10.5870 233.4
5 Jimmy Graham 11.9139 9.1200 212.1
6 Terry McLaurin 14.4163 12.8506 209.4
7 Will Fuller 13.9186 16.5849 200.2
8 Gabe Davis 13.9263 17.1143 197.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Chosen 13.7980 11.5368 314.8
2 Will Fuller 12.5673 16.5849 297.3
3 Tyler Boyd 13.0123 10.6456 266.2
4 Robert Woods 12.2227 10.4000 242.0
5 Jimmy Graham 11.9123 9.1200 216.3
6 Cooper Kupp 12.1058 10.5870 194.9
7 Allen Robinson 13.4375 12.2549 186.6
8 Amari Cooper 13.4304 12.1087 178.7

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.D. McKissic 12.5673 7.3625 562.6
2 Cooper Kupp 13.6667 10.5870 370.7
3 Robbie Chosen 14.2791 11.5368 360.7
4 Tim Patrick 10.4333 14.5490 332.3
5 Robert Woods 12.7791 10.4000 295.3
6 Gabe Davis 12.5673 17.1143 287.5
7 Mike Gesicki 10.4677 13.2642 245.4
8 Russell Gage 13.1818 10.9167 237.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.D. McKissic 12.5673 7.3625 543.6
2 Mike Davis 12.5673 6.3220 418.7
3 Nyheim Hines 12.5673 7.6508 353.6
4 Will Fuller 12.5673 16.5849 321.1
5 Tyreek Hill 12.5673 14.6667 319.0
6 Gabe Davis 12.5673 17.1143 298.2
7 James White 12.5673 7.6531 288.4
8 Corey Davis 12.5673 15.1385 260.8

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Robert Tonyan 0.2115
0.0861
(6.6)
0.0948
(6.1)
0.0690
(7.7)
0.0769
(7.6)
Gabe Davis 0.2000
0.0737
(7.0)
0.0788
(6.6)
0.0925
(5.9)
0.0925
(6.4)
Davante Adams 0.1565
0.0813
(9.1)
0.0985
(6.6)
0.1100
(5.2)
0.0934
(8.7)
Amari Cooper 0.0543
0.0866
(6.0)
0.0760
(4.6)
0.0886
(6.0)
0.0925
(5.6)
Mike Evans 0.1857
0.1223
(5.4)
0.1027
(7.5)
0.1077
(7.2)
0.1038
(8.4)
Robbie Chosen 0.0316
0.0787
(8.3)
0.0885
(9.7)
0.0698
(6.8)
0.0925
(9.0)
Nelson Agholor 0.1667
0.0829
(5.7)
0.0811
(5.9)
0.0667
(7.2)
0.0925
(5.7)
Adam Thielen 0.1892
0.0816
(10.1)
0.0790
(10.4)
0.0854
(9.9)
0.0925
(9.9)
Curtis Samuel 0.0390
0.0861
(5.9)
0.0971
(7.0)
0.0870
(5.8)
0.0925
(5.7)
DeAndre Hopkins 0.0522
0.0817
(7.0)
0.0849
(7.5)
0.0842
(7.0)
0.0803
(5.3)
Jonnu Smith 0.1951
0.0938
(5.7)
0.0838
(6.3)
0.1000
(5.4)
0.0947
(6.2)
Terry McLaurin 0.0460
0.0680
(4.8)
0.0888
(7.6)
0.0896
(7.4)
0.0863
(6.1)
Cooper Kupp 0.0326
0.0713
(6.5)
0.0895
(8.8)
0.0897
(8.6)
0.0879
(7.5)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 0.1818
0.0947
(4.6)
0.0746
(5.9)
0.0714
(6.2)
0.0795
(6.1)
Tyreek Hill 0.1724
0.1094
(6.6)
0.1036
(7.4)
0.1053
(7.5)
0.0925
(10.1)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Graham 0.0742 0.1600 5.5
2 Stefon Diggs 0.0777 0.0630 4.8
3 Danny Amendola 0.0479 0.0000 4.3
4 CeeDee Lamb 0.0888 0.0676 3.9
5 Jerry Jeudy 0.0761 0.0577 3.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Allen Robinson 0.0862 0.0588 6.3
2 Stefon Diggs 0.0864 0.0630 6.2
3 A.J. Brown 0.0990 0.1571 4.7
4 Cole Beasley 0.0716 0.0488 3.9
5 Marquise Brown 0.0851 0.1379 3.9

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.D. McKissic 0.0925 0.0250 8.7
2 Stefon Diggs 0.0968 0.0630 7.6
3 Jimmy Graham 0.0513 0.1600 7.4
4 A.J. Brown 0.0857 0.1571 6.3
5 Chase Claypool 0.0833 0.1452 5.4

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.D. McKissic 0.0925 0.0250 8.0
2 Danny Amendola 0.0925 0.0000 6.7
3 Allen Robinson 0.0925 0.0588 5.8
4 Jared Cook 0.0925 0.1892 5.5
5 A.J. Brown 0.1025 0.1571 5.3