2023 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Passers with 300 attempts, rushers with 100 carries, receivers with 50 targets.

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Geno Smith 499
0
(499.0)
541
(42.0)
589
(90.0)
546
(46.5)
Russell Wilson 447
0
(447.0)
533
(86.0)
502
(55.0)
30
(417.0)
Baker Mayfield 566
0
(566.0)
485
(81.0)
352
(214.0)
499
(67.2)
Justin Herbert 456
0
(456.0)
614
(158.0)
623
(167.0)
636
(180.5)
Lamar Jackson 457
0
(457.0)
495
(38.0)
512
(55.0)
482
(24.8)
Jared Goff 605
0
(605.0)
538
(67.0)
551
(54.0)
575
(30.1)
Jalen Hurts 538
0
(538.0)
490
(48.0)
492
(46.0)
496
(42.1)
Gardner Minshew 490
0
(490.0)
37
(453.0)
65
(425.0)
158
(332.4)
Sam Howell 612
0
(612.0)
504
(108.0)
410
(202.0)
527
(85.2)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0 597 597.0
2 Dak Prescott 0 590 590.0
3 Jordan Love 0 579 579.0
4 Josh Allen 0 579 579.0
5 Trevor Lawrence 0 564 564.0
6 Tua Tagovailoa 0 560 560.0
7 Derek Carr 0 548 548.0
8 Bryce Young 0 527 527.0
9 Matthew Stafford 0 521 521.0
10 C.J. Stroud 0 499 499.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kirk Cousins 595 311 284.0
2 Joe Burrow 583 365 218.0
3 Kenny Pickett 511 324 187.0
4 Mac Jones 521 345 176.0
5 Matthew Stafford 613 521 92.0
6 Brock Purdy 532 444 88.0
7 Justin Fields 456 370 86.0
8 Jordan Love 499 579 80.0
9 Zach Wilson 448 368 80.0
10 Desmond Ridder 442 388 54.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Wilson 36 368 332.0
2 Kirk Cousins 595 311 284.0
3 Joshua Dobbs 150 417 267.0
4 Joe Burrow 590 365 225.0
5 Kenny Pickett 503 324 179.0
6 Mac Jones 462 345 117.0
7 Justin Fields 464 370 94.0
8 Jordan Love 515 579 64.0
9 Tua Tagovailoa 502 560 58.0
10 Derek Carr 504 548 44.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derek Carr 30 548 518.0
2 Desmond Ridder 30 388 358.0
3 Kirk Cousins 614 311 303.3
4 Joe Burrow 606 365 240.8
5 Kenny Pickett 502 324 177.8
6 Mac Jones 519 345 174.4
7 Joshua Dobbs 244 417 172.7
8 Zach Wilson 217 368 150.9
9 Justin Fields 419 370 49.2
10 Dak Prescott 558 590 32.0

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Bryce Young 0.5977
0.6526
(28.9)
0.6114
(15.2)
0.6308
(24.5)
0.6251
(17.9)
Kenny Pickett 0.6204
0.6526
(10.4)
0.6341
(9.3)
0.6302
(7.5)
0.6331
(6.2)
Brock Purdy 0.6937
0.6526
(18.3)
0.6372
(18.4)
0.6296
(22.5)
0.6524
(15.4)
Lamar Jackson 0.6718
0.6526
(8.8)
0.6323
(11.1)
0.6406
(8.1)
0.6349
(13.9)
Dak Prescott 0.6949
0.6526
(25.0)
0.6721
(4.6)
0.6697
(7.0)
0.6611
(16.1)
Kirk Cousins 0.6945
0.6526
(13.0)
0.6555
(7.4)
0.6605
(6.4)
0.6630
(7.8)
Gardner Minshew 0.6224
0.6526
(14.8)
0.6216
(7.0)
0.6308
(10.6)
0.6510
(17.2)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.6929
0.6526
(22.6)
0.6624
(8.6)
0.6494
(16.9)
0.6584
(15.6)
Joe Burrow 0.6685
0.6526
(5.8)
0.6655
(4.4)
0.6797
(9.0)
0.6776
(5.7)
Josh Allen 0.6649
0.6526
(7.2)
0.6269
(13.2)
0.6303
(12.4)
0.6316
(15.5)
Matthew Stafford 0.6257
0.6526
(14.0)
0.6297
(9.9)
0.6699
(30.0)
0.6646
(23.7)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Wilson 0.6526 0.6005 19.2
2 Derek Carr 0.6526 0.6843 17.4
3 Justin Fields 0.6526 0.6135 14.5
4 Jared Goff 0.6526 0.6727 12.2
5 Patrick Mahomes 0.6526 0.6717 11.4
6 Sam Howell 0.6526 0.6340 11.4
7 Joshua Dobbs 0.6526 0.6283 10.1
8 C.J. Stroud 0.6526 0.6393 6.6
9 Jordan Love 0.6526 0.6425 5.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Herbert 0.6710 0.6513 15.9
2 Joshua Dobbs 0.6495 0.6283 15.1
3 Baker Mayfield 0.6124 0.6431 8.8
4 Trevor Lawrence 0.6283 0.6560 7.1
5 Sam Howell 0.6270 0.6340 5.0
6 Jordan Love 0.6192 0.6425 4.7
7 Geno Smith 0.6414 0.6473 4.6
8 Zach Wilson 0.5737 0.6005 4.3
9 Justin Fields 0.6096 0.6135 4.2

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 0.6791 0.6473 22.5
2 Derek Carr 0.6310 0.6843 21.9
3 Baker Mayfield 0.5994 0.6431 17.2
4 Justin Herbert 0.6693 0.6513 14.3
5 Russell Wilson 0.6215 0.6644 13.2
6 Sam Howell 0.6000 0.6340 12.6
7 Mac Jones 0.6602 0.6493 8.4
8 Joshua Dobbs 0.6333 0.6283 7.7
9 Trevor Lawrence 0.6503 0.6560 4.3

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 0.6810 0.6473 20.1
2 Derek Carr 0.6526 0.6843 13.8
3 Justin Herbert 0.6735 0.6513 13.1
4 Zach Wilson 0.5661 0.6005 10.3
5 Baker Mayfield 0.6207 0.6431 9.0
6 Desmond Ridder 0.6526 0.6418 6.7
7 Mac Jones 0.6615 0.6493 6.5
8 Jared Goff 0.6580 0.6727 4.9
9 Justin Fields 0.6193 0.6135 4.5

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Bryce Young 9.1333
10.9553
(960.2)
11.2399
(867.9)
11.0932
(835.4)
10.7058
(593.1)
Desmond Ridder 11.3896
10.9553
(168.5)
11.0182
(322.4)
10.6548
(430.5)
10.9553
(342.0)
Geno Smith 11.2198
10.9553
(132.0)
11.3026
(188.0)
10.6000
(496.2)
10.6528
(506.0)
C.J. Stroud 12.8777
10.9553
(959.3)
11.8252
(754.6)
10.8026
(1222.5)
10.8889
(1215.5)
Lamar Jackson 11.9805
10.9553
(468.5)
11.7252
(326.7)
11.2439
(507.8)
11.5142
(417.4)
Patrick Mahomes 10.4314
10.9553
(312.7)
12.1237
(735.9)
11.8296
(611.0)
11.4989
(370.4)
Zach Wilson 10.2760
10.9553
(250.0)
11.9572
(449.5)
11.6190
(356.4)
14.3157
(1322.1)
Joshua Dobbs 9.4046
10.9553
(646.6)
10.7113
(353.3)
11.0526
(531.0)
11.6502
(750.0)
Brock Purdy 13.8961
10.9553
(1305.7)
11.7935
(1137.6)
11.9082
(1049.0)
12.3725
(875.0)
Sam Howell 10.1701
10.9553
(480.5)
11.2373
(371.9)
11.9919
(885.6)
11.2224
(370.4)
Matthew Stafford 12.1626
10.9553
(629.0)
11.3005
(688.6)
11.3536
(616.7)
11.4954
(580.5)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Burrow 10.9553 9.4631 544.6
2 Tua Tagovailoa 10.9553 11.9175 538.9
3 Mac Jones 10.9553 9.4643 514.4
4 Derek Carr 10.9553 10.3413 336.4
5 Russell Wilson 10.9553 10.3367 276.5
6 Kenny Pickett 10.9553 10.2985 212.8
7 Justin Herbert 10.9553 10.5522 183.8
8 Jared Goff 10.9553 11.2408 172.7
9 Josh Allen 10.9553 11.1844 132.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Burrow 11.4124 9.4631 543.7
2 Jalen Hurts 12.1497 10.9602 392.7
3 Mac Jones 11.0212 9.4643 378.6
4 Dak Prescott 10.9330 11.0146 319.3
5 Jared Goff 11.2345 11.2408 281.9
6 Tua Tagovailoa 12.0193 11.9175 200.4
7 Russell Wilson 10.9195 10.3367 55.1
8 Josh Allen 11.5510 11.1844 53.9
9 Derek Carr 10.8889 10.3413 48.2

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Burrow 11.3292 9.4631 544.4
2 Derek Carr 11.5692 10.3413 467.5
3 Russell Wilson 11.7564 10.3367 467.1
4 Jalen Hurts 12.0317 10.9602 374.9
5 Mac Jones 10.7574 9.4643 316.9
6 Dak Prescott 11.0512 11.0146 199.5
7 Trevor Lawrence 10.9220 10.8541 173.0
8 Baker Mayfield 11.1848 11.1099 169.6
9 Jordan Love 11.2778 11.1801 160.4

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gardner Minshew 15.8791 10.8361 2252.0
2 Justin Herbert 10.0474 10.5522 434.1
3 Kirk Cousins 9.9362 10.7917 405.1
4 Kenny Pickett 9.7202 10.2985 332.2
5 Trevor Lawrence 10.7367 10.8541 318.3
6 Jalen Hurts 11.9405 10.9602 286.9
7 Jordan Love 11.2826 11.1801 199.5
8 Baker Mayfield 11.2190 11.1099 191.3
9 Jared Goff 11.4132 11.2408 166.2

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Bryce Young 0.0349
0.0665
(16.7)
0.0623
(10.9)
0.0547
(8.4)
0.0585
(9.3)
Kenny Pickett 0.0299
0.0665
(11.9)
0.0617
(8.2)
0.0631
(9.6)
0.0494
(4.4)
Russell Wilson 0.0875
0.0665
(9.4)
0.0718
(10.0)
0.0705
(9.3)
0.0665
(12.1)
Baker Mayfield 0.0769
0.0665
(5.9)
0.0774
(3.5)
0.0616
(10.8)
0.0691
(7.8)
Trevor Lawrence 0.0568
0.0665
(5.5)
0.0743
(6.1)
0.0645
(2.3)
0.0680
(2.9)
Jordan Love 0.0860
0.0665
(11.3)
0.0744
(10.6)
0.0679
(12.6)
0.0746
(10.1)
Dak Prescott 0.0878
0.0665
(12.6)
0.0777
(9.9)
0.0755
(9.5)
0.0824
(6.7)
Kirk Cousins 0.0833
0.0665
(5.2)
0.0744
(4.9)
0.0789
(2.5)
0.0675
(6.8)
Gardner Minshew 0.0492
0.0665
(8.5)
0.0435
(6.1)
0.0732
(9.9)
0.0838
(14.0)
Zach Wilson 0.0362
0.0665
(11.2)
0.0545
(4.3)
0.0476
(2.8)
0.0700
(10.2)
Brock Purdy 0.1006
0.0665
(15.2)
0.0767
(13.6)
0.0782
(11.6)
0.0886
(8.0)
Josh Allen 0.0753
0.0665
(5.1)
0.0882
(3.5)
0.0880
(5.2)
0.0899
(4.9)
Matthew Stafford 0.0736
0.0665
(3.7)
0.0725
(4.1)
0.0696
(4.1)
0.0689
(5.6)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Howell 0.0665 0.0541 7.6
2 Mac Jones 0.0665 0.0446 7.5
3 Desmond Ridder 0.0665 0.0482 7.1
4 Joshua Dobbs 0.0665 0.0496 7.0
5 Lamar Jackson 0.0665 0.0782 5.3
6 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0665 0.0747 4.6
7 Jared Goff 0.0665 0.0737 4.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0.0954 0.0673 12.7
2 Mac Jones 0.0697 0.0446 6.3
3 Joe Burrow 0.0851 0.0615 6.2
4 Geno Smith 0.0807 0.0619 6.0
5 Desmond Ridder 0.0693 0.0482 5.6
6 Lamar Jackson 0.0735 0.0782 5.2
7 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0882 0.0747 3.8

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0.0952 0.0673 14.4
2 C.J. Stroud 0.0615 0.0721 7.2
3 Joe Burrow 0.0848 0.0615 7.1
4 Joshua Dobbs 0.0632 0.0496 4.1
5 Jared Goff 0.0716 0.0737 3.5
6 Geno Smith 0.0700 0.0619 2.2
7 Jalen Hurts 0.0730 0.0653 2.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0.0896 0.0673 9.7
2 C.J. Stroud 0.0638 0.0721 7.1
3 Desmond Ridder 0.0665 0.0482 4.8
4 Justin Herbert 0.0648 0.0673 3.9
5 Derek Carr 0.0665 0.0667 3.4
6 Joshua Dobbs 0.0631 0.0496 3.1
7 Sam Howell 0.0651 0.0541 3.1

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Mac Jones 0.0348
0.0212
(4.7)
0.0269
(3.7)
0.0260
(3.3)
0.0256
(3.9)
Desmond Ridder 0.0309
0.0212
(3.8)
0.0294
(1.6)
0.0150
(6.5)
0.0212
(4.5)
Kenny Pickett 0.0123
0.0212
(2.9)
0.0274
(4.0)
0.0219
(2.8)
0.0209
(2.1)
C.J. Stroud 0.0100
0.0212
(5.6)
0.0268
(7.1)
0.0281
(8.6)
0.0233
(5.6)
Trevor Lawrence 0.0248
0.0212
(2.0)
0.0233
(2.3)
0.0175
(4.6)
0.0204
(3.6)
Derek Carr 0.0146
0.0212
(3.6)
0.0227
(3.0)
0.0238
(4.6)
0.0212
(2.5)
Dak Prescott 0.0153
0.0212
(3.5)
0.0216
(2.2)
0.0235
(4.3)
0.0231
(3.5)
Jalen Hurts 0.0279
0.0212
(3.6)
0.0184
(6.6)
0.0163
(6.7)
0.0206
(5.0)
Gardner Minshew 0.0184
0.0212
(1.4)
0.0270
(2.9)
0.0308
(5.7)
0.0279
(3.7)
Josh Allen 0.0311
0.0212
(5.7)
0.0242
(5.5)
0.0235
(4.9)
0.0254
(4.4)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.0250
0.0212
(2.1)
0.0201
(4.3)
0.0219
(2.2)
0.0231
(2.2)
Brock Purdy 0.0248
0.0212
(1.6)
0.0226
(2.2)
0.0193
(2.8)
0.0220
(2.1)
Sam Howell 0.0343
0.0212
(8.0)
0.0238
(8.1)
0.0195
(9.6)
0.0289
(4.6)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 0.0212 0.0153 2.7
2 Justin Herbert 0.0212 0.0154 2.7
3 Baker Mayfield 0.0212 0.0177 2.0
4 Joe Burrow 0.0212 0.0164 1.7
5 Kirk Cousins 0.0212 0.0161 1.6
6 Geno Smith 0.0212 0.0180 1.6
7 Russell Wilson 0.0212 0.0179 1.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Baker Mayfield 0.0268 0.0177 3.7
2 Zach Wilson 0.0312 0.0190 3.5
3 Patrick Mahomes 0.0203 0.0235 3.5
4 Bryce Young 0.0267 0.0190 2.6
5 Justin Fields 0.0329 0.0243 2.2
6 Lamar Jackson 0.0222 0.0153 1.9
7 Jordan Love 0.0240 0.0190 1.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joshua Dobbs 0.0333 0.0240 3.5
2 Jordan Love 0.0252 0.0190 3.1
3 Zach Wilson 0.0278 0.0190 2.9
4 Patrick Mahomes 0.0198 0.0235 2.7
5 Russell Wilson 0.0239 0.0179 2.3
6 Joe Burrow 0.0220 0.0164 1.7
7 Matthew Stafford 0.0252 0.0211 1.7

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0.0187 0.0235 4.0
2 Zach Wilson 0.0313 0.0190 3.8
3 Jordan Love 0.0256 0.0190 2.7
4 Joshua Dobbs 0.0319 0.0240 2.5
5 Baker Mayfield 0.0239 0.0177 2.4
6 Lamar Jackson 0.0224 0.0153 2.3
7 Bryce Young 0.0241 0.0190 1.6

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
James Cook 237
0
(237.0)
180
(57.0)
155
(82.0)
168
(69.4)
Kyren Williams 228
0
(228.0)
167
(61.0)
82
(146.0)
123
(104.6)
Chuba Hubbard 238
0
(238.0)
122
(116.0)
87
(151.0)
126
(111.5)
Devin Singletary 216
0
(216.0)
126
(90.0)
129
(87.0)
134
(81.9)
Rachaad White 272
0
(272.0)
201
(71.0)
229
(43.0)
216
(55.8)
D'Andre Swift 229
0
(229.0)
187
(42.0)
131
(98.0)
125
(103.7)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derrick Henry 0 280 280.0
2 Christian McCaffrey 0 272 272.0
3 Travis Etienne 0 267 267.0
4 Joe Mixon 0 257 257.0
5 Najee Harris 0 255 255.0
6 Tony Pollard 0 252 252.0
7 Saquon Barkley 0 247 247.0
8 Josh Jacobs 0 233 233.0
9 Breece Hall 0 223 223.0
10 David Montgomery 0 219 219.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miles Sanders 251 129 122.0
2 Zack Moss 96 183 87.0
3 Rhamondre Stevenson 239 156 83.0
4 Khalil Herbert 189 132 57.0
5 Kareem Hunt 80 135 55.0
6 David Montgomery 272 219 53.0
7 Zach Charbonnet 161 108 53.0
8 Bijan Robinson 262 214 48.0
9 Jonathan Taylor 217 169 48.0
10 Jahmyr Gibbs 135 182 47.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Moss 45 183 138.0
2 Kareem Hunt 10 135 125.0
3 Jerome Ford 88 204 116.0
4 Gus Edwards 111 198 87.0
5 Miles Sanders 206 129 77.0
6 Jaylen Warren 84 149 65.0
7 Tyler Allgeier 128 186 58.0
8 Travis Etienne 213 267 54.0
9 Breece Hall 175 223 48.0
10 Javonte Williams 171 217 46.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Mixon 10 257 247.0
2 Najee Harris 10 255 245.0
3 Gus Edwards 10 198 188.0
4 Zack Moss 10 183 173.0
5 Kareem Hunt 10 135 125.0
6 Miles Sanders 10 129 119.0
7 Joshua Kelley 10 107 97.0
8 Jerome Ford 122 204 82.5
9 Christian McCaffrey 221 272 50.6
10 Breece Hall 175 223 47.8

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Josh Jacobs 3.4549
4.2936
(196.1)
4.3271
(174.5)
4.5917
(205.8)
4.2511
(94.5)
Kyren Williams 5.0175
4.2936
(164.3)
4.1377
(228.7)
4.0854
(270.3)
5.9165
(115.9)
Tyler Allgeier 3.6720
4.2936
(116.2)
4.3804
(108.8)
4.5859
(122.9)
4.6622
(111.5)
Jaylen Warren 5.2617
4.2936
(143.8)
4.2895
(163.2)
4.3810
(169.0)
5.1315
(77.6)
Jahmyr Gibbs 5.1923
4.2936
(163.0)
4.0889
(223.3)
4.4972
(172.6)
4.7242
(156.3)
Kareem Hunt 3.0444
4.2936
(169.1)
4.1000
(125.9)
4.2936
(134.4)
4.2936
(115.9)
De'Von Achane 7.7670
4.2936
(357.4)
4.5179
(347.4)
3.9899
(415.1)
4.5699
(369.5)
Christian McCaffrey 5.3640
4.2936
(290.3)
4.7713
(194.7)
4.5000
(303.9)
4.9047
(231.1)
Travis Etienne 3.7753
4.2936
(139.2)
4.4453
(146.0)
4.7934
(204.2)
4.9150
(200.0)
James Conner 5.0000
4.2936
(146.3)
4.1759
(197.1)
4.0909
(241.8)
4.2378
(239.8)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 4.2936 5.5473 185.1
2 Rachaad White 4.2936 3.6397 178.7
3 Javonte Williams 4.2936 3.5668 158.4
4 AJ Dillon 4.2936 3.4438 151.8
5 Austin Ekeler 4.2936 3.5084 141.1
6 Justin Fields 4.2936 5.2984 124.2
7 Miles Sanders 4.2936 3.3488 122.3
8 Chuba Hubbard 4.2936 3.7899 120.6
9 Raheem Mostert 4.2936 4.8421 114.0
10 James Cook 4.2936 4.7342 103.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jalen Hurts 4.9548 3.8535 153.6
2 Javonte Williams 4.3606 3.5668 145.5
3 Austin Ekeler 4.4179 3.5084 140.7
4 James Cook 4.2833 4.7342 136.1
5 Rachaad White 4.2239 3.6397 125.4
6 David Montgomery 4.1985 4.6347 122.5
7 Miles Sanders 4.3307 3.3488 110.8
8 AJ Dillon 4.1823 3.4438 109.5
9 Raheem Mostert 4.5134 4.8421 94.5
10 Tony Pollard 4.4747 3.9881 91.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tony Pollard 5.1000 3.9881 216.4
2 Chuba Hubbard 4.7931 3.7899 178.5
3 David Montgomery 4.1073 4.6347 171.0
4 Gus Edwards 5.0180 4.0909 133.4
5 Justin Fields 6.5878 5.2984 128.5
6 Raheem Mostert 4.5092 4.8421 122.5
7 Austin Ekeler 4.4070 3.5084 115.5
8 Miles Sanders 4.4951 3.3488 115.2
9 Jalen Hurts 4.8054 3.8535 109.7
10 Josh Allen 5.8190 4.7207 93.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chuba Hubbard 4.9660 3.7899 187.0
2 David Montgomery 4.2315 4.6347 173.8
3 Tony Pollard 4.9346 3.9881 140.1
4 D'Andre Swift 5.4589 4.5808 111.7
5 Javonte Williams 4.4307 3.5668 102.7
6 Derrick Henry 4.2039 4.1679 99.3
7 Brian Robinson 3.9520 4.1180 99.1
8 Jerome Ford 4.8370 3.9853 94.1
9 Zack Moss 4.2936 4.3388 79.7
10 Jalen Hurts 4.7402 3.8535 77.9

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
AJ Dillon 0.0112
0.0352
(4.3)
0.0345
(4.5)
0.0323
(4.3)
0.0290
(3.3)
James Cook 0.0084
0.0352
(6.3)
0.0333
(6.3)
0.0258
(4.8)
0.0257
(4.2)
Chuba Hubbard 0.0210
0.0352
(3.4)
0.0328
(3.2)
0.0345
(3.9)
0.0332
(3.0)
Gus Edwards 0.0657
0.0352
(6.0)
0.0297
(6.8)
0.0360
(5.3)
0.0352
(5.9)
David Montgomery 0.0594
0.0352
(5.3)
0.0368
(4.5)
0.0339
(4.9)
0.0403
(4.1)
Jahmyr Gibbs 0.0549
0.0352
(3.6)
0.0296
(4.3)
0.0331
(3.4)
0.0426
(2.1)
D'Andre Swift 0.0218
0.0352
(3.1)
0.0321
(2.8)
0.0458
(6.2)
0.0447
(5.4)
Kareem Hunt 0.0667
0.0352
(4.3)
0.0250
(5.4)
0.0352
(3.8)
0.0352
(4.2)
Raheem Mostert 0.0861
0.0352
(10.6)
0.0321
(10.9)
0.0245
(12.2)
0.0414
(9.2)
Bijan Robinson 0.0187
0.0352
(3.5)
0.0344
(3.7)
0.0327
(3.6)
0.0326
(3.1)
Jalen Hurts 0.0955
0.0352
(9.5)
0.0710
(3.6)
0.0671
(4.0)
0.0792
(2.5)
De'Von Achane 0.0777
0.0352
(4.4)
0.0268
(5.1)
0.0404
(3.5)
0.0355
(4.3)
Javonte Williams 0.0138
0.0352
(4.6)
0.0337
(4.7)
0.0292
(4.0)
0.0248
(2.5)
Josh Allen 0.1351
0.0352
(11.1)
0.0545
(8.7)
0.0431
(9.9)
0.0608
(8.2)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Christian McCaffrey 0.0352 0.0515 4.4
2 Kyren Williams 0.0352 0.0526 4.0
3 Devin Singletary 0.0352 0.0185 3.6
4 Rachaad White 0.0352 0.0221 3.6
5 Miles Sanders 0.0352 0.0078 3.5
6 Jerome Ford 0.0352 0.0196 3.2

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyren Williams 0.0299 0.0526 4.8
2 Breece Hall 0.0357 0.0224 3.4
3 Devin Singletary 0.0317 0.0185 3.3
4 Joshua Kelley 0.0441 0.0187 2.9
5 Jerome Ford 0.0312 0.0196 2.8
6 Rachaad White 0.0299 0.0221 2.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tony Pollard 0.0455 0.0238 6.2
2 Kyren Williams 0.0244 0.0526 5.8
3 Christian McCaffrey 0.0285 0.0515 5.5
4 Austin Ekeler 0.0503 0.0279 4.5
5 Josh Jacobs 0.0375 0.0258 3.4
6 Breece Hall 0.0343 0.0224 3.3

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miles Sanders 0.0352 0.0078 3.6
2 Tony Pollard 0.0369 0.0238 3.4
3 Christian McCaffrey 0.0388 0.0515 3.3
4 Derrick Henry 0.0308 0.0429 3.2
5 Austin Ekeler 0.0445 0.0279 3.1
6 Breece Hall 0.0325 0.0224 2.4

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 CeeDee Lamb 0 181 181.0
2 Davante Adams 0 175 175.0
3 Tyreek Hill 0 171 171.0
4 Puka Nacua 0 160 160.0
5 Stefon Diggs 0 160 160.0
6 A.J. Brown 0 158 158.0
7 Michael Pittman 0 156 156.0
8 Keenan Allen 0 150 150.0
9 Ja'Marr Chase 0 145 145.0
10 Evan Engram 0 143 143.0

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DeAndre Hopkins 0.6756 0.5474 18.1
2 Evan Engram 0.6756 0.7972 16.9
3 Alvin Kamara 0.6756 0.8721 16.6
4 Rachaad White 0.6756 0.9143 16.5
5 Calvin Ridley 0.6756 0.5588 16.4
6 Davante Adams 0.6756 0.5886 15.9
7 Amari Cooper 0.6756 0.5625 14.9
8 DK Metcalf 0.6756 0.5546 14.8
9 Mike Evans 0.6756 0.5809 13.4
10 CeeDee Lamb 0.6756 0.7459 12.1

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Brandon Aiyuk 17.8933
12.4096
(577.1)
13.9143
(375.8)
13.2609
(451.2)
14.6804
(332.1)
George Pickens 18.0952
12.4096
(604.0)
13.8088
(411.9)
14.6333
(331.4)
14.8962
(333.8)
Amari Cooper 17.3611
12.4096
(635.4)
13.2658
(473.0)
13.5679
(442.5)
12.4096
(627.4)
Garrett Wilson 10.9684
13.8467
(481.5)
12.2198
(277.5)
13.3929
(463.7)
13.0056
(350.7)
DK Metcalf 16.8788
12.4096
(533.3)
13.0886
(403.4)
12.5057
(480.4)
13.1731
(435.0)
Nico Collins 16.2125
12.4096
(415.8)
12.5972
(350.4)
12.9811
(315.6)
13.2228
(320.4)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Evan Engram 12.4096 8.4474 564.8
2 Alvin Kamara 12.4096 6.2133 531.8
3 Mike Evans 12.4096 15.8861 474.5
4 Jaylen Warren 12.4096 6.0656 468.6
5 Tyreek Hill 12.4096 15.1176 465.2
6 Tony Pollard 12.4096 5.6545 451.8
7 Breece Hall 12.4096 7.7763 439.0
8 Adam Thielen 12.4096 9.8447 349.7
9 Bijan Robinson 12.4096 8.3966 344.1
10 Justin Jefferson 12.4096 15.7941 339.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Evan Engram 10.6970 8.4474 378.9
2 Ja'Marr Chase 14.2952 12.1600 367.6
3 Puka Nacua 11.5402 14.1524 353.9
4 Davante Adams 12.6667 11.1068 343.0
5 Tyler Lockett 13.6944 11.3165 338.9
6 A.J. Brown 15.3409 13.7358 316.8
7 Diontae Johnson 10.0822 14.0588 311.1
8 Noah Brown 11.7619 17.1818 276.1
9 DeAndre Hopkins 11.6860 14.0933 275.0
10 Stefon Diggs 12.3519 11.0561 271.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Davante Adams 13.7629 11.1068 523.6
2 DJ Moore 11.2771 14.2083 353.0
3 Evan Engram 10.5714 8.4474 351.8
4 A.J. Brown 15.3049 13.7358 301.0
5 Stefon Diggs 12.5773 11.0561 297.1
6 Noah Brown 11.5714 17.1818 290.1
7 Trey Palmer 13.6087 9.8718 276.9
8 Josh Palmer 10.6579 15.2895 262.0
9 Diontae Johnson 10.7614 14.0588 257.7
10 Travis Kelce 12.2644 10.5806 242.3

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 12.4096 15.1176 454.5
2 Adam Thielen 12.4096 9.8447 358.2
3 Joe Mixon 12.4096 7.2308 334.6
4 Gabe Davis 12.4096 16.5778 333.6
5 Gerald Everett 12.4096 8.0588 308.1
6 Davante Adams 12.8045 11.1068 305.9
7 Rashee Rice 14.5931 11.8734 282.5
8 Puka Nacua 15.7922 14.1524 270.4
9 Logan Thomas 12.4096 9.0182 268.4
10 Noah Brown 12.4096 17.1818 259.7

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Mike Evans 0.1646
0.0782
(11.7)
0.0946
(9.6)
0.0781
(11.4)
0.1054
(7.6)
Courtland Sutton 0.1695
0.0782
(8.2)
0.0847
(7.7)
0.0781
(8.0)
0.0851
(7.3)
Garrett Wilson 0.0316
0.1046
(12.3)
0.0769
(7.6)
0.0833
(9.1)
0.0686
(6.7)
Brandin Cooks 0.1481
0.0782
(5.7)
0.0758
(5.9)
0.0746
(5.7)
0.0847
(4.9)
Drake London 0.0290
0.0782
(5.4)
0.0690
(4.4)
0.0658
(4.3)
0.0644
(4.2)
Romeo Doubs 0.1356
0.0782
(5.5)
0.0714
(6.2)
0.0784
(5.2)
0.0908
(4.0)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Godwin Jr. 0.0782 0.0241 7.1
2 Jordan Addison 0.0782 0.1429 6.9
3 Michael Pittman 0.0782 0.0367 6.5
4 Gabe Davis 0.0782 0.1556 6.3
5 Evan Engram 0.0782 0.0351 6.2
6 Jaylen Warren 0.0782 0.0000 5.8
7 Alvin Kamara 0.0782 0.0133 5.6
8 Adam Thielen 0.0782 0.0388 5.4
9 Christian Watson 0.0782 0.1786 5.3
10 Tank Dell 0.0782 0.1489 5.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Addison 0.0704 0.1429 7.8
2 Adam Thielen 0.0820 0.0388 5.9
3 Evan Engram 0.0758 0.0351 5.8
4 A.J. Brown 0.1023 0.0660 5.7
5 Chris Godwin Jr. 0.0659 0.0241 5.4
6 Jayden Reed 0.0702 0.1250 5.2
7 Jerry Jeudy 0.0959 0.0370 5.1
8 Christian Watson 0.1017 0.1786 4.1
9 Christian McCaffrey 0.0556 0.1045 4.1
10 Tyler Lockett 0.0972 0.0633 4.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Brown 0.1098 0.0660 7.3
2 Travis Kelce 0.1034 0.0538 6.3
3 Ja'Marr Chase 0.1068 0.0700 5.7
4 Tyreek Hill 0.0741 0.1092 5.6
5 Michael Pittman 0.0685 0.0367 5.4
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.0505 0.0840 5.1
7 Chris Godwin Jr. 0.0595 0.0241 4.9
8 Davante Adams 0.1031 0.0777 4.9
9 Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.0597 0.1167 4.8
10 Jayden Reed 0.0714 0.1250 4.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Brown 0.1030 0.0660 6.3
2 Gabe Davis 0.0782 0.1556 6.0
3 Adam Thielen 0.0782 0.0388 5.8
4 Jordan Addison 0.0920 0.1429 5.1
5 Travis Kelce 0.0932 0.0538 5.1
6 Tyreek Hill 0.0782 0.1092 4.8
7 Jakobi Meyers 0.0677 0.1127 4.4
8 Christian Watson 0.0921 0.1786 4.4
9 Tank Dell 0.0875 0.1489 4.4
10 DJ Chark 0.0782 0.1429 4.1