2019 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Passers with 300 attempts, rushers with 100 carries, receivers with 50 targets.

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Sam Darnold 441
30
(411.0)
483
(42.4)
525
(84.0)
532
(90.8)
Kyle Allen 489
30
(459.0)
389
(99.9)
33
(456.0)
16
(472.5)
Jared Goff 626
548
(78.0)
574
(52.5)
544
(82.0)
551
(75.0)
Dak Prescott 596
516
(79.7)
536
(59.8)
526
(70.0)
522
(73.6)
Daniel Jones 459
176
(283.1)
424
(34.5)
87
(372.0)
102
(356.9)
Kirk Cousins 444
532
(87.8)
514
(69.7)
557
(113.0)
574
(130.5)
Gardner Minshew 470
42
(428.5)
384
(86.5)
56
(414.0)
49
(421.2)
Derek Carr 513
573
(59.7)
30
(483.0)
569
(56.0)
30
(483.0)
Jimmy Garoppolo 476
516
(39.6)
555
(78.7)
510
(34.0)
520
(44.1)
Patrick Mahomes 484
578
(93.5)
440
(43.8)
597
(113.0)
581
(96.6)
Jacoby Brissett 447
546
(99.2)
491
(44.0)
511
(64.0)
401
(46.0)
Matt Ryan 616
573
(43.0)
570
(45.6)
570
(46.0)
30
(586.0)
Jameis Winston 626
535
(91.0)
550
(75.8)
561
(65.0)
557
(68.6)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Fitzpatrick 216 502 285.7
2 Drew Brees 540 378 162.5
3 Carson Wentz 523 607 84.0
4 Philip Rivers 537 591 54.4
5 Russell Wilson 463 516 53.1
6 Andy Dalton 554 528 26.1
7 Deshaun Watson 520 495 24.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Allen 554 461 92.7
2 Tom Brady 535 613 78.0
3 Andy Dalton 454 528 74.1
4 Baker Mayfield 593 534 59.1
5 Carson Wentz 558 607 49.3
6 Lamar Jackson 442 401 41.4
7 Philip Rivers 552 591 39.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Brees 546 378 168.0
2 Ryan Fitzpatrick 336 502 166.0
3 Tom Brady 565 613 48.0
4 Russell Wilson 471 516 45.0
5 Aaron Rodgers 609 569 40.0
6 Kyler Murray 508 542 34.0
7 Deshaun Watson 525 495 30.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tom Brady 30 613 583.0
2 Philip Rivers 30 591 561.0
3 Russell Wilson 30 516 486.0
4 Ryan Fitzpatrick 30 502 472.0
5 Drew Brees 30 378 348.0
6 Carson Wentz 566 607 40.5
7 Baker Mayfield 567 534 32.7

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Lamar Jackson 0.6608
0.6139
(19.7)
0.6589
(5.6)
0.5906
(24.8)
0.5970
(22.8)
Baker Mayfield 0.5936
0.6364
(21.7)
0.6178
(6.5)
0.6401
(29.4)
0.6395
(28.3)
Kyler Murray 0.6439
0.6290
(9.2)
0.6093
(25.3)
0.6004
(19.0)
0.6195
(9.4)
Derek Carr 0.7037
0.6544
(26.4)
0.6395
(39.1)
0.6397
(28.4)
0.6395
(29.3)
Mitchell Trubisky 0.6318
0.6495
(8.0)
0.6287
(7.8)
0.6401
(8.7)
0.6523
(14.2)
Carson Wentz 0.6392
0.6658
(14.8)
0.6665
(9.2)
0.6494
(11.4)
0.6590
(16.3)
Matt Ryan 0.6623
0.6813
(10.4)
0.6921
(10.9)
0.6702
(10.1)
0.6395
(9.7)
Josh Allen 0.5879
0.5746
(7.1)
0.5624
(17.3)
0.5595
(9.1)
0.5601
(9.5)
Tom Brady 0.6085
0.6498
(24.0)
0.7097
(54.7)
0.6602
(36.9)
0.6395
(23.3)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.6363 0.6912 27.1
2 Andy Dalton 0.6354 0.5947 20.4
3 Drew Brees 0.6944 0.7434 19.3
4 Jameis Winston 0.6305 0.6070 13.3
5 Deshaun Watson 0.6491 0.6727 12.8
6 Russell Wilson 0.6397 0.6609 12.0
7 Ryan Fitzpatrick 0.6426 0.6195 10.5
8 Kyle Allen 0.6395 0.6196 8.7
9 Sam Darnold 0.6395 0.6190 8.1
10 Jacoby Brissett 0.6282 0.6085 7.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Fitzpatrick 0.5578 0.6195 37.0
2 Patrick Mahomes 0.7183 0.6591 22.8
3 Dak Prescott 0.6956 0.6510 19.4
4 Sam Darnold 0.5873 0.6190 19.3
5 Drew Brees 0.7985 0.7434 16.3
6 Aaron Rodgers 0.6589 0.6204 15.1
7 Jared Goff 0.6588 0.6294 10.8
8 Gardner Minshew 0.5997 0.6064 8.8
9 Deshaun Watson 0.7018 0.6727 8.4
10 Daniel Jones 0.6139 0.6187 7.8

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.6098 0.6912 34.7
2 Aaron Rodgers 0.6502 0.6204 21.8
3 Andy Dalton 0.6204 0.5947 18.1
4 Jacoby Brissett 0.6399 0.6085 17.9
5 Kyle Allen 0.5758 0.6196 17.3
6 Jameis Winston 0.6203 0.6070 13.7
7 Sam Darnold 0.5905 0.6190 8.8
8 Deshaun Watson 0.6495 0.6727 7.3
9 Jared Goff 0.6305 0.6294 6.0
10 Kirk Cousins 0.6697 0.6914 5.9

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Brees 0.6395 0.7434 36.6
2 Jameis Winston 0.6360 0.6070 22.5
3 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.6428 0.6912 19.7
4 Andy Dalton 0.6229 0.5947 18.6
5 Kyle Allen 0.5758 0.6196 18.0
6 Aaron Rodgers 0.6392 0.6204 14.7
7 Ryan Fitzpatrick 0.6395 0.6195 13.6
8 Jared Goff 0.6408 0.6294 11.6
9 Dak Prescott 0.6589 0.6510 8.9
10 Philip Rivers 0.6395 0.6599 7.9

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Russell Wilson 12.0528
12.1297
(114.5)
12.6804
(197.8)
12.0132
(150.1)
11.4350
(448.6)
Baker Mayfield 12.0726
11.9056
(248.7)
12.1872
(69.2)
12.0198
(162.4)
12.0439
(149.6)
Jared Goff 11.7716
12.5527
(301.9)
12.2260
(131.6)
12.6851
(414.6)
12.5171
(309.3)
Dak Prescott 12.6340
11.1303
(1074.3)
11.4332
(861.2)
11.2433
(978.6)
11.2655
(965.5)
Daniel Jones 10.6585
11.3303
(171.2)
11.0407
(63.3)
11.9808
(491.6)
12.9889
(954.2)
Kirk Cousins 11.7362
10.6375
(620.5)
11.5014
(212.7)
10.8981
(483.7)
10.5982
(616.9)
Gardner Minshew 11.4772
11.2602
(242.5)
11.2661
(214.0)
11.0606
(313.9)
11.2145
(241.7)
Mitchell Trubisky 9.6258
11.2691
(693.7)
10.7913
(475.4)
11.4134
(792.7)
11.3256
(747.3)
Jacoby Brissett 10.8162
11.4506
(150.0)
11.2145
(68.9)
11.5749
(226.8)
12.0462
(437.4)
Carson Wentz 10.4098
11.4489
(449.3)
11.4186
(464.1)
11.3963
(446.3)
11.3466
(416.0)
Jameis Winston 13.4447
12.7794
(603.6)
12.7473
(589.5)
12.2557
(901.6)
12.5069
(744.5)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tom Brady 11.8087 10.8767 388.1
2 Matt Ryan 11.7731 10.9461 325.3
3 Ryan Fitzpatrick 12.2540 11.3473 305.1
4 Derek Carr 11.0830 11.2299 228.7
5 Kyler Murray 11.3595 10.6648 214.6
6 Drew Brees 11.3496 10.6014 169.8
7 Patrick Mahomes 12.6304 12.6364 147.5
8 Josh Allen 12.0077 11.3985 143.1
9 Philip Rivers 11.9796 11.8333 90.2

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 12.3365 11.3371 429.7
2 Tom Brady 11.7661 10.8767 395.5
3 Jimmy Garoppolo 11.6650 12.0912 319.1
4 Philip Rivers 11.5659 11.8333 302.4
5 Kyler Murray 11.2477 10.6648 183.6
6 Sam Darnold 11.5129 11.0769 84.5
7 Deshaun Watson 11.9278 11.5676 57.4
8 Lamar Jackson 12.1866 11.8000 57.1
9 Kyle Allen 11.2993 10.9637 44.7

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Garoppolo 11.3248 12.0912 484.4
2 Matt Ryan 11.9267 10.9461 449.3
3 Patrick Mahomes 11.9797 12.6364 439.5
4 Kyler Murray 11.6557 10.6648 400.9
5 Kyle Allen 11.8421 10.9637 306.7
6 Aaron Rodgers 11.0808 11.3371 288.8
7 Josh Allen 12.1493 11.3985 230.2
8 Ryan Fitzpatrick 11.9805 11.3473 191.7
9 Deshaun Watson 12.1554 11.5676 166.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Philip Rivers 11.4350 11.8333 384.1
2 Kyle Allen 11.8421 10.9637 306.5
3 Drew Brees 11.4350 10.6014 220.0
4 Tom Brady 11.4350 10.8767 188.1
5 Deshaun Watson 12.1586 11.5676 168.1
6 Lamar Jackson 11.6665 11.8000 154.4
7 Matt Ryan 11.4350 10.9461 146.2
8 Josh Allen 11.9070 11.3985 118.4
9 Patrick Mahomes 12.6684 12.6364 106.2

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Philip Rivers 0.0590
0.0853
(14.2)
0.0769
(7.7)
0.0802
(11.3)
0.0721
(7.1)
Matt Ryan 0.0637
0.0789
(7.9)
0.0747
(3.7)
0.0759
(6.2)
0.0721
(4.5)
Lamar Jackson 0.1358
0.0548
(33.4)
0.0734
(27.0)
0.0717
(26.6)
0.0665
(28.3)
Jared Goff 0.0558
0.0792
(13.2)
0.0770
(10.1)
0.0845
(16.7)
0.0855
(17.9)
Dak Prescott 0.0773
0.0718
(4.7)
0.0700
(7.3)
0.0653
(8.4)
0.0694
(5.3)
Daniel Jones 0.0845
0.0673
(8.9)
0.0645
(11.5)
0.0769
(4.4)
0.0745
(5.1)
Kirk Cousins 0.0847
0.0703
(7.4)
0.0788
(4.8)
0.0724
(6.4)
0.0693
(7.3)
Mitchell Trubisky 0.0521
0.0712
(8.6)
0.0652
(4.2)
0.0790
(12.8)
0.0759
(11.7)
Jimmy Garoppolo 0.0821
0.0710
(6.4)
0.0755
(5.5)
0.0675
(7.9)
0.0754
(3.7)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0815
0.0945
(5.2)
0.1047
(8.8)
0.0939
(5.0)
0.0946
(5.8)
Drew Brees 0.0961
0.0767
(8.2)
0.0777
(8.8)
0.0763
(8.3)
0.0721
(9.5)
Josh Allen 0.0738
0.0633
(5.9)
0.0617
(7.9)
0.0634
(5.7)
0.0644
(4.8)
Jameis Winston 0.0868
0.0774
(7.4)
0.0862
(3.5)
0.0776
(7.1)
0.0776
(6.5)
Tom Brady 0.0643
0.0848
(11.1)
0.0790
(5.9)
0.0777
(6.9)
0.0721
(4.1)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carson Wentz 0.0922 0.0696 12.3
2 Baker Mayfield 0.0915 0.0694 10.6
3 Ryan Fitzpatrick 0.0468 0.0643 10.0
4 Gardner Minshew 0.0569 0.0737 9.0
5 Aaron Rodgers 0.0882 0.0737 7.0
6 Kyle Allen 0.0721 0.0561 6.7

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Fitzpatrick 0.0968 0.0643 13.8
2 Andy Dalton 0.0691 0.0510 7.0
3 Derek Carr 0.0721 0.0582 4.6
4 Kyle Allen 0.0693 0.0561 4.0
5 Carson Wentz 0.0802 0.0696 3.4
6 Aaron Rodgers 0.0837 0.0737 2.9

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Dalton 0.0745 0.0510 11.3
2 Gardner Minshew 0.0606 0.0737 7.1
3 Kyler Murray 0.0721 0.0573 6.9
4 Baker Mayfield 0.0819 0.0694 5.6
5 Derek Carr 0.0687 0.0582 4.3
6 Russell Wilson 0.0861 0.0909 3.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Dalton 0.0738 0.0510 11.5
2 Gardner Minshew 0.0519 0.0737 10.7
3 Russell Wilson 0.0721 0.0909 10.3
4 Baker Mayfield 0.0853 0.0694 7.9
5 Derek Carr 0.0721 0.0582 6.6
6 Carson Wentz 0.0801 0.0696 5.7

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Philip Rivers 0.0338
0.0225
(7.2)
0.0230
(7.0)
0.0191
(10.0)
0.0216
(9.2)
Kyle Allen 0.0327
0.0216
(5.9)
0.0308
(1.4)
0.0303
(2.3)
0.0303
(2.8)
Russell Wilson 0.0097
0.0160
(2.8)
0.0154
(2.4)
0.0191
(3.7)
0.0216
(4.4)
Baker Mayfield 0.0393
0.0265
(7.3)
0.0287
(6.2)
0.0271
(7.7)
0.0261
(8.9)
Lamar Jackson 0.0150
0.0221
(2.5)
0.0203
(1.7)
0.0235
(2.5)
0.0261
(3.1)
Jared Goff 0.0256
0.0193
(4.4)
0.0230
(2.2)
0.0202
(4.8)
0.0214
(4.7)
Kirk Cousins 0.0135
0.0188
(2.0)
0.0201
(2.4)
0.0215
(2.6)
0.0212
(1.9)
Gardner Minshew 0.0128
0.0337
(9.5)
0.0227
(4.2)
0.0536
(18.1)
0.0430
(12.6)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0103
0.0206
(4.6)
0.0177
(3.1)
0.0251
(6.1)
0.0233
(4.6)
Carson Wentz 0.0115
0.0187
(3.9)
0.0169
(2.6)
0.0173
(2.1)
0.0219
(4.2)
Matt Ryan 0.0227
0.0140
(5.9)
0.0186
(3.2)
0.0193
(3.5)
0.0216
(2.8)
Josh Allen 0.0195
0.0298
(4.4)
0.0293
(4.0)
0.0292
(3.4)
0.0311
(3.8)
Jameis Winston 0.0479
0.0314
(10.9)
0.0291
(12.4)
0.0267
(14.7)
0.0296
(13.6)
Tom Brady 0.0131
0.0189
(3.1)
0.0166
(1.6)
0.0177
(1.5)
0.0216
(3.2)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Fitzpatrick 0.0384 0.0259 5.8
2 Sam Darnold 0.0216 0.0295 3.8
3 Jacoby Brissett 0.0201 0.0134 2.6
4 Aaron Rodgers 0.0118 0.0070 2.2
5 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.0240 0.0273 2.0
6 Kyler Murray 0.0265 0.0221 1.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Fitzpatrick 0.0436 0.0259 8.3
2 Mitchell Trubisky 0.0279 0.0194 3.9
3 Kyler Murray 0.0179 0.0221 2.9
4 Derek Carr 0.0216 0.0156 2.5
5 Deshaun Watson 0.0214 0.0242 1.9
6 Andy Dalton 0.0245 0.0265 1.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.0254 0.0134 4.4
2 Deshaun Watson 0.0190 0.0242 3.7
3 Daniel Jones 0.0345 0.0261 2.8
4 Andy Dalton 0.0250 0.0265 2.0
5 Derek Carr 0.0211 0.0156 1.7
6 Sam Darnold 0.0286 0.0295 1.4

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Fitzpatrick 0.0216 0.0259 3.8
2 Jacoby Brissett 0.0249 0.0134 3.6
3 Drew Brees 0.0216 0.0106 2.9
4 Daniel Jones 0.0343 0.0261 2.2
5 Andy Dalton 0.0259 0.0265 2.1
6 Kyler Murray 0.0290 0.0221 1.9

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Phillip Lindsay 224
169
(54.9)
192
(32.2)
185
(39.0)
10
(214.0)
Carlos Hyde 245
137
(108.4)
185
(60.1)
81
(164.0)
10
(235.0)
Chris Carson 278
247
(31.4)
234
(43.7)
236
(42.0)
10
(268.0)
Joe Mixon 278
252
(25.6)
233
(44.7)
236
(42.0)
10
(268.0)
Frank Gore 166
10
(156.0)
144
(21.7)
104
(62.0)
10
(156.0)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Adrian Peterson 82 211 129.5
2 Raheem Mostert 23 137 114.4
3 Damien Williams 10 111 101.0
4 Ronald Jones 103 172 69.0
5 Saquon Barkley 281 217 63.9
6 Christian McCaffrey 225 287 61.7
7 Matt Breida 170 123 47.2
8 Nick Chubb 258 298 39.5
9 Alvin Kamara 206 171 34.8
10 Kenyan Drake 137 170 32.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Jacobs 10 242 232.0
2 Devonta Freeman 10 184 174.0
3 Derrick Henry 234 303 68.9
4 Jordan Howard 81 119 37.7
5 Kenyan Drake 137 170 33.0
6 Sony Michel 215 247 32.0
7 Matt Breida 93 123 30.4
8 David Montgomery 212 242 30.2
9 Raheem Mostert 108 137 29.4
10 Todd Gurley 194 223 29.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Raheem Mostert 27 137 110.0
2 Christian McCaffrey 215 287 72.0
3 Derrick Henry 240 303 63.0
4 David Montgomery 180 242 62.0
5 Nick Chubb 239 298 59.0
6 Damien Williams 169 111 58.0
7 Adrian Peterson 155 211 56.0
8 Jordan Howard 171 119 52.0
9 Aaron Jones 187 236 49.0
10 Ronald Jones 123 172 49.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ezekiel Elliott 10 301 291.0
2 Nick Chubb 10 298 288.0
3 Leonard Fournette 10 265 255.0
4 Dalvin Cook 10 250 240.0
5 Marlon Mack 10 247 237.0
6 Sony Michel 10 247 237.0
7 Le'Veon Bell 10 245 235.0
8 Todd Gurley 10 223 213.0
9 Adrian Peterson 10 211 201.0
10 Mark Ingram 10 202 192.0

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Devonta Freeman 3.5652
4.2366
(131.2)
4.4565
(169.5)
4.6070
(191.6)
4.4565
(147.8)
Gus Edwards 5.3459
4.5200
(104.3)
4.5138
(106.7)
4.5765
(102.4)
4.4565
(130.0)
Devin Singletary 5.1325
4.4553
(95.9)
4.4221
(102.7)
3.9882
(172.8)
3.6141
(242.6)
David Montgomery 3.6736
4.4153
(189.6)
3.9207
(67.0)
4.0889
(100.4)
4.3513
(142.7)
Le'Veon Bell 3.2204
4.4930
(322.0)
3.7848
(145.6)
4.3077
(266.3)
4.4565
(281.3)
Sony Michel 3.6923
4.2637
(151.5)
4.5451
(218.0)
4.5931
(222.4)
4.4565
(167.0)
Peyton Barber 3.0519
3.9016
(137.3)
3.8819
(132.4)
3.9042
(131.2)
4.4565
(202.7)
Derrick Henry 5.0825
4.4409
(181.7)
4.2550
(241.7)
4.6083
(143.8)
4.6188
(167.2)
Joe Mixon 4.0899
4.4925
(123.6)
3.7094
(97.5)
4.5932
(139.8)
4.4565
(77.4)
Todd Gurley 3.8430
4.6236
(183.4)
4.5126
(156.0)
4.4955
(145.4)
4.4565
(117.2)
Raheem Mostert 5.6350
4.3628
(168.6)
4.4210
(162.2)
3.8519
(244.3)
6.3540
(86.4)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 5.0645 6.8523 307.3
2 Frank Gore 4.4565 3.6084 147.7
3 Leonard Fournette 3.7654 4.3472 143.1
4 Carlos Hyde 3.8433 4.3673 118.1
5 Nick Chubb 4.5783 5.0134 117.2
6 Josh Allen 5.7067 4.6789 116.6
7 Melvin Gordon 4.3897 3.7778 105.9
8 Tevin Coleman 4.5975 3.9708 91.6
9 Mark Ingram 4.5563 5.0396 89.2

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenyan Drake 3.8423 4.8059 158.7
2 Adrian Peterson 3.6072 4.2559 130.6
3 Tevin Coleman 4.7234 3.9708 107.2
4 Ezekiel Elliott 4.8017 4.5083 97.3
5 Dalvin Cook 4.8940 4.5400 96.0
6 Frank Gore 4.1220 3.6084 90.2
7 Phillip Lindsay 4.1621 4.5134 72.0
8 Josh Jacobs 4.4565 4.7521 64.3
9 Nick Chubb 4.7692 5.0134 63.9

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 4.9882 6.8523 328.1
2 Melvin Gordon 4.8074 3.7778 166.7
3 Josh Allen 5.9912 4.6789 143.0
4 Matt Breida 3.9939 5.0650 131.8
5 Christian McCaffrey 4.4047 4.8328 123.0
6 Leonard Fournette 3.9000 4.3472 118.6
7 Mark Ingram 4.5048 5.0396 108.1
8 Josh Jacobs 4.3063 4.7521 108.0
9 Aaron Jones 5.0107 4.5932 98.4

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 4.7816 6.8523 379.9
2 Nick Chubb 4.4565 5.0134 192.2
3 Josh Allen 6.0237 4.6789 137.0
4 Mark Ingram 4.4565 5.0396 135.6
5 Frank Gore 4.4565 3.6084 126.2
6 Josh Jacobs 4.3864 4.7521 109.8
7 Melvin Gordon 4.4565 3.7778 95.7
8 Matt Breida 4.4565 5.0650 85.7
9 Kenyan Drake 4.4565 4.8059 74.4

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Devonta Freeman 0.0109
0.0383
(5.2)
0.0340
(4.5)
0.0348
(5.0)
0.0340
(4.1)
Leonard Fournette 0.0113
0.0334
(6.0)
0.0253
(4.0)
0.0240
(4.2)
0.0340
(5.8)
Alvin Kamara 0.0292
0.0496
(3.6)
0.0465
(3.2)
0.0610
(5.9)
0.0493
(3.3)
Melvin Gordon 0.0494
0.0358
(2.1)
0.0266
(3.5)
0.0296
(2.7)
0.0340
(2.6)
Le'Veon Bell 0.0122
0.0244
(3.1)
0.0217
(2.6)
0.0283
(4.7)
0.0340
(5.1)
Aaron Jones 0.0678
0.0409
(6.2)
0.0416
(5.9)
0.0374
(6.5)
0.0435
(5.9)
Derrick Henry 0.0528
0.0409
(3.4)
0.0376
(4.2)
0.0375
(3.7)
0.0387
(4.5)
Kenyan Drake 0.0471
0.0277
(3.2)
0.0197
(4.4)
0.0268
(2.9)
0.0340
(2.4)
Raheem Mostert 0.0584
0.0354
(3.1)
0.0297
(3.8)
0.0000
(7.6)
0.0354
(3.3)
Christian McCaffrey 0.0523
0.0324
(5.5)
0.0401
(3.1)
0.0279
(6.1)
0.0310
(6.3)
Dalvin Cook 0.0520
0.0234
(7.0)
0.0400
(2.7)
0.0249
(6.0)
0.0340
(4.7)
Mark Ingram 0.0495
0.0337
(3.1)
0.0340
(2.9)
0.0333
(2.7)
0.0340
(3.3)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Mixon 0.0337 0.0180 4.5
2 Frank Gore 0.0340 0.0120 3.7
3 Sony Michel 0.0423 0.0283 3.6
4 Chris Carson 0.0365 0.0252 3.3
5 Peyton Barber 0.0217 0.0390 2.6
6 Matt Breida 0.0282 0.0081 2.5
7 Nick Chubb 0.0340 0.0268 2.3
8 Ezekiel Elliott 0.0324 0.0399 2.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Chubb 0.0417 0.0268 4.8
2 Josh Allen 0.0503 0.0826 3.4
3 Carlos Hyde 0.0362 0.0245 3.2
4 Todd Gurley 0.0392 0.0538 3.0
5 Sony Michel 0.0386 0.0283 2.8
6 Chris Carson 0.0341 0.0252 2.8
7 Matt Breida 0.0292 0.0081 2.7
8 Ezekiel Elliott 0.0472 0.0399 2.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Allen 0.0354 0.0826 4.8
2 Joe Mixon 0.0297 0.0180 4.1
3 Frank Gore 0.0288 0.0120 3.3
4 Miles Sanders 0.0301 0.0168 2.9
5 Nick Chubb 0.0335 0.0268 2.9
6 Saquon Barkley 0.0377 0.0276 2.8
7 David Montgomery 0.0333 0.0248 2.8
8 Adrian Peterson 0.0323 0.0237 2.4

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Todd Gurley 0.0340 0.0538 4.6
2 Joe Mixon 0.0340 0.0180 4.2
3 Frank Gore 0.0340 0.0120 3.5
4 Matt Breida 0.0340 0.0081 3.1
5 Miles Sanders 0.0340 0.0168 2.9
6 Josh Allen 0.0602 0.0826 2.5
7 Gus Edwards 0.0340 0.0150 2.4
8 Chris Carson 0.0340 0.0252 2.2

Receiving

Targets

Everybody Missed for Targets

Player Actual ESPNSleeper
Michael Thomas 185
8
(177.0)
158
(26.7)
Leonard Fournette 100
61
(38.7)
20
(79.9)
James Washington 80
8
(72.0)
8
(72.0)
Mike Williams 90
8
(82.0)
8
(82.0)
JuJu Smith-Schuster 70
152
(81.8)
97
(26.6)
Austin Ekeler 108
54
(53.8)
88
(20.2)
Tyler Higbee 89
21
(67.8)
51
(37.7)
Tyrell Williams 64
111
(47.2)
8
(56.0)
Darren Waller 117
78
(39.1)
8
(109.0)
Allen Robinson 154
121
(32.8)
136
(18.4)
Cooper Kupp 134
101
(33.1)
118
(16.0)
Diontae Johnson 92
32
(60.4)
77
(15.4)

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Conley 8 90 82.0
2 Darius Slayton 23 84 61.3
3 DeVante Parker 83 128 44.8
4 Saquon Barkley 116 73 43.5
5 Tyreek Hill 131 89 41.9
6 DJ Chark 78 118 39.6
7 Julian Edelman 114 153 39.5
8 Evan Engram 101 68 33.2

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Will Fuller 8 71 63.0
2 Nelson Agholor 8 69 61.0
3 Robert Woods 110 139 28.8
4 Christian McCaffrey 119 142 22.9
5 Stefon Diggs 115 94 20.6
6 Dallas Goedert 70 87 17.3
7 Le'Veon Bell 95 78 17.0
8 Tarik Cohen 87 104 17.0

REC/TGT

Everybody Missed for REC/TGT

Player Actual ESPNSleeper
Michael Thomas 0.8054
0.6644
(25.2)
0.7997
(7.1)
James Washington 0.5500
0.6644
(9.5)
0.6644
(6.5)
Mike Williams 0.5444
0.6644
(11.2)
0.6644
(7.8)
Sammy Watkins 0.5778
0.6463
(6.6)
0.7183
(9.7)
Chris Godwin Jr. 0.7107
0.6235
(10.0)
0.6514
(11.2)
Darren Waller 0.7692
0.6816
(9.7)
0.6644
(16.1)
Marvin Jones 0.6813
0.5856
(8.3)
0.6098
(9.5)
George Kittle 0.7944
0.6534
(14.6)
0.6803
(15.7)
John Brown 0.6261
0.4624
(18.3)
0.5950
(7.4)

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Conley 0.6644 0.5222 13.2
2 Tyler Higbee 0.6321 0.7753 12.3
3 Danny Amendola 0.7489 0.6392 11.1
4 Tyler Boyd 0.6763 0.6081 10.8
5 Zach Ertz 0.7228 0.6519 10.2
6 Odell Beckham Jr. 0.6284 0.5564 10.2
7 Austin Ekeler 0.7657 0.8519 8.8
8 Allen Robinson 0.5817 0.6364 7.7
9 Cole Beasley 0.6925 0.6321 6.9
10 Marquise Brown 0.5499 0.6479 6.6

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Leonard Fournette 2.7711 0.7600 197.8
2 Christian McCaffrey 0.7590 0.8169 12.9
3 Terry McLaurin 0.5265 0.6237 12.1
4 Larry Fitzgerald 0.6118 0.6881 11.9
5 Le'Veon Bell 0.7368 0.8462 11.1
6 Julian Edelman 0.7379 0.6536 7.9
7 DJ Chark 0.5887 0.6186 7.4
8 Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.6509 0.7037 6.9
9 Emmanuel Sanders 0.6424 0.6804 6.9
10 Keenan Allen 0.6866 0.6980 6.6

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Stefon Diggs 17.9365
10.7707
(636.0)
12.6399
(447.7)
10.9775
(601.9)
11.3507
(604.5)
Mike Williams 20.4286
12.7569
(654.5)
12.7569
(642.4)
12.7569
(640.5)
12.7569
(676.5)
A.J. Brown 20.2115
12.6260
(603.6)
12.8070
(577.2)
13.3571
(529.1)
12.6412
(622.9)
Tarik Cohen 5.7722
9.4007
(418.9)
8.3913
(327.9)
8.2381
(314.2)
12.7569
(742.5)
DeVante Parker 16.6944
13.7269
(328.7)
13.3391
(361.2)
13.1818
(378.5)
12.7569
(484.2)
Kenny Golladay 18.3077
14.0674
(445.6)
15.2111
(297.3)
14.7671
(346.3)
12.7569
(625.9)
DeAndre Hopkins 11.2019
13.2823
(372.0)
12.8333
(324.7)
13.7593
(466.9)
14.0341
(448.1)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Allen Robinson 14.0596 11.7041 424.2
2 Christian Kirk 13.3413 10.4265 354.6
3 Randall Cobb 10.5327 15.0545 342.2
4 Chris Conley 12.7569 16.4894 300.0
5 Michael Thomas 12.7569 11.5772 292.1
6 James Washington 12.7569 16.7045 283.9
7 Geronimo Allison 13.0668 8.4412 276.4
8 Alvin Kamara 8.9110 6.5802 264.8
9 John Brown 16.5267 14.7222 253.4
10 Jarvis Landry 11.9307 14.1446 250.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Randall Cobb 10.4103 15.0545 341.2
2 Michael Gallup 13.4481 16.7727 315.4
3 Jared Cook 11.4978 16.3953 283.7
4 Alvin Kamara 8.9710 6.5802 283.6
5 Nelson Agholor 12.7569 9.3077 274.8
6 James Washington 12.7569 16.7045 273.1
7 Darius Slayton 12.2122 15.4167 224.4
8 Davante Adams 13.1398 12.0120 211.0
9 Julio Jones 14.8786 14.0808 209.0
10 Chris Conley 13.6549 16.4894 207.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Christian Kirk 13.6885 10.4265 408.5
2 Allen Robinson 13.4286 11.7041 351.1
3 Geronimo Allison 13.4231 8.4412 304.6
4 Randall Cobb 10.8571 15.0545 302.3
5 Terry McLaurin 12.0500 15.8448 301.3
6 Tyler Boyd 13.0822 11.6222 298.3
7 Alvin Kamara 8.9651 6.5802 285.2
8 Mark Andrews 9.8644 13.3125 283.5
9 Cooper Kupp 13.8889 12.3511 280.5
10 Keenan Allen 12.7684 11.5288 267.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Leonard Fournette 12.7569 6.8684 604.3
2 Le'Veon Bell 12.7569 6.9848 462.3
3 Michael Gallup 12.7569 16.7727 436.3
4 Kenyan Drake 12.7569 6.9000 408.8
5 James White 12.7569 8.9583 375.6
6 Ezekiel Elliott 12.7569 7.7778 364.5
7 Tyler Lockett 15.9373 12.8902 352.2
8 Chris Conley 12.7569 16.4894 322.0
9 Christian Kirk 13.1310 10.4265 306.0
10 James Washington 12.7569 16.7045 303.4

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Davante Adams 0.0602
0.1105
(6.4)
0.1116
(6.9)
0.1009
(5.1)
0.0984
(4.5)
A.J. Brown 0.1538
0.0732
(6.8)
0.0780
(6.1)
0.0714
(7.0)
0.0676
(7.5)
Travis Kelce 0.0515
0.1046
(7.2)
0.0825
(4.6)
0.0957
(5.9)
0.0967
(5.8)
Jared Cook 0.2093
0.1101
(6.5)
0.0866
(7.8)
0.1000
(7.1)
0.0759
(8.8)
Darren Waller 0.0333
0.0979
(7.5)
0.0759
(5.4)
0.0976
(7.5)
0.0933
(6.7)
Kenny Golladay 0.1692
0.0812
(10.2)
0.1093
(6.6)
0.0959
(8.6)
0.0759
(11.1)
DeAndre Hopkins 0.0673
0.0938
(3.9)
0.0894
(3.8)
0.1111
(6.5)
0.1005
(4.6)
Darius Slayton 0.1667
0.0769
(7.6)
0.0756
(7.4)
0.0759
(7.7)
0.0759
(7.8)
DeVante Parker 0.1250
0.0609
(8.2)
0.0736
(6.2)
0.0727
(6.8)
0.0759
(6.6)
Marquise Brown 0.1522
0.0702
(5.8)
0.0907
(4.1)
0.0588
(6.7)
0.0771
(5.5)
Robert Woods 0.0222
0.0673
(6.2)
0.0605
(5.8)
0.0649
(5.9)
0.0759
(7.1)
Mark Andrews 0.1562
0.0745
(8.0)
0.0778
(7.4)
0.0678
(8.7)
0.0850
(7.2)
Odell Beckham Jr. 0.0541
0.1101
(7.4)
0.0808
(4.0)
0.1023
(6.3)
0.1032
(6.2)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Terry McLaurin 0.0586 0.1207 5.8
2 DJ Chark 0.0624 0.1096 5.6
3 Tyler Higbee 0.1045 0.0435 5.4
4 Cole Beasley 0.0454 0.0896 4.7
5 Tyrell Williams 0.0723 0.1429 4.5
6 Mike Evans 0.0818 0.1194 4.5
7 Austin Ekeler 0.0506 0.0870 4.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marvin Jones 0.0802 0.1452 5.6
2 Cole Beasley 0.0468 0.0896 4.2
3 Tyrell Williams 0.0759 0.1429 4.1
4 Michael Gallup 0.0548 0.0909 3.7
5 Julio Jones 0.0802 0.0606 3.6
6 Austin Ekeler 0.0514 0.0870 3.5
7 Mike Williams 0.0759 0.0408 3.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Diontae Johnson 0.0000 0.0847 7.8
2 Terry McLaurin 0.0500 0.1207 6.6
3 Cole Beasley 0.0444 0.0896 4.8
4 Mike Evans 0.0814 0.1194 4.5
5 Austin Ekeler 0.0455 0.0870 4.5
6 Alvin Kamara 0.0581 0.0123 4.4
7 Marvin Jones 0.0980 0.1452 4.3

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Leonard Fournette 0.0759 0.0000 7.3
2 Marvin Jones 0.0759 0.1452 6.5
3 Danny Amendola 0.0759 0.0161 5.5
4 Kenyan Drake 0.0759 0.0000 5.0
5 Terry McLaurin 0.0729 0.1207 4.7
6 Dalvin Cook 0.0759 0.0000 4.6
7 Le'Veon Bell 0.0759 0.0152 4.5