2022 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Passers with 300 attempts, rushers with 100 carries, receivers with 50 targets.

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Justin Fields 318
517
(199.4)
466
(148.0)
468
(150.0)
505
(186.7)
Ryan Tannehill 325
513
(188.2)
403
(78.0)
506
(181.0)
30
(295.0)
Geno Smith 572
342
(230.4)
527
(45.0)
325
(247.0)
350
(222.1)
Matt Ryan 461
535
(73.9)
608
(147.0)
535
(74.0)
30
(431.0)
Lamar Jackson 326
481
(154.6)
480
(154.0)
459
(133.0)
520
(194.5)
Kyler Murray 390
567
(176.7)
561
(171.0)
534
(144.0)
570
(180.5)
Tom Brady 733
637
(95.8)
625
(108.0)
622
(111.0)
30
(703.0)
Derek Carr 502
579
(77.4)
589
(87.0)
558
(56.0)
30
(472.0)
Dak Prescott 394
599
(205.0)
514
(120.0)
554
(160.0)
594
(199.6)
Kirk Cousins 643
564
(79.2)
571
(72.0)
549
(94.0)
574
(69.1)
Tua Tagovailoa 400
568
(168.5)
549
(149.0)
534
(134.0)
575
(175.2)
Jimmy Garoppolo 308
30
(278.2)
496
(188.0)
31
(277.0)
32
(276.0)
Andy Dalton 378
66
(312.3)
194
(184.0)
180
(198.0)
58
(320.3)
Mac Jones 442
544
(101.7)
493
(51.0)
542
(100.0)
545
(102.6)
Matthew Stafford 303
577
(273.8)
588
(285.0)
580
(277.0)
587
(283.7)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Baker Mayfield 563 335 227.8
2 Justin Herbert 579 699 120.2
3 Kenny Pickett 317 389 71.9
4 Davis Mills 547 479 68.3
5 Russell Wilson 544 483 61.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Marcus Mariota 476 300 176.0
2 Jalen Hurts 521 460 61.0
3 Daniel Jones 525 472 53.0
4 Patrick Mahomes 596 648 52.0
5 Davis Mills 529 479 50.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Baker Mayfield 495 335 160.0
2 Kenny Pickett 304 389 85.0
3 Justin Herbert 632 699 67.0
4 Jared Goff 538 587 49.0
5 Davis Mills 524 479 45.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Russell Wilson 30 483 453.0
2 Baker Mayfield 550 335 214.9
3 Kenny Pickett 190 389 199.0
4 Marcus Mariota 420 300 119.7
5 Justin Herbert 625 699 73.7

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Geno Smith 0.6976
0.6455
(27.0)
0.6433
(29.6)
0.6308
(37.1)
0.6362
(33.4)
Russell Wilson 0.6046
0.6305
(14.9)
0.6525
(24.4)
0.6512
(23.4)
0.6524
(24.5)
Justin Herbert 0.6824
0.6538
(16.6)
0.6647
(10.6)
0.6598
(14.5)
0.6642
(10.7)
Baker Mayfield 0.6000
0.6285
(11.2)
0.6358
(12.8)
0.6101
(4.0)
0.6265
(9.9)
Trevor Lawrence 0.6627
0.6355
(13.0)
0.6112
(28.6)
0.6101
(29.6)
0.6327
(15.8)
Lamar Jackson 0.6227
0.6488
(10.1)
0.6396
(6.3)
0.6492
(9.3)
0.6469
(8.8)
Derek Carr 0.6076
0.6655
(31.5)
0.6723
(33.8)
0.6703
(32.4)
0.6524
(24.0)
Daniel Jones 0.6716
0.6342
(15.4)
0.6400
(13.7)
0.6298
(18.8)
0.6266
(19.9)
Jalen Hurts 0.6652
0.6154
(20.7)
0.6219
(18.8)
0.6203
(19.8)
0.6207
(19.1)
Marcus Mariota 0.6133
0.6403
(9.5)
0.6239
(3.9)
0.6291
(5.3)
0.6278
(5.2)
Davis Mills 0.6096
0.6463
(19.9)
0.6333
(12.5)
0.6508
(20.6)
0.6538
(22.6)
Aaron Rodgers 0.6458
0.6615
(11.2)
0.6661
(12.4)
0.6802
(19.7)
0.6747
(17.3)
Andy Dalton 0.6667
0.6408
(7.9)
0.6289
(13.3)
0.6278
(14.0)
0.6308
(12.4)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0.6424 0.6713 15.5
2 Justin Fields 0.6297 0.6038 9.8
3 Tua Tagovailoa 0.6646 0.6475 8.8
4 Josh Allen 0.6422 0.6332 7.9
5 Matt Ryan 0.6513 0.6703 6.5
6 Joe Burrow 0.6678 0.6832 6.4
7 Kenny Pickett 0.6112 0.6298 5.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mac Jones 0.6856 0.6516 16.1
2 Justin Fields 0.5665 0.6038 11.0
3 Tua Tagovailoa 0.6630 0.6475 7.2
4 Kyler Murray 0.6791 0.6641 6.8
5 Joe Burrow 0.6725 0.6832 4.9
6 Kirk Cousins 0.6515 0.6594 3.5
7 Jacoby Brissett 0.6288 0.6396 3.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Allen 0.6502 0.6332 10.8
2 Kirk Cousins 0.6703 0.6594 8.2
3 Dak Prescott 0.6805 0.6624 7.9
4 Jacoby Brissett 0.6205 0.6396 6.3
5 Patrick Mahomes 0.6596 0.6713 6.3
6 Matthew Stafford 0.6603 0.6799 5.3
7 Mac Jones 0.6605 0.6516 4.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tom Brady 0.6524 0.6685 9.6
2 Matt Ryan 0.6524 0.6703 6.9
3 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.6469 0.6721 6.9
4 Josh Allen 0.6422 0.6332 6.8
5 Patrick Mahomes 0.6588 0.6713 6.2
6 Tua Tagovailoa 0.6599 0.6475 6.2
7 Justin Fields 0.6174 0.6038 5.3

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Kenny Pickett 9.8122
10.9902
(400.4)
10.6318
(221.6)
11.4628
(534.5)
11.7851
(659.2)
Kyler Murray 9.1429
11.0474
(684.8)
10.5407
(447.7)
11.1844
(688.4)
11.0826
(648.0)
Jared Goff 11.6178
10.7550
(593.7)
11.1042
(448.1)
10.7600
(665.8)
10.5735
(776.3)
Tua Tagovailoa 13.6988
10.5455
(1320.8)
12.1813
(706.9)
10.9193
(1222.4)
10.6196
(1342.9)
Patrick Mahomes 12.0690
11.6565
(363.6)
11.5250
(514.3)
11.5235
(532.7)
11.5893
(491.1)
Joe Burrow 10.8092
11.4304
(286.4)
11.4479
(235.7)
11.4677
(231.5)
11.8368
(454.2)
Matt Ryan 9.8932
11.1119
(493.3)
10.8366
(319.8)
10.9178
(344.9)
10.9743
(370.2)
Tom Brady 9.5796
10.7094
(719.2)
10.4091
(424.9)
11.1918
(979.1)
10.9743
(818.5)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Herbert 11.2495 9.9350 814.9
2 Josh Allen 11.1087 11.9304 550.1
3 Ryan Tannehill 10.7889 11.9623 429.6
4 Derek Carr 10.8711 11.5475 414.2
5 Daniel Jones 11.0529 10.1104 374.7
6 Matthew Stafford 11.4133 10.1311 343.5
7 Andy Dalton 10.7078 11.3929 315.1
8 Marcus Mariota 11.3044 12.0598 271.2
9 Jacoby Brissett 10.5408 11.0508 243.0
10 Geno Smith 11.2585 10.7318 216.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derek Carr 10.6894 11.5475 556.2
2 Geno Smith 11.9351 10.7318 545.4
3 Trevor Lawrence 11.5562 10.6279 396.3
4 Kirk Cousins 11.5296 10.7241 357.3
5 Daniel Jones 11.0298 10.1104 316.0
6 Marcus Mariota 11.3300 12.0598 293.9
7 Russell Wilson 11.7189 12.0685 289.5
8 Andy Dalton 11.0328 11.3929 230.5
9 Lamar Jackson 11.9805 11.0443 223.8
10 Jimmy Garoppolo 11.3647 11.7729 202.7

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Allen 10.9141 11.9304 733.0
2 Justin Herbert 11.2230 9.9350 707.0
3 Ryan Tannehill 10.9132 11.9623 430.8
4 Matthew Stafford 11.8068 10.1311 424.0
5 Kirk Cousins 11.4946 10.7241 317.7
6 Jalen Hurts 11.7726 12.0948 275.4
7 Baker Mayfield 11.8079 10.7612 258.0
8 Russell Wilson 11.8333 12.0685 247.1
9 Aaron Rodgers 11.1712 10.5571 183.0
10 Jimmy Garoppolo 11.4762 11.7729 176.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Herbert 11.2738 9.9350 741.4
2 Russell Wilson 10.9743 12.0685 662.8
3 Geno Smith 12.1078 10.7318 628.0
4 Josh Allen 11.2917 11.9304 519.8
5 Derek Carr 10.9743 11.5475 427.4
6 Ryan Tannehill 10.9743 11.9623 411.5
7 Marcus Mariota 10.9992 12.0598 401.6
8 Matthew Stafford 11.6970 10.1311 390.2
9 Aaron Rodgers 11.4782 10.5571 348.5
10 Kirk Cousins 11.4727 10.7241 302.5

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Justin Fields 0.0885
0.0549
(12.4)
0.0720
(6.9)
0.0605
(11.4)
0.0597
(10.8)
Justin Herbert 0.0524
0.0896
(22.1)
0.0664
(6.2)
0.0839
(16.6)
0.0819
(17.0)
Tom Brady 0.0510
0.0802
(17.3)
0.0718
(11.4)
0.0911
(23.7)
0.0677
(8.5)
Jared Goff 0.0759
0.0688
(7.4)
0.0755
(3.3)
0.0686
(8.9)
0.0671
(8.1)
Derek Carr 0.0787
0.0705
(6.9)
0.0707
(6.6)
0.0695
(8.5)
0.0677
(8.1)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.0965
0.0696
(13.0)
0.0797
(8.8)
0.0663
(15.2)
0.0677
(13.6)
Marcus Mariota 0.0815
0.0522
(10.4)
0.0606
(7.8)
0.0632
(7.8)
0.0600
(8.0)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0943
0.0908
(5.8)
0.0900
(6.1)
0.0864
(10.1)
0.0862
(8.5)
Matt Ryan 0.0453
0.0703
(9.0)
0.0569
(3.0)
0.0680
(6.9)
0.0677
(8.0)
Josh Allen 0.0975
0.0903
(7.2)
0.0942
(4.8)
0.0884
(9.6)
0.0887
(7.9)
Matthew Stafford 0.0485
0.0829
(8.7)
0.0658
(3.7)
0.0862
(9.0)
0.0854
(9.6)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geno Smith 0.0567 0.0752 13.7
2 Russell Wilson 0.0865 0.0548 12.7
3 Kenny Pickett 0.0547 0.0286 8.0
4 Aaron Rodgers 0.0931 0.0743 7.2
5 Mac Jones 0.0693 0.0486 6.7
6 Dak Prescott 0.0780 0.0881 6.1
7 Davis Mills 0.0512 0.0582 6.0
8 Joe Burrow 0.0824 0.0845 4.7
9 Lamar Jackson 0.0750 0.0837 4.6

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 0.0630 0.0743 8.9
2 Daniel Jones 0.0685 0.0473 7.5
3 Ryan Tannehill 0.0888 0.0613 7.3
4 Mac Jones 0.0680 0.0486 6.3
5 Russell Wilson 0.0473 0.0548 6.1
6 Kyler Murray 0.0709 0.0541 4.5
7 Jacoby Brissett 0.0683 0.0508 4.5
8 Baker Mayfield 0.0677 0.0498 4.3
9 Andy Dalton 0.0656 0.0714 4.2

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenny Pickett 0.0691 0.0286 12.7
2 Russell Wilson 0.0863 0.0548 11.5
3 Geno Smith 0.0634 0.0752 11.2
4 Joe Burrow 0.0775 0.0845 9.0
5 Kirk Cousins 0.0870 0.0684 6.9
6 Trevor Lawrence 0.0621 0.0646 6.0
7 Lamar Jackson 0.0738 0.0837 5.8
8 Daniel Jones 0.0671 0.0473 5.7
9 Jacoby Brissett 0.0728 0.0508 5.2

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenny Pickett 0.0676 0.0286 13.2
2 Mac Jones 0.0693 0.0486 6.9
3 Kirk Cousins 0.0823 0.0684 5.7
4 Geno Smith 0.0705 0.0752 5.6
5 Joe Burrow 0.0810 0.0845 5.2
6 Lamar Jackson 0.0728 0.0837 5.2
7 Trevor Lawrence 0.0608 0.0646 5.2
8 Kyler Murray 0.0711 0.0541 4.7
9 Dak Prescott 0.0819 0.0881 4.5

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Justin Fields 0.0346
0.0302
(2.0)
0.0258
(3.5)
0.0278
(2.7)
0.0287
(2.6)
Russell Wilson 0.0228
0.0187
(2.8)
0.0193
(2.7)
0.0174
(3.4)
0.0208
(2.1)
Justin Herbert 0.0143
0.0214
(3.7)
0.0191
(1.9)
0.0222
(4.3)
0.0213
(3.2)
Trevor Lawrence 0.0137
0.0255
(5.8)
0.0253
(5.5)
0.0271
(6.8)
0.0239
(4.6)
Jared Goff 0.0119
0.0206
(4.0)
0.0236
(5.6)
0.0242
(6.2)
0.0221
(4.6)
Dak Prescott 0.0381
0.0194
(8.1)
0.0214
(7.4)
0.0199
(7.8)
0.0197
(8.2)
Daniel Jones 0.0106
0.0223
(4.7)
0.0267
(6.6)
0.0262
(6.6)
0.0233
(4.9)
Kirk Cousins 0.0218
0.0181
(3.6)
0.0193
(3.0)
0.0200
(2.2)
0.0199
(2.7)
Derek Carr 0.0279
0.0216
(4.1)
0.0204
(4.8)
0.0197
(4.9)
0.0208
(4.7)
Jalen Hurts 0.0130
0.0255
(4.9)
0.0211
(2.7)
0.0270
(5.6)
0.0255
(4.6)
Jimmy Garoppolo 0.0130
0.0302
(4.7)
0.0262
(3.4)
0.0323
(5.4)
0.0344
(5.9)
Davis Mills 0.0313
0.0243
(4.2)
0.0284
(2.4)
0.0248
(3.9)
0.0262
(3.6)
Aaron Rodgers 0.0221
0.0134
(5.7)
0.0164
(4.3)
0.0092
(7.9)
0.0127
(6.4)
Josh Allen 0.0247
0.0221
(2.5)
0.0211
(3.3)
0.0213
(2.8)
0.0229
(2.3)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Ryan 0.0221 0.0282 3.7
2 Tom Brady 0.0188 0.0123 3.5
3 Marcus Mariota 0.0229 0.0300 2.7
4 Andy Dalton 0.0320 0.0238 2.4
5 Ryan Tannehill 0.0271 0.0185 2.2
6 Lamar Jackson 0.0287 0.0215 1.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenny Pickett 0.0317 0.0231 2.5
2 Jacoby Brissett 0.0245 0.0163 2.3
3 Ryan Tannehill 0.0273 0.0185 2.2
4 Marcus Mariota 0.0252 0.0300 2.1
5 Geno Smith 0.0247 0.0192 1.9
6 Matthew Stafford 0.0238 0.0264 1.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Ryan 0.0224 0.0282 3.4
2 Tom Brady 0.0177 0.0123 2.7
3 Patrick Mahomes 0.0163 0.0185 2.5
4 Mac Jones 0.0221 0.0249 2.0
5 Kenny Pickett 0.0296 0.0231 1.9
6 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0262 0.0200 1.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tom Brady 0.0208 0.0123 4.5
2 Matt Ryan 0.0208 0.0282 4.5
3 Geno Smith 0.0280 0.0192 3.7
4 Jacoby Brissett 0.0250 0.0163 2.4
5 Marcus Mariota 0.0269 0.0300 1.6
6 Patrick Mahomes 0.0184 0.0185 1.6

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Josh Jacobs 340
211
(129.1)
284
(56.0)
222
(118.0)
225
(115.3)
Tyler Allgeier 210
99
(110.7)
145
(65.0)
72
(138.0)
127
(82.8)
Jamaal Williams 262
144
(118.5)
227
(35.0)
146
(116.0)
10
(252.0)
Jonathan Taylor 192
311
(118.7)
317
(125.0)
302
(110.0)
327
(134.7)
Kenyan Drake 109
12
(96.7)
58
(51.0)
43
(66.0)
10
(99.0)
Joe Mixon 210
271
(60.9)
304
(94.0)
292
(82.0)
10
(200.0)
Latavius Murray 171
10
(161.0)
100
(71.0)
10
(161.0)
10
(161.0)
Jeff Wilson 176
45
(131.3)
95
(81.0)
55
(121.0)
10
(166.0)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 D'Onta Foreman 86 203 117.4
2 Isiah Pacheco 57 170 113.3
3 Brian Robinson 116 205 89.2
4 Kenneth Walker III 150 228 77.7
5 Saquon Barkley 223 295 72.4
6 Travis Etienne 160 220 60.2
7 Nick Chubb 243 302 59.2
8 Justin Fields 104 160 55.8
9 Rhamondre Stevenson 156 210 54.5
10 Lamar Jackson 160 112 47.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Khalil Herbert 209 129 80.0
2 Leonard Fournette 266 189 77.0
3 Lamar Jackson 179 112 67.0
4 Travis Etienne 158 220 62.0
5 Devin Singletary 233 177 56.0
6 Cordarrelle Patterson 193 144 49.0
7 Dameon Pierce 266 220 46.0
8 Daniel Jones 82 120 38.0
9 James Conner 221 183 38.0
10 Derrick Henry 315 349 34.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 D'Onta Foreman 78 203 125.0
2 Isiah Pacheco 66 170 104.0
3 Brian Robinson 102 205 103.0
4 Nick Chubb 220 302 82.0
5 Kenneth Walker III 152 228 76.0
6 Miles Sanders 191 259 68.0
7 Saquon Barkley 228 295 67.0
8 Daniel Jones 57 120 63.0
9 Alvin Kamara 163 223 60.0
10 Tony Pollard 135 193 58.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Chubb 10 302 292.0
2 Najee Harris 10 272 262.0
3 Dalvin Cook 10 264 254.0
4 Miles Sanders 10 259 249.0
5 Ezekiel Elliott 10 231 221.0
6 D'Onta Foreman 10 203 193.0
7 Leonard Fournette 10 189 179.0
8 Cam Akers 10 188 178.0
9 Cordarrelle Patterson 10 144 134.0
10 Isiah Pacheco 56 170 114.5

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Leonard Fournette 3.5344
4.2754
(177.1)
3.9323
(117.6)
4.4076
(180.6)
4.6374
(227.1)
Justin Fields 7.1437
5.7850
(186.0)
6.3295
(94.4)
5.8972
(186.2)
5.5303
(242.4)
Josh Jacobs 4.8618
4.1944
(160.3)
4.1937
(151.0)
4.0045
(263.4)
4.1989
(191.9)
Tyler Allgeier 4.9286
4.1249
(127.6)
4.1034
(126.2)
4.4028
(93.1)
3.7547
(225.8)
Khalil Herbert 5.6667
4.3012
(150.9)
4.3158
(145.4)
4.0104
(203.0)
3.6066
(253.0)
Brian Robinson 3.8878
4.2047
(105.1)
4.1739
(104.6)
4.4804
(138.4)
4.2979
(104.3)
Jalen Hurts 4.6061
5.4654
(174.1)
5.2375
(141.2)
5.6107
(179.4)
5.3451
(138.2)
Ezekiel Elliott 3.7922
4.1869
(136.4)
4.1872
(143.0)
4.3013
(136.7)
4.6374
(218.0)
Travis Etienne 5.1136
4.5050
(90.8)
4.3418
(120.5)
4.2982
(161.2)
4.6008
(91.2)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 4.1144 3.8015 138.4
2 Jonathan Taylor 4.8677 4.4844 111.2
3 Aaron Jones 4.5521 5.2629 109.7
4 Joe Mixon 4.1879 3.8762 106.6
5 Rhamondre Stevenson 4.2559 4.9524 105.1
6 Jeff Wilson 4.1051 4.8864 103.0
7 Lamar Jackson 5.7904 6.8214 93.5
8 Isiah Pacheco 4.1499 4.8824 91.2
9 Cordarrelle Patterson 4.0836 4.8264 78.7
10 Raheem Mostert 5.1580 4.9227 78.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenneth Walker III 5.0628 4.6053 155.4
2 Alvin Kamara 4.4747 4.0224 150.8
3 Aaron Jones 4.3744 5.2629 141.5
4 Tony Pollard 4.2704 5.2176 139.6
5 AJ Dillon 4.5962 4.1398 126.6
6 Lamar Jackson 5.5698 6.8214 115.1
7 Derrick Henry 4.4603 4.4069 96.8
8 David Montgomery 4.2018 3.9851 88.6
9 Josh Allen 5.2261 6.1452 86.2
10 Dalvin Cook 4.5424 4.4432 85.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Alvin Kamara 5.0000 4.0224 236.4
2 Jonathan Taylor 5.1921 4.4844 151.7
3 Jeff Wilson 4.1636 4.8864 112.7
4 Najee Harris 4.1007 3.8015 103.8
5 Nick Chubb 5.2955 5.0497 99.1
6 Lamar Jackson 5.9034 6.8214 93.6
7 Cordarrelle Patterson 4.1024 4.8264 92.4
8 Dalvin Cook 4.7082 4.4432 91.7
9 Josh Allen 5.4159 6.1452 80.2
10 AJ Dillon 4.4880 4.1398 80.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 4.6374 3.8015 254.2
2 Joe Mixon 4.6374 3.8762 180.6
3 Jamaal Williams 4.6374 4.0687 174.8
4 Kenneth Walker III 3.7805 4.6053 165.6
5 Alvin Kamara 4.5124 4.0224 131.2
6 Rhamondre Stevenson 4.2357 4.9524 129.8
7 Isiah Pacheco 4.0414 4.8824 126.2
8 Cam Akers 4.6374 4.1809 104.4
9 Jonathan Taylor 4.9079 4.4844 100.2
10 Nick Chubb 4.6374 5.0497 94.7

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Leonard Fournette 0.0159
0.0434
(5.3)
0.0338
(3.4)
0.0379
(4.3)
0.0340
(3.4)
Alvin Kamara 0.0090
0.0321
(5.2)
0.0369
(6.2)
0.0429
(7.7)
0.0381
(6.4)
Austin Ekeler 0.0637
0.0400
(4.8)
0.0333
(6.2)
0.0474
(3.2)
0.0409
(4.7)
Tony Pollard 0.0466
0.0234
(4.4)
0.0204
(5.1)
0.0222
(4.6)
0.0251
(4.2)
Jamaal Williams 0.0649
0.0286
(9.4)
0.0485
(4.3)
0.0205
(11.5)
0.0340
(8.2)
Kenneth Walker III 0.0395
0.0253
(3.2)
0.0544
(3.4)
0.0263
(2.9)
0.0270
(2.9)
Aaron Jones 0.0094
0.0303
(4.5)
0.0332
(5.0)
0.0292
(4.3)
0.0318
(4.7)
Brian Robinson 0.0098
0.0432
(6.9)
0.0261
(3.3)
0.0294
(4.1)
0.0336
(4.8)
Daniel Jones 0.0583
0.0371
(2.5)
0.0366
(2.6)
0.0175
(4.8)
0.0333
(3.0)
Miles Sanders 0.0425
0.0233
(4.9)
0.0249
(4.6)
0.0262
(4.1)
0.0340
(2.3)
Raheem Mostert 0.0166
0.0358
(3.5)
0.0348
(3.3)
0.0284
(2.2)
0.0338
(3.1)
Jalen Hurts 0.0788
0.0611
(2.9)
0.0500
(4.8)
0.0534
(4.1)
0.0546
(4.0)
Cordarrelle Patterson 0.0556
0.0240
(4.5)
0.0207
(5.0)
0.0394
(2.3)
0.0340
(3.1)
Ezekiel Elliott 0.0519
0.0366
(3.5)
0.0383
(3.2)
0.0306
(4.8)
0.0340
(4.2)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Taylor 0.0428 0.0208 4.3
2 Justin Fields 0.0259 0.0500 3.8
3 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0399 0.0238 3.4
4 Nick Chubb 0.0305 0.0397 2.7
5 Saquon Barkley 0.0256 0.0339 2.4
6 Josh Jacobs 0.0417 0.0353 2.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Christian McCaffrey 0.0456 0.0328 3.1
2 Justin Fields 0.0682 0.0500 2.9
3 Tyler Allgeier 0.0276 0.0143 2.8
4 AJ Dillon 0.0235 0.0376 2.7
5 Nick Chubb 0.0481 0.0397 2.5
6 Kenyan Drake 0.0172 0.0367 2.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Taylor 0.0464 0.0208 5.0
2 Tyler Allgeier 0.0278 0.0143 2.9
3 D'Onta Foreman 0.0385 0.0246 2.9
4 Isiah Pacheco 0.0455 0.0294 2.8
5 Dameon Pierce 0.0296 0.0182 2.6
6 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0355 0.0238 2.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Taylor 0.0459 0.0208 4.8
2 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0378 0.0238 2.9
3 Justin Fields 0.0345 0.0500 2.5
4 Najee Harris 0.0340 0.0257 2.2
5 Dameon Pierce 0.0277 0.0182 2.0
6 D'Onta Foreman 0.0340 0.0246 1.8

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Juwan Johnson 2 65 62.5
2 Darius Slayton 11 71 60.2
3 Demarcus Robinson 15 75 59.7
4 Cooper Kupp 157 98 58.8
5 Zay Jones 64 121 56.7
6 Hunter Renfrow 106 50 56.1
7 Garrett Wilson 102 147 44.8
8 Davante Adams 136 180 43.8
9 Austin Ekeler 84 127 42.6
10 Tyreek Hill 130 170 40.0

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Davante Adams 0.7093 0.5556 28.2
2 Evan Engram 0.6084 0.7449 13.1
3 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.6631 0.7723 10.7
4 DeVonta Smith 0.6168 0.6985 10.7
5 Amari Cooper 0.6630 0.5909 9.9
6 Darius Slayton 0.5093 0.6479 9.6
7 Christian McCaffrey 0.8582 0.7870 8.0
8 Garrett Wilson 0.6145 0.5646 7.8
9 Christian Kirk 0.6870 0.6316 7.8
10 Austin Ekeler 0.7784 0.8425 7.7

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jaylen Waddle 18.0800
10.6278
(850.7)
12.7363
(591.9)
12.7746
(629.9)
11.6424
(768.2)
George Pickens 15.4038
12.9679
(189.4)
12.6207
(209.9)
11.5179
(333.0)
12.3834
(264.5)
Davante Adams 15.1600
11.9524
(544.8)
12.6040
(408.9)
12.9556
(410.9)
12.4188
(516.5)
Chris Godwin Jr. 9.8365
11.4667
(257.2)
12.1139
(363.8)
12.5070
(368.1)
11.7133
(248.3)
Amari Cooper 14.8718
11.3099
(446.3)
12.6375
(257.4)
13.3182
(215.4)
12.1422
(377.3)
A.J. Brown 17.0000
14.3896
(352.3)
14.3810
(338.5)
13.5000
(518.8)
14.7343
(347.1)
Michael Pittman 9.3434
12.3257
(446.0)
10.9785
(270.6)
12.5595
(442.5)
12.3776
(409.7)
Deebo Samuel Sr. 11.2857
14.5123
(320.3)
12.7000
(159.7)
14.4915
(294.0)
14.5531
(295.1)
Ja'Marr Chase 12.0230
14.9452
(415.8)
14.0000
(303.0)
15.2530
(422.4)
15.5958
(461.6)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DK Metcalf 14.6049 11.6444 442.9
2 Austin Ekeler 9.3196 6.7477 349.6
3 Diontae Johnson 12.2310 10.2558 316.9
4 Tyreek Hill 12.3975 14.3697 304.5
5 Zay Jones 12.1721 10.0366 280.3
6 Gabe Davis 14.6928 17.4167 236.5
7 Corey Davis 12.9085 16.7500 234.3
8 Christian Kirk 11.2783 13.1905 230.3
9 K.J. Osborn 12.7256 10.8333 186.6
10 Saquon Barkley 8.1495 5.9298 182.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 DK Metcalf 14.4054 11.6444 429.4
2 Nelson Agholor 15.7708 11.6774 232.0
3 Austin Ekeler 8.0685 6.7477 203.9
4 CeeDee Lamb 13.6667 12.7009 195.0
5 Terry McLaurin 13.5641 15.4675 194.3
6 Demarcus Robinson 11.8333 9.5417 193.2
7 K.J. Osborn 12.6607 10.8333 190.1
8 DeVonta Smith 13.6892 12.5895 188.2
9 Christian Watson 11.8182 14.9024 184.8
10 Jahan Dotson 11.7879 14.9429 175.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zay Jones 12.7500 10.0366 318.9
2 DK Metcalf 13.7895 11.6444 291.4
3 Darius Slayton 12.1422 15.7391 260.9
4 Gabe Davis 14.7414 17.4167 256.1
5 Terry McLaurin 13.4625 15.4675 250.0
6 Cooper Kupp 13.4495 10.8267 249.4
7 Garrett Wilson 11.7018 13.2892 244.8
8 Justin Jefferson 15.4565 14.1328 229.2
9 DeAndre Hopkins 13.3519 11.2031 198.8
10 Romeo Doubs 13.1395 10.1190 197.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gabe Davis 12.1422 17.4167 502.5
2 Leonard Fournette 12.1422 7.1644 402.5
3 Tyreek Hill 12.1422 14.3697 400.5
4 Joe Mixon 12.1422 7.3500 349.8
5 Rex Burkhead 12.1422 5.5135 331.5
6 Corey Davis 12.1422 16.7500 303.1
7 Darius Slayton 12.1422 15.7391 264.5
8 Diontae Johnson 12.1422 10.2558 258.4
9 Austin Ekeler 8.8545 6.7477 251.3
10 Dalvin Cook 12.1422 7.5641 249.2

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jaylen Waddle 0.1067
0.0653
(4.6)
0.0769
(3.6)
0.0704
(4.6)
0.0703
(4.6)
Davante Adams 0.1400
0.0725
(11.9)
0.0891
(9.4)
0.1000
(7.7)
0.0986
(8.0)
Jahan Dotson 0.2000
0.0830
(7.0)
0.0606
(8.6)
0.0588
(8.8)
0.0660
(8.4)
Amari Cooper 0.1154
0.0704
(5.7)
0.0875
(3.8)
0.0758
(5.6)
0.0764
(5.5)
Chris Godwin Jr. 0.0288
0.0760
(6.9)
0.0759
(6.5)
0.0986
(9.5)
0.0780
(6.5)
Cole Kmet 0.1400
0.0620
(5.3)
0.0909
(3.5)
0.0588
(5.8)
0.0631
(5.5)
Jerick McKinnon 0.1607
0.0530
(7.5)
0.0417
(8.5)
0.0333
(9.2)
0.0764
(6.2)
George Kittle 0.1833
0.0734
(9.3)
0.0781
(9.1)
0.0896
(8.3)
0.0784
(9.3)
Diontae Johnson 0.0000
0.0437
(6.7)
0.0549
(7.9)
0.0549
(7.7)
0.0764
(10.8)
DJ Moore 0.1111
0.0684
(4.9)
0.0571
(6.5)
0.0588
(6.5)
0.0629
(6.0)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Lockett 0.0481 0.1071 6.7
2 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.0885 0.0385 5.2
3 Christian Kirk 0.0554 0.0952 5.1
4 Garrett Wilson 0.0796 0.0482 4.9
5 DeVonta Smith 0.1051 0.0737 4.5
6 Michael Pittman 0.0695 0.0404 4.3
7 Mark Andrews 0.1037 0.0685 4.2
8 Mike Evans 0.1085 0.0779 4.1
9 Travis Kelce 0.0809 0.1091 4.0
10 Tyreek Hill 0.0797 0.0588 3.8

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Jefferson 0.0991 0.0625 6.5
2 Travis Kelce 0.1444 0.1091 5.2
3 Demarcus Robinson 0.1111 0.0417 5.1
4 Donovan Peoples-Jones 0.0980 0.0492 4.6
5 Chris Olave 0.0946 0.0556 4.5
6 A.J. Brown 0.0952 0.1250 4.5
7 Darius Slayton 0.1000 0.0435 3.9
8 Treylon Burks 0.1000 0.0303 3.7
9 Tyler Lockett 0.0779 0.1071 3.5
10 Tyreek Hill 0.0800 0.0588 3.4

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Brown 0.0750 0.1250 7.7
2 Mike Evans 0.1389 0.0779 7.4
3 Tyreek Hill 0.0976 0.0588 6.1
4 Juwan Johnson 0.0764 0.1667 6.1
5 Justin Jefferson 0.0978 0.0625 6.0
6 DeAndre Hopkins 0.1111 0.0469 5.9
7 JuJu Smith-Schuster 0.0986 0.0385 5.8
8 Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.0847 0.0357 4.3
9 Tyler Lockett 0.0746 0.1071 4.1
10 Jakobi Meyers 0.0500 0.0896 4.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gabe Davis 0.0764 0.1458 6.7
2 Juwan Johnson 0.0722 0.1667 6.3
3 Justin Jefferson 0.0992 0.0625 6.2
4 Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.0959 0.0357 5.4
5 Mike Evans 0.1215 0.0779 5.1
6 Christian Watson 0.1021 0.1707 4.7
7 Michael Pittman 0.0729 0.0404 4.1
8 DeAndre Hopkins 0.0930 0.0469 4.1
9 Jakobi Meyers 0.0499 0.0896 4.1
10 Christian Kirk 0.0680 0.0952 4.0