2021 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Passers with 300 attempts, rushers with 100 carries, receivers with 50 targets.

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Sam Darnold 406
542
(136.3)
306
(100.0)
527
(121.0)
550
(143.5)
Russell Wilson 400
548
(147.5)
533
(133.0)
588
(188.0)
30
(370.0)
Baker Mayfield 418
543
(125.1)
557
(139.0)
534
(116.0)
540
(121.9)
Kyler Murray 481
581
(99.6)
575
(94.0)
575
(94.0)
586
(104.6)
Lamar Jackson 382
457
(75.2)
462
(80.0)
445
(63.0)
463
(80.7)
Derek Carr 626
561
(65.1)
680
(54.0)
532
(94.0)
30
(596.0)
Daniel Jones 361
561
(200.3)
533
(172.0)
515
(154.0)
549
(188.0)
Tua Tagovailoa 388
568
(179.6)
507
(119.0)
546
(158.0)
570
(182.5)
Zach Wilson 383
528
(144.8)
519
(136.0)
540
(157.0)
546
(163.1)
Davis Mills 394
192
(202.3)
34
(360.0)
30
(364.0)
107
(287.1)
Taylor Heinicke 494
94
(400.2)
202
(292.0)
59
(435.0)
30
(464.0)
Tom Brady 719
603
(115.6)
636
(83.0)
596
(123.0)
30
(689.0)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Garoppolo 172 441 268.9
2 Jared Goff 601 494 106.9
3 Jalen Hurts 518 432 86.1
4 Joe Burrow 596 520 75.9
5 Justin Herbert 598 672 74.2
6 Kirk Cousins 491 561 69.8
7 Aaron Rodgers 572 531 40.6
8 Josh Allen 611 646 35.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Ryan 637 560 77.0
2 Ben Roethlisberger 530 605 75.0
3 Justin Herbert 613 672 59.0
4 Dak Prescott 540 596 56.0
5 Jalen Hurts 480 432 48.0
6 Josh Allen 601 646 45.0
7 Carson Wentz 474 516 42.0
8 Mac Jones 480 521 41.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Garoppolo 255 441 186.0
2 Joe Burrow 611 520 91.0
3 Justin Herbert 585 672 87.0
4 Josh Allen 561 646 85.0
5 Ben Roethlisberger 536 605 69.0
6 Patrick Mahomes 589 658 69.0
7 Teddy Bridgewater 372 426 54.0
8 Trevor Lawrence 555 602 47.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ben Roethlisberger 30 605 575.0
2 Matt Ryan 30 560 530.0
3 Ryan Tannehill 30 531 501.0
4 Teddy Bridgewater 30 426 396.0
5 Jimmy Garoppolo 135 441 306.0
6 Jalen Hurts 536 432 104.3
7 Joe Burrow 612 520 91.9
8 Jared Goff 579 494 85.3

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Mac Jones 0.6756
0.6385
(14.8)
0.6500
(10.6)
0.6106
(28.6)
0.6444
(14.4)
Baker Mayfield 0.6053
0.6319
(14.8)
0.6589
(24.6)
0.6292
(14.3)
0.6385
(15.4)
Trevor Lawrence 0.5963
0.6357
(28.9)
0.6487
(34.7)
0.6198
(20.3)
0.6400
(28.5)
Kyler Murray 0.6923
0.6505
(15.9)
0.6574
(14.2)
0.6609
(10.2)
0.6643
(11.7)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.6778
0.6436
(9.9)
0.6509
(8.4)
0.6300
(14.6)
0.6517
(8.7)
Zach Wilson 0.5561
0.6294
(31.4)
0.6204
(26.7)
0.6111
(25.0)
0.6323
(30.6)
Joe Burrow 0.7038
0.6506
(23.2)
0.6588
(20.6)
0.6612
(16.9)
0.6588
(21.5)
Josh Allen 0.6331
0.6500
(16.5)
0.6839
(36.2)
0.6702
(30.6)
0.6627
(21.5)
Matthew Stafford 0.6722
0.6530
(6.3)
0.6179
(29.5)
0.6393
(13.6)
0.6600
(5.1)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Davis Mills 0.6213 0.6675 14.8
2 Tom Brady 0.6453 0.6745 14.8
3 Sam Darnold 0.6196 0.5985 12.1
4 Ben Roethlisberger 0.6538 0.6446 10.8
5 Dak Prescott 0.6621 0.6879 10.2
6 Carson Wentz 0.6328 0.6240 9.0
7 Teddy Bridgewater 0.6413 0.6690 8.1
8 Derek Carr 0.6643 0.6837 6.7
9 Jared Goff 0.6504 0.6721 6.4
10 Aaron Rodgers 0.6692 0.6893 6.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dak Prescott 0.6333 0.6879 29.4
2 Davis Mills 0.6176 0.6675 17.6
3 Russell Wilson 0.6811 0.6475 15.5
4 Tom Brady 0.6478 0.6745 15.4
5 Taylor Heinicke 0.6188 0.6498 12.7
6 Patrick Mahomes 0.6763 0.6626 12.5
7 Justin Herbert 0.6705 0.6592 11.1
8 Ryan Tannehill 0.6468 0.6723 10.7
9 Ben Roethlisberger 0.6547 0.6446 9.3
10 Carson Wentz 0.6329 0.6240 7.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jared Goff 0.6208 0.6721 20.3
2 Kirk Cousins 0.6791 0.6631 14.7
3 Russell Wilson 0.6701 0.6475 13.1
4 Sam Darnold 0.6205 0.5985 13.1
5 Derek Carr 0.6598 0.6837 8.6
6 Lamar Jackson 0.6517 0.6440 6.8
7 Justin Herbert 0.6393 0.6592 6.5
8 Taylor Heinicke 0.6271 0.6498 6.2
9 Jalen Hurts 0.5890 0.6134 6.2
10 Aaron Rodgers 0.6691 0.6893 5.3

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Darnold 0.6404 0.5985 18.5
2 Davis Mills 0.6183 0.6675 17.9
3 Derek Carr 0.6562 0.6837 14.9
4 Jared Goff 0.6437 0.6721 12.2
5 Tom Brady 0.6562 0.6745 10.5
6 Ben Roethlisberger 0.6562 0.6446 9.2
7 Kirk Cousins 0.6756 0.6631 9.1
8 Dak Prescott 0.6711 0.6879 7.8
9 Ryan Tannehill 0.6562 0.6723 6.6
10 Matt Ryan 0.6562 0.6696 5.5

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Russell Wilson 12.0193
11.6232
(300.9)
12.1350
(196.6)
11.0381
(574.5)
11.0191
(544.5)
Baker Mayfield 11.8972
11.3555
(375.3)
11.4523
(439.8)
11.7560
(249.3)
11.7311
(220.4)
Trevor Lawrence 10.1421
11.3060
(486.3)
11.2332
(291.3)
11.2878
(415.8)
10.9630
(276.9)
Kyler Murray 11.3724
10.8123
(440.7)
11.5952
(184.9)
10.7474
(519.5)
10.9558
(374.0)
Ben Roethlisberger 9.5897
10.5670
(375.8)
10.7550
(337.6)
11.7259
(1017.1)
11.0191
(646.4)
Jimmy Garoppolo 12.6578
11.6866
(585.3)
11.7021
(689.3)
11.3046
(797.5)
17.4708
(1963.3)
Davis Mills 10.1293
11.5374
(414.5)
11.0952
(141.3)
11.0191
(171.3)
8.6505
(724.9)
Joe Burrow 12.5984
10.8140
(1113.0)
11.2438
(1020.1)
10.2921
(1435.9)
10.9345
(1052.9)
Matthew Stafford 12.0941
11.4881
(578.2)
13.9474
(748.9)
11.5775
(583.9)
11.2612
(717.5)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Tannehill 12.1616 10.4594 714.8
2 Jared Goff 11.2139 9.7741 535.3
3 Tom Brady 11.9366 10.9608 445.5
4 Justin Herbert 11.1691 11.3183 339.6
5 Patrick Mahomes 11.9025 11.0986 294.6
6 Sam Darnold 11.4789 10.3992 293.8
7 Matt Ryan 11.4573 10.5813 291.1
8 Tua Tagovailoa 11.1829 10.0875 286.8
9 Derek Carr 11.1358 11.2243 278.3
10 Jalen Hurts 11.6188 11.8642 259.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Tannehill 12.8957 10.4594 971.2
2 Dak Prescott 12.5673 10.8512 660.8
3 Justin Herbert 11.1971 11.3183 489.5
4 Taylor Heinicke 11.8400 10.6511 287.3
5 Derek Carr 11.3860 11.2243 278.9
6 Teddy Bridgewater 10.7085 10.7088 258.8
7 Daniel Jones 11.5942 10.4655 188.2
8 Mac Jones 11.7244 10.7983 166.1
9 Tom Brady 11.7961 10.9608 163.9
10 Zach Wilson 11.1491 10.9577 159.3

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jared Goff 11.4437 9.7741 600.0
2 Patrick Mahomes 12.4242 11.0986 572.8
3 Sam Darnold 11.7584 10.3992 367.1
4 Ryan Tannehill 11.4918 10.4594 306.6
5 Mac Jones 11.8019 10.7983 285.8
6 Lamar Jackson 11.5207 11.7154 248.2
7 Taylor Heinicke 11.5405 10.6511 214.6
8 Daniel Jones 11.4608 10.4655 195.0
9 Carson Wentz 11.1448 11.0652 193.8
10 Dak Prescott 11.6301 10.8512 193.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jared Goff 11.1893 9.7741 520.8
2 Patrick Mahomes 12.1704 11.0986 467.7
3 Jalen Hurts 11.1697 11.8642 455.9
4 Derek Carr 11.0191 11.2243 354.4
5 Josh Allen 11.5938 10.7751 295.7
6 Dak Prescott 11.6697 10.8512 272.7
7 Lamar Jackson 11.4111 11.7154 254.2
8 Tom Brady 11.0191 10.9608 217.6
9 Tua Tagovailoa 10.9239 10.0875 184.5
10 Sam Darnold 11.2111 10.3992 183.1

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Sam Darnold 0.0370
0.0515
(5.6)
0.0385
(2.8)
0.0703
(11.4)
0.0634
(9.3)
Russell Wilson 0.0965
0.0860
(4.5)
0.0909
(5.6)
0.0914
(4.1)
0.0708
(11.7)
Justin Herbert 0.0858
0.0711
(10.3)
0.0827
(7.7)
0.0775
(9.0)
0.0774
(8.0)
Trevor Lawrence 0.0334
0.0621
(16.9)
0.0622
(12.3)
0.0640
(15.3)
0.0670
(18.1)
Lamar Jackson 0.0650
0.0885
(8.7)
0.0959
(8.6)
0.0966
(10.1)
0.0941
(9.8)
Derek Carr 0.0537
0.0663
(7.5)
0.0570
(3.2)
0.0741
(9.5)
0.0708
(8.5)
Daniel Jones 0.0431
0.0590
(5.5)
0.0725
(7.6)
0.0690
(7.5)
0.0651
(6.7)
Kirk Cousins 0.0887
0.0805
(5.0)
0.0880
(5.1)
0.0797
(7.9)
0.0830
(5.1)
Zach Wilson 0.0423
0.0596
(6.4)
0.0714
(8.0)
0.0576
(3.9)
0.0652
(7.5)
Carson Wentz 0.0839
0.0656
(9.7)
0.0767
(8.0)
0.0707
(9.4)
0.0717
(8.1)
Matt Ryan 0.0533
0.0656
(6.5)
0.0563
(3.0)
0.0663
(4.4)
0.0708
(7.8)
Matthew Stafford 0.1015
0.0647
(22.5)
0.0921
(10.7)
0.0722
(20.7)
0.0718
(19.9)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Burrow 0.0635 0.0929 15.6
2 Ryan Tannehill 0.0889 0.0588 15.6
3 Dak Prescott 0.0733 0.0902 10.5
4 Ben Roethlisberger 0.0684 0.0564 6.9
5 Baker Mayfield 0.0830 0.0672 6.4
6 Aaron Rodgers 0.0920 0.1011 5.2
7 Josh Allen 0.0811 0.0880 4.9
8 Kyler Murray 0.0654 0.0721 3.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryan Tannehill 0.0982 0.0588 16.5
2 Aaron Rodgers 0.0900 0.1011 10.3
3 Tom Brady 0.0850 0.0887 8.7
4 Taylor Heinicke 0.0880 0.0623 8.6
5 Davis Mills 0.0476 0.0608 8.5
6 Jalen Hurts 0.0788 0.0604 4.3
7 Baker Mayfield 0.0845 0.0672 3.7
8 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.0816 0.0664 3.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Burrow 0.0619 0.0929 18.8
2 Ben Roethlisberger 0.0845 0.0564 13.9
3 Patrick Mahomes 0.1028 0.0849 8.5
4 Dak Prescott 0.0816 0.0902 8.2
5 Taylor Heinicke 0.0541 0.0623 6.6
6 Kyler Murray 0.0658 0.0721 5.5
7 Ryan Tannehill 0.0738 0.0588 5.2
8 Jalen Hurts 0.0755 0.0604 4.3

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.1092 0.0664 17.3
2 Tom Brady 0.0708 0.0887 15.3
3 Joe Burrow 0.0675 0.0929 15.0
4 Dak Prescott 0.0752 0.0902 11.0
5 Davis Mills 0.0424 0.0608 8.6
6 Ben Roethlisberger 0.0708 0.0564 6.6
7 Baker Mayfield 0.0833 0.0672 5.3
8 Aaron Rodgers 0.0947 0.1011 5.2

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Ryan Tannehill 0.0264
0.0206
(2.7)
0.0198
(3.5)
0.0165
(5.3)
0.0220
(2.5)
Sam Darnold 0.0320
0.0266
(1.9)
0.0359
(1.6)
0.0266
(2.3)
0.0273
(2.0)
Joe Burrow 0.0269
0.0180
(4.3)
0.0181
(4.6)
0.0196
(3.9)
0.0193
(4.1)
Russell Wilson 0.0150
0.0208
(2.6)
0.0225
(3.0)
0.0204
(2.1)
0.0220
(2.7)
Baker Mayfield 0.0311
0.0217
(3.6)
0.0215
(4.0)
0.0187
(5.2)
0.0233
(3.4)
Lamar Jackson 0.0340
0.0243
(3.5)
0.0216
(4.7)
0.0247
(3.6)
0.0249
(3.6)
Jared Goff 0.0162
0.0208
(2.6)
0.0243
(4.0)
0.0279
(5.7)
0.0242
(3.8)
Kirk Cousins 0.0125
0.0228
(6.2)
0.0243
(6.7)
0.0261
(7.6)
0.0244
(6.5)
Ben Roethlisberger 0.0165
0.0213
(3.3)
0.0208
(2.6)
0.0205
(2.3)
0.0220
(3.1)
Carson Wentz 0.0136
0.0255
(6.5)
0.0380
(12.6)
0.0205
(3.5)
0.0236
(5.0)
Teddy Bridgewater 0.0164
0.0217
(2.5)
0.0269
(4.5)
0.0323
(6.7)
0.0220
(2.3)
Taylor Heinicke 0.0304
0.0235
(3.1)
0.0099
(10.1)
0.0508
(10.0)
0.0220
(4.3)
Matthew Stafford 0.0283
0.0193
(5.0)
0.0195
(5.3)
0.0171
(6.8)
0.0194
(5.5)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 0.0157 0.0075 4.7
2 Trevor Lawrence 0.0230 0.0282 2.8
3 Tom Brady 0.0189 0.0167 2.1
4 Josh Allen 0.0193 0.0232 2.1
5 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0201 0.0258 1.9
6 Dak Prescott 0.0193 0.0168 1.9
7 Patrick Mahomes 0.0162 0.0198 1.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zach Wilson 0.0173 0.0287 4.3
2 Derek Carr 0.0162 0.0224 3.9
3 Aaron Rodgers 0.0124 0.0075 2.6
4 Daniel Jones 0.0263 0.0194 2.5
5 Mac Jones 0.0208 0.0250 2.1
6 Kyler Murray 0.0243 0.0208 1.7
7 Davis Mills 0.0294 0.0254 1.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Patrick Mahomes 0.0119 0.0198 5.3
2 Jalen Hurts 0.0318 0.0208 4.7
3 Justin Herbert 0.0188 0.0223 2.5
4 Josh Allen 0.0196 0.0232 2.4
5 Derek Carr 0.0188 0.0224 2.3
6 Mac Jones 0.0208 0.0250 2.3
7 Daniel Jones 0.0252 0.0194 2.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jimmy Garoppolo 0.0393 0.0272 5.2
2 Trevor Lawrence 0.0225 0.0282 3.6
3 Tom Brady 0.0220 0.0167 3.6
4 Patrick Mahomes 0.0153 0.0198 3.1
5 Aaron Rodgers 0.0136 0.0075 3.1
6 Davis Mills 0.0196 0.0254 2.4
7 Jalen Hurts 0.0257 0.0208 2.0

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Devonta Freeman 133
36
(96.9)
80
(53.0)
10
(123.0)
10
(123.0)
Derrick Henry 219
330
(110.5)
333
(114.0)
323
(104.0)
342
(123.4)
Elijah Mitchell 207
47
(159.7)
112
(95.0)
10
(197.0)
47
(159.7)
Miles Sanders 137
234
(96.6)
228
(91.0)
196
(59.0)
10
(127.0)
D'Onta Foreman 133
10
(123.0)
32
(101.0)
10
(123.0)
10
(123.0)
Cordarrelle Patterson 153
56
(97.1)
98
(55.0)
54
(99.0)
10
(143.0)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chuba Hubbard 58 172 113.9
2 Saquon Barkley 261 162 99.4
3 Khalil Herbert 10 103 93.3
4 Devin Singletary 115 188 72.6
5 D'Ernest Johnson 32 100 68.3
6 James Robinson 228 164 63.9
7 Jonathan Taylor 273 332 59.1
8 James Conner 148 202 53.8
9 Dalvin Cook 302 249 52.7
10 Chase Edmonds 166 116 49.6

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Robinson 282 164 118.0
2 Saquon Barkley 241 162 79.0
3 D'Andre Swift 225 151 74.0
4 Nick Chubb 299 228 71.0
5 D'Ernest Johnson 30 100 70.0
6 Ezekiel Elliott 298 237 61.0
7 Austin Ekeler 146 206 60.0
8 Jonathan Taylor 276 332 56.0
9 Aaron Jones 224 171 53.0
10 Michael Carter 94 147 53.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chuba Hubbard 65 172 107.0
2 Khalil Herbert 10 103 93.0
3 D'Ernest Johnson 21 100 79.0
4 Jonathan Taylor 253 332 79.0
5 AJ Dillon 110 187 77.0
6 Devin Singletary 124 188 64.0
7 Alvin Kamara 177 240 63.0
8 Saquon Barkley 225 162 63.0
9 James Conner 140 202 62.0
10 Dalvin Cook 310 249 61.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 10 307 297.0
2 Joe Mixon 10 292 282.0
3 Antonio Gibson 10 258 248.0
4 Dalvin Cook 10 249 239.0
5 Ezekiel Elliott 10 237 227.0
6 Nick Chubb 10 228 218.0
7 Sony Michel 10 208 198.0
8 Melvin Gordon 10 203 193.0
9 Damien Harris 10 202 192.0
10 Leonard Fournette 10 180 170.0

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Nick Chubb 5.5219
4.9088
(130.2)
4.7759
(192.5)
5.0000
(135.7)
4.4591
(244.2)
Alvin Kamara 3.7417
4.6046
(217.2)
4.7749
(224.4)
4.5932
(186.8)
5.1312
(331.5)
Myles Gaskin 3.5376
4.1684
(116.4)
4.1878
(95.5)
4.1890
(100.1)
4.4591
(158.0)
Tony Pollard 5.5308
4.3236
(151.5)
4.3678
(163.9)
4.4091
(155.3)
4.2189
(171.6)
Jonathan Taylor 5.4548
4.4727
(312.1)
4.7101
(279.8)
4.8024
(240.9)
4.4171
(347.3)
Miles Sanders 5.5036
4.7611
(96.0)
4.7588
(115.5)
4.7041
(119.6)
4.4591
(144.2)
Najee Harris 3.9088
4.3052
(134.6)
4.4662
(141.0)
4.4061
(130.2)
4.4591
(166.4)
Antonio Gibson 4.0194
4.3516
(96.5)
4.4153
(76.8)
4.5023
(105.7)
4.4591
(111.3)
Rashaad Penny 6.2941
4.5468
(202.9)
4.6038
(212.8)
4.4040
(233.6)
4.4591
(219.4)
Saquon Barkley 3.6605
4.4813
(139.8)
4.7095
(154.0)
4.6933
(155.5)
4.5838
(148.2)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Allen 5.1243 6.2541 132.7
2 James Conner 4.2706 3.7228 119.1
3 Chuba Hubbard 4.1015 3.5581 100.7
4 Derrick Henry 4.6941 4.2785 100.2
5 Alexander Mattison 4.3582 3.6642 98.6
6 David Montgomery 4.1619 3.7733 96.9
7 Cordarrelle Patterson 4.5707 4.0392 87.7
8 D'Ernest Johnson 4.4259 5.3400 87.2
9 Elijah Mitchell 4.2114 4.6522 82.6
10 Sony Michel 4.3696 4.0625 72.6

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lamar Jackson 7.0208 5.7669 153.7
2 Chuba Hubbard 4.4926 3.5581 143.9
3 D'Ernest Johnson 4.1667 5.3400 127.2
4 David Montgomery 4.3717 3.7733 112.6
5 Chase Edmonds 4.3497 5.1034 98.8
6 Elijah Mitchell 4.3214 4.6522 88.8
7 Jalen Hurts 6.3438 5.6403 84.1
8 Javonte Williams 4.1412 4.4483 82.3
9 Leonard Fournette 4.1845 4.5111 76.5
10 Cordarrelle Patterson 4.6224 4.0392 74.2

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Allen 4.3824 6.2541 237.3
2 Derrick Henry 5.1981 4.2785 185.4
3 Chuba Hubbard 4.4308 3.5581 137.5
4 D'Ernest Johnson 4.0476 5.3400 136.5
5 AJ Dillon 5.0091 4.2941 120.0
6 Alexander Mattison 4.5000 3.6642 102.2
7 Lamar Jackson 6.5923 5.7669 100.1
8 James Robinson 4.1991 4.6768 90.3
9 Leonard Fournette 4.0968 4.5111 87.7
10 James Conner 4.1929 3.7228 80.2

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Allen 4.7328 6.2541 186.6
2 Derrick Henry 4.9211 4.2785 138.9
3 Javonte Williams 3.8150 4.4483 130.2
4 Michael Carter 3.5374 4.3469 120.2
5 Khalil Herbert 5.3354 4.2039 115.7
6 Alexander Mattison 4.4591 3.6642 105.4
7 David Montgomery 4.2260 3.7733 100.0
8 Devin Singletary 4.1136 4.6277 98.2
9 Joe Mixon 4.4591 4.1267 94.6
10 Elijah Mitchell 4.2114 4.6522 93.0

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Alvin Kamara 0.0167
0.0384
(5.4)
0.0471
(7.3)
0.0508
(8.6)
0.0529
(8.7)
James Robinson 0.0488
0.0298
(2.9)
0.0284
(3.3)
0.0284
(3.1)
0.0346
(2.3)
Austin Ekeler 0.0583
0.0248
(6.7)
0.0205
(7.8)
0.0245
(6.6)
0.0266
(6.6)
Aaron Jones 0.0234
0.0430
(3.5)
0.0491
(4.4)
0.0465
(4.2)
0.0436
(3.4)
Joe Mixon 0.0445
0.0275
(4.7)
0.0255
(5.6)
0.0292
(4.0)
0.0346
(2.9)
Miles Sanders 0.0000
0.0321
(4.5)
0.0307
(4.2)
0.0255
(3.7)
0.0346
(4.7)
Damien Harris 0.0743
0.0281
(9.1)
0.0360
(7.7)
0.0343
(7.8)
0.0346
(8.0)
Saquon Barkley 0.0123
0.0344
(3.7)
0.0373
(4.1)
0.0356
(4.0)
0.0350
(3.6)
Josh Allen 0.0492
0.0728
(3.0)
0.0779
(3.5)
0.0686
(2.6)
0.0659
(2.0)
Dalvin Cook 0.0241
0.0384
(3.8)
0.0414
(4.3)
0.0387
(4.0)
0.0346
(2.6)
James Conner 0.0743
0.0398
(6.8)
0.0588
(3.1)
0.0357
(7.5)
0.0331
(8.3)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Taylor 0.0377 0.0542 5.1
2 Lamar Jackson 0.0478 0.0150 4.5
3 Sony Michel 0.0387 0.0192 4.3
4 Jalen Hurts 0.0460 0.0719 3.5
5 Devin Singletary 0.0199 0.0372 3.1
6 Najee Harris 0.0316 0.0228 3.0
7 Antonio Gibson 0.0372 0.0271 2.8
8 Nick Chubb 0.0450 0.0351 2.5
9 Tony Pollard 0.0324 0.0154 2.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 0.0376 0.0228 4.6
2 Antonio Gibson 0.0403 0.0271 3.4
3 Melvin Gordon 0.0235 0.0394 3.2
4 Devin Singletary 0.0203 0.0372 3.2
5 Cordarrelle Patterson 0.0204 0.0392 2.9
6 Leonard Fournette 0.0291 0.0444 2.7
7 Myles Gaskin 0.0331 0.0173 2.7
8 Rashaad Penny 0.0283 0.0504 2.6
9 Latavius Murray 0.0291 0.0504 2.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Taylor 0.0316 0.0542 7.0
2 Lamar Jackson 0.0538 0.0150 5.4
3 Jalen Hurts 0.0420 0.0719 4.0
4 Antonio Gibson 0.0407 0.0271 3.9
5 Ezekiel Elliott 0.0279 0.0422 3.0
6 Latavius Murray 0.0241 0.0504 3.0
7 Sony Michel 0.0318 0.0192 2.9
8 D'Ernest Johnson 0.0000 0.0300 2.9
9 Nick Chubb 0.0450 0.0351 2.6

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Taylor 0.0370 0.0542 5.8
2 Lamar Jackson 0.0472 0.0150 4.3
3 Jalen Hurts 0.0433 0.0719 4.0
4 Najee Harris 0.0346 0.0228 3.6
5 Devin Singletary 0.0195 0.0372 3.4
6 Sony Michel 0.0346 0.0192 3.2
7 Myles Gaskin 0.0346 0.0173 3.0
8 Jamaal Williams 0.0346 0.0196 2.3
9 Elijah Mitchell 0.0338 0.0242 2.0

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Williams 8 129 121.0
2 DeAndre Hopkins 162 64 98.2
3 K.J. Osborn 10 82 71.6
4 Hunter Renfrow 67 128 60.7
5 Cooper Kupp 133 191 58.3
6 Corey Davis 117 59 57.6
7 Cedrick Wilson Jr. 8 61 53.0
8 Dalton Schultz 54 104 50.1
9 Christian Kirk 53 103 49.8
10 Leonard Fournette 38 84 46.4

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Robbie Chosen 0.6347 0.4818 18.2
2 Jaylen Waddle 0.6108 0.7429 16.8
3 Mike Williams 0.6724 0.5891 12.3
4 Chris Godwin Jr. 0.6686 0.7717 11.5
5 Stefon Diggs 0.6844 0.6280 11.3
6 Hunter Renfrow 0.7043 0.8047 11.3
7 Cooper Kupp 0.6903 0.7592 10.8
8 Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.6552 0.7563 10.6
9 Rondale Moore 0.6690 0.8438 10.4
10 Kendrick Bourne 0.6261 0.7857 10.3

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Jaylen Waddle 9.7596
13.3178
(502.8)
14.1486
(610.5)
13.0488
(460.8)
14.1799
(589.3)
Mike Williams 15.0789
12.2529
(360.2)
12.2529
(368.2)
12.2529
(364.3)
12.2529
(391.7)
Jakobi Meyers 10.4337
12.6581
(284.5)
13.4051
(370.8)
12.9811
(321.3)
12.8778
(281.4)
Tyler Lockett 16.0959
11.9431
(440.8)
11.6162
(482.4)
11.4945
(492.1)
12.0588
(454.5)
Cole Beasley 8.4512
11.4079
(334.9)
12.1231
(408.1)
11.7593
(370.8)
12.2529
(402.2)
Marquise Brown 11.0769
13.6031
(373.7)
13.3636
(329.7)
13.1695
(305.8)
13.4418
(314.5)
Kyle Pitts 15.0882
11.6100
(378.9)
11.0952
(442.4)
12.4154
(293.8)
11.5025
(417.6)
Deebo Samuel Sr. 18.2468
11.7639
(780.4)
12.8077
(661.6)
12.4493
(701.2)
12.3818
(735.2)
Ja'Marr Chase 17.9630
12.9414
(638.5)
13.8272
(533.0)
13.7302
(541.5)
13.6151
(583.5)
A.J. Green 15.7037
12.4456
(296.7)
12.1765
(327.1)
11.7755
(361.2)
12.2529
(336.9)
Van Jefferson 16.0400
12.7237
(292.2)
12.3281
(332.9)
12.8400
(284.6)
12.3518
(347.0)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 14.4606 11.1622 529.8
2 DJ Moore 15.0992 12.4409 438.8
3 Cooper Kupp 11.6605 13.4276 331.1
4 Brandin Cooks 13.8142 11.5222 311.6
5 Marvin Jones 13.7403 11.3973 285.2
6 Dallas Goedert 11.1834 14.8214 273.9
7 DK Metcalf 14.8960 12.8933 262.7
8 Robbie Chosen 12.1017 9.7925 257.7
9 Ameer Abdullah 12.2529 7.6053 248.1

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 15.6170 11.1622 703.8
2 DK Metcalf 16.4022 12.8933 449.0
3 Robbie Chosen 13.5802 9.7925 413.5
4 Amon-Ra St. Brown 12.8833 10.1333 323.9
5 Marquez Callaway 11.7750 15.1739 287.9
6 Rondale Moore 12.3175 8.0556 270.9
7 Terry McLaurin 11.6699 13.6753 264.4
8 Darnell Mooney 11.2568 13.0247 251.5
9 Pat Freiermuth 11.4773 8.2833 250.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyreek Hill 13.9355 11.1622 441.3
2 Robbie Chosen 13.0267 9.7925 356.0
3 Amon-Ra St. Brown 13.1176 10.1333 355.4
4 Deonte Harty 9.8077 15.8333 355.4
5 DK Metcalf 15.3827 12.8933 321.4
6 DJ Moore 14.3158 12.4409 306.0
7 Dallas Goedert 10.9167 14.8214 296.6
8 Chris Godwin Jr. 13.4028 11.2551 273.0
9 Hunter Renfrow 12.1389 10.0777 264.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Najee Harris 12.2529 6.3108 538.8
2 Leonard Fournette 12.2529 6.5797 458.8
3 Mike Davis 12.2529 5.8864 357.0
4 Cooper Kupp 11.9226 13.4276 327.7
5 Dallas Goedert 11.2217 14.8214 289.6
6 DJ Moore 14.4064 12.4409 286.0
7 Brandin Cooks 13.7449 11.5222 269.6
8 Chase Claypool 12.2529 14.5763 266.1
9 Marquez Callaway 12.2529 15.1739 263.1

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Chris Godwin Jr. 0.0510
0.0859
(5.2)
0.0978
(6.3)
0.1111
(7.9)
0.0952
(5.8)
Austin Ekeler 0.1143
0.0379
(6.6)
0.0326
(7.4)
0.0533
(5.6)
0.0491
(6.0)
Mike Evans 0.1892
0.1230
(6.8)
0.1190
(7.7)
0.1299
(6.5)
0.1186
(7.9)
Jakobi Meyers 0.0241
0.0529
(4.4)
0.0633
(5.3)
0.0755
(6.7)
0.0653
(5.4)
Cole Beasley 0.0122
0.0614
(6.2)
0.0615
(5.8)
0.0741
(7.1)
0.0835
(8.2)
DeAndre Hopkins 0.1905
0.0649
(7.6)
0.0804
(6.9)
0.0625
(8.1)
0.0710
(7.6)
Kyle Pitts 0.0147
0.0788
(7.7)
0.0833
(7.9)
0.0923
(8.7)
0.0868
(8.1)
Ja'Marr Chase 0.1605
0.0804
(9.5)
0.0864
(9.1)
0.0794
(10.1)
0.0877
(9.1)
Chase Claypool 0.0339
0.0889
(6.4)
0.1194
(9.3)
0.1111
(8.3)
0.0835
(5.4)
Allen Lazard 0.2000
0.0990
(5.7)
0.1111
(5.2)
0.1034
(5.7)
0.0835
(6.9)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cooper Kupp 0.0600 0.1103 8.4
2 Hunter Henry 0.0766 0.1800 7.3
3 Marquise Brown 0.1008 0.0659 6.0
4 Mark Andrews 0.1159 0.0841 5.8
5 Rashod Bateman 0.0965 0.0217 5.5
6 DK Metcalf 0.1119 0.1600 5.4
7 Davante Adams 0.1126 0.0894 4.9
8 Mecole Hardman 0.0874 0.0339 4.9
9 Tyreek Hill 0.1052 0.0811 4.8
10 K.J. Osborn 0.0794 0.1400 4.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Davante Adams 0.1273 0.0894 6.9
2 Dawson Knox 0.0870 0.1837 6.7
3 Cooper Kupp 0.0729 0.1103 6.6
4 Tyreek Hill 0.1170 0.0811 6.2
5 DJ Moore 0.0761 0.0430 5.8
6 K.J. Osborn 0.0727 0.1400 5.3
7 Hunter Renfrow 0.0462 0.0874 4.9
8 DK Metcalf 0.1196 0.1600 4.9
9 Marvin Jones 0.0909 0.0548 4.7
10 Alvin Kamara 0.0353 0.1064 4.6

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Henry 0.0588 0.1800 8.9
2 Marquise Brown 0.1186 0.0659 8.0
3 Tyreek Hill 0.1290 0.0811 7.9
4 Van Jefferson 0.0400 0.1200 7.0
5 Dawson Knox 0.0909 0.1837 6.5
6 Rashod Bateman 0.1071 0.0217 5.9
7 Jaylen Waddle 0.0976 0.0577 5.8
8 Mecole Hardman 0.0962 0.0339 5.3
9 Marvin Jones 0.0938 0.0548 4.9
10 Alvin Kamara 0.0375 0.1064 4.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Henry 0.0768 0.1800 7.6
2 Marquise Brown 0.1120 0.0659 6.9
3 Cooper Kupp 0.0731 0.1103 6.8
4 Adam Thielen 0.0835 0.1493 6.1
5 DK Metcalf 0.1123 0.1600 6.0
6 Rashod Bateman 0.1063 0.0217 5.8
7 Dawson Knox 0.1068 0.1837 5.4
8 Van Jefferson 0.0619 0.1200 5.0
9 Mecole Hardman 0.0922 0.0339 5.0
10 K.J. Osborn 0.0783 0.1400 4.9