2025 Fantasy Projection Accuracy

Passers with 300 attempts, rushers with 100 carries, receivers with 50 targets.

Summary

Passing

System Attempts CMP/ATT YDS/CMP TD/CMP INT/ATT
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Rushing

System Carries YDS/CAR TD/CAR
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Receiving

System Targets REC/TGT YDS/REC TD/REC
ESPN
Sleeper
FFToday
FantasyPros

Passing

Attempts

Everybody Missed for Attempts

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Bryce Young 478
588
(110.5)
539
(61.0)
562
(84.0)
555
(77.4)
Geno Smith 448
591
(143.4)
538
(90.0)
525
(77.0)
565
(117.2)
C.J. Stroud 423
584
(160.8)
544
(121.0)
555
(132.0)
558
(135.5)
Lamar Jackson 302
468
(166.0)
453
(151.0)
479
(177.0)
476
(173.6)
Jordan Love 439
540
(101.1)
522
(83.0)
471
(32.0)
506
(66.5)
Tua Tagovailoa 384
602
(217.5)
534
(150.0)
540
(156.0)
573
(189.3)
Jaxson Dart 339
293
(45.9)
133
(206.0)
124
(215.0)
114
(225.0)
Bo Nix 612
556
(55.9)
540
(72.0)
558
(54.0)
556
(55.5)
Patrick Mahomes 502
606
(104.2)
588
(86.0)
612
(110.0)
601
(99.1)
Jacoby Brissett 485
6
(479.5)
385
(100.0)
35
(450.0)
18
(466.7)
Aaron Rodgers 498
562
(64.1)
522
(24.0)
553
(55.0)
541
(42.8)
Josh Allen 460
521
(61.4)
499
(39.0)
499
(39.0)
519
(59.2)
Tyler Shough 327
236
(90.9)
234
(93.0)
136
(191.0)
102
(224.8)

Individual Misses for Attempts

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Flacco 292 416 123.5
2 Sam Darnold 547 477 70.4
3 Justin Herbert 571 512 59.1
4 Drake Maye 527 492 35.1
5 Trevor Lawrence 591 560 30.7
6 Jalen Hurts 485 454 30.6
7 Cam Ward 561 540 21.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daniel Jones 320 384 64.0
2 Joe Flacco 353 416 63.0
3 Matthew Stafford 541 597 56.0
4 Jared Goff 537 578 41.0
5 Caleb Williams 531 568 37.0
6 Drake Maye 529 492 37.0
7 Justin Herbert 531 512 19.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Flacco 233 416 183.0
2 Matthew Stafford 528 597 69.0
3 Sam Darnold 531 477 54.0
4 Jared Goff 525 578 53.0
5 Trevor Lawrence 529 560 31.0
6 Caleb Williams 583 568 15.0
7 Dak Prescott 588 600 12.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Darnold 544 477 67.1
2 Daniel Jones 442 384 57.6
3 Matthew Stafford 545 597 52.3
4 Jared Goff 548 578 30.3
5 Drake Maye 516 492 24.5
6 Justin Herbert 534 512 22.2
7 Cam Ward 529 540 10.7

CMP/ATT

Everybody Missed for CMP/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Caleb Williams 0.5810
0.6356
(29.4)
0.6497
(36.1)
0.6209
(23.2)
0.6353
(28.0)
Sam Darnold 0.6771
0.6525
(13.1)
0.6492
(15.8)
0.6290
(22.5)
0.6552
(12.9)
Lamar Jackson 0.6358
0.6624
(7.2)
0.6645
(7.1)
0.6701
(10.6)
0.6682
(8.3)
Baker Mayfield 0.6317
0.6828
(26.2)
0.6717
(19.0)
0.6896
(31.9)
0.6928
(30.5)
Trevor Lawrence 0.6089
0.6489
(20.8)
0.6589
(25.1)
0.6295
(12.0)
0.6418
(15.6)
Drake Maye 0.7195
0.6657
(27.9)
0.6692
(27.3)
0.6613
(28.2)
0.6680
(27.8)
Jordan Love 0.6629
0.6436
(9.7)
0.6552
(5.6)
0.6412
(9.1)
0.6417
(11.5)
Dak Prescott 0.6733
0.6629
(8.0)
0.6632
(9.1)
0.6599
(7.6)
0.6578
(12.3)
Daniel Jones 0.6797
0.6323
(19.3)
0.6531
(12.2)
0.6292
(19.0)
0.6248
(23.0)
Joe Flacco 0.6034
0.6215
(6.4)
0.6289
(8.5)
0.6309
(11.8)
0.6286
(8.4)
Bo Nix 0.6340
0.6565
(12.0)
0.6574
(11.2)
0.6487
(9.6)
0.6532
(8.7)
Patrick Mahomes 0.6275
0.6711
(20.4)
0.6718
(19.7)
0.6699
(21.7)
0.6771
(22.4)
Josh Allen 0.6935
0.6425
(24.8)
0.6613
(17.1)
0.6313
(28.2)
0.6404
(26.7)
Cam Ward 0.5981
0.6241
(12.4)
0.6407
(20.2)
0.6306
(18.0)
0.6371
(18.3)
Tyler Shough 0.6758
0.6277
(16.7)
0.6154
(21.4)
0.6324
(13.9)
0.6292
(16.9)

Individual Misses for CMP/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.6364 0.6495 7.8
2 Justin Herbert 0.6523 0.6641 7.5
3 Jalen Hurts 0.6663 0.6476 7.2
4 Bryce Young 0.6258 0.6360 6.2
5 Jaxson Dart 0.6285 0.6372 3.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.6052 0.6495 24.0
2 Jaxson Dart 0.6165 0.6372 8.7
3 Aaron Rodgers 0.6475 0.6566 7.1
4 Bryce Young 0.6345 0.6360 3.1
5 Matthew Stafford 0.6599 0.6499 2.9

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Rodgers 0.6293 0.6566 13.2
2 Jalen Hurts 0.6710 0.6476 11.0
3 Justin Herbert 0.6507 0.6641 6.4
4 Geno Smith 0.6590 0.6741 6.4
5 Jared Goff 0.6895 0.6799 6.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jalen Hurts 0.6759 0.6476 10.6
2 Aaron Rodgers 0.6416 0.6566 10.0
3 Justin Herbert 0.6557 0.6641 6.8
4 Tua Tagovailoa 0.6942 0.6771 4.6
5 Jaxson Dart 0.6298 0.6372 4.2

YDS/CMP

Everybody Missed for YDS/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Bryce Young 9.9046
10.6869
(411.4)
10.5643
(391.9)
10.3107
(184.6)
10.3340
(239.5)
Geno Smith 10.0166
10.6631
(324.8)
10.3562
(223.9)
10.9162
(394.1)
10.4353
(219.7)
Caleb Williams 11.9455
11.0893
(441.8)
10.8783
(515.1)
10.4696
(849.6)
10.5591
(746.7)
Sam Darnold 12.5325
10.8256
(776.8)
10.6615
(816.0)
11.4431
(529.1)
10.6410
(868.1)
Lamar Jackson 13.2760
11.9313
(382.4)
12.1960
(277.8)
12.0841
(366.0)
12.1438
(320.3)
Trevor Lawrence 11.7507
11.1310
(303.2)
10.9892
(336.7)
11.5886
(101.9)
11.2625
(233.3)
Drake Maye 12.4124
10.4431
(930.3)
10.5932
(816.2)
10.2879
(1055.1)
10.3443
(982.2)
Daniel Jones 11.8812
10.5004
(500.1)
10.3876
(512.0)
11.4315
(180.3)
10.4455
(523.8)
Joe Flacco 9.8765
10.9268
(469.6)
10.7297
(421.6)
11.7483
(770.4)
10.4795
(280.7)
Patrick Mahomes 11.3873
10.6915
(309.9)
10.6025
(313.5)
10.2976
(557.0)
10.4656
(426.7)
Aaron Rodgers 10.1590
10.5187
(218.2)
10.8166
(407.3)
10.7960
(307.3)
10.7746
(342.3)
Bo Nix 10.1314
10.8179
(468.1)
10.7944
(503.8)
10.4751
(198.2)
10.4261
(224.2)
Cam Ward 9.8111
10.9180
(640.1)
10.8012
(621.2)
11.1095
(690.4)
10.8025
(574.0)
Matthew Stafford 12.1314
11.6112
(263.8)
11.2185
(449.4)
11.2391
(544.6)
11.2563
(479.7)

Individual Misses for YDS/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 C.J. Stroud 11.9496 11.1392 376.0
2 Tua Tagovailoa 11.1107 10.2308 368.0
3 Jalen Hurts 11.4630 10.9660 261.2
4 Jared Goff 11.2075 11.6132 189.2
5 Josh Allen 11.8021 11.4984 175.8
6 Baker Mayfield 11.0093 10.7668 174.3

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tua Tagovailoa 11.0111 10.2308 361.2
2 Baker Mayfield 11.2360 10.7668 341.8
3 Jalen Hurts 11.5449 10.9660 335.6
4 Jacoby Brissett 11.0730 10.6857 265.5
5 Dak Prescott 10.8119 11.2673 177.1
6 C.J. Stroud 11.3025 11.1392 136.9

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 11.4783 10.6857 374.7
2 Justin Herbert 11.6785 10.9618 356.8
3 Josh Allen 12.2063 11.4984 316.5
4 Dak Prescott 10.9021 11.2673 231.1
5 Baker Mayfield 11.1590 10.7668 202.2
6 Jaxson Dart 11.0000 10.5185 156.5

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Shough 13.7605 10.7873 995.7
2 Jacoby Brissett 12.2231 10.6857 780.4
3 Dak Prescott 10.7418 11.2673 272.3
4 Jaxson Dart 11.1337 10.5185 232.9
5 Jalen Hurts 11.3567 10.9660 209.9
6 Jordan Love 11.9861 11.6186 192.8

TD/CMP

Everybody Missed for TD/CMP

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Bryce Young 0.0757
0.0611
(2.7)
0.0643
(3.3)
0.0565
(5.5)
0.0616
(3.8)
Caleb Williams 0.0818
0.0707
(1.2)
0.0696
(4.5)
0.0635
(6.0)
0.0670
(5.0)
Baker Mayfield 0.0758
0.0884
(11.7)
0.0871
(8.5)
0.0782
(5.4)
0.0856
(8.6)
Trevor Lawrence 0.0850
0.0590
(9.6)
0.0705
(5.7)
0.0661
(6.3)
0.0663
(7.1)
Drake Maye 0.0876
0.0670
(5.7)
0.0706
(6.2)
0.0606
(9.5)
0.0658
(7.7)
Tyler Shough 0.0452
0.0533
(5.6)
0.0556
(4.8)
0.0465
(2.9)
0.0669
(9.1)
Jalen Hurts 0.0850
0.0697
(2.9)
0.0731
(3.4)
0.0714
(2.7)
0.0759
(1.4)
Bo Nix 0.0644
0.0742
(11.5)
0.0761
(9.8)
0.0691
(7.5)
0.0754
(10.4)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0698
0.0752
(7.2)
0.0810
(7.8)
0.0683
(3.1)
0.0744
(5.4)
Jacoby Brissett 0.0730
0.0571
(3.3)
0.0815
(6.3)
0.0435
(10.6)
0.0579
(4.4)
Josh Allen 0.0784
0.0821
(5.8)
0.0788
(2.2)
0.0921
(9.8)
0.0872
(6.9)
Cam Ward 0.0464
0.0663
(15.6)
0.0623
(11.0)
0.0651
(14.2)
0.0647
(13.1)
Matthew Stafford 0.1186
0.0748
(20.8)
0.0840
(18.0)
0.0700
(24.4)
0.0719
(24.2)

Individual Misses for TD/CMP

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jared Goff 0.0682 0.0865 5.4
2 Aaron Rodgers 0.0573 0.0734 3.5
3 Sam Darnold 0.0619 0.0774 3.1
4 Joe Flacco 0.0440 0.0598 2.8
5 Jordan Love 0.0757 0.0790 2.5
6 C.J. Stroud 0.0662 0.0696 2.4
7 Dak Prescott 0.0687 0.0743 2.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jaxson Dart 0.0488 0.0694 5.5
2 Sam Darnold 0.0621 0.0774 5.2
3 C.J. Stroud 0.0756 0.0696 4.4
4 Jared Goff 0.0759 0.0865 3.6
5 Joe Flacco 0.0631 0.0598 3.2
6 Daniel Jones 0.0622 0.0728 2.4
7 Aaron Rodgers 0.0651 0.0734 1.9

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joe Flacco 0.0680 0.0598 6.6
2 Jordan Love 0.0861 0.0790 6.5
3 Jaxson Dart 0.0769 0.0694 5.1
4 Dak Prescott 0.0747 0.0743 4.9
5 Geno Smith 0.0636 0.0629 3.7
6 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0618 0.0769 2.9
7 Daniel Jones 0.0581 0.0728 2.7

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Love 0.0851 0.0790 5.3
2 Sam Darnold 0.0637 0.0774 3.7
3 C.J. Stroud 0.0694 0.0696 2.5
4 Tua Tagovailoa 0.0653 0.0769 2.1
5 Daniel Jones 0.0623 0.0728 1.7
6 Justin Herbert 0.0731 0.0765 1.4
7 Dak Prescott 0.0697 0.0743 0.9

INT/ATT

Everybody Missed for INT/ATT

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Bryce Young 0.0230
0.0214
(2.0)
0.0223
(1.7)
0.0178
(3.2)
0.0216
(1.9)
Geno Smith 0.0379
0.0223
(8.1)
0.0223
(8.2)
0.0305
(4.0)
0.0237
(7.6)
Sam Darnold 0.0294
0.0248
(3.4)
0.0242
(3.8)
0.0188
(5.7)
0.0254
(3.2)
Matthew Stafford 0.0134
0.0212
(3.2)
0.0185
(1.4)
0.0189
(2.4)
0.0200
(2.4)
Justin Herbert 0.0254
0.0180
(5.1)
0.0188
(4.8)
0.0115
(7.9)
0.0159
(6.2)
Lamar Jackson 0.0232
0.0212
(1.4)
0.0199
(1.8)
0.0146
(3.0)
0.0172
(2.6)
Drake Maye 0.0163
0.0239
(2.5)
0.0246
(2.7)
0.0240
(3.1)
0.0246
(2.8)
Jordan Love 0.0137
0.0252
(3.9)
0.0230
(2.9)
0.0255
(4.5)
0.0239
(3.3)
Jared Goff 0.0138
0.0219
(3.2)
0.0205
(2.3)
0.0210
(3.2)
0.0208
(2.5)
Tua Tagovailoa 0.0391
0.0219
(7.5)
0.0225
(7.4)
0.0204
(7.8)
0.0208
(8.0)
Jaxson Dart 0.0147
0.0263
(3.0)
0.0301
(4.3)
0.0242
(2.7)
0.0281
(3.6)
Patrick Mahomes 0.0219
0.0205
(2.0)
0.0204
(2.1)
0.0196
(1.9)
0.0201
(2.2)
Cam Ward 0.0130
0.0250
(5.1)
0.0285
(6.9)
0.0261
(6.3)
0.0261
(5.6)
Tyler Shough 0.0183
0.0263
(1.8)
0.0256
(1.5)
0.0294
(3.1)
0.0342
(4.3)

Individual Misses for INT/ATT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Caleb Williams 0.0201 0.0123 3.0
2 Dak Prescott 0.0232 0.0167 2.4
3 Jalen Hurts 0.0208 0.0132 2.3
4 Josh Allen 0.0205 0.0217 1.7
5 Aaron Rodgers 0.0197 0.0141 1.6
6 Baker Mayfield 0.0253 0.0203 1.4

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Caleb Williams 0.0226 0.0123 4.3
2 Jalen Hurts 0.0197 0.0132 1.7
3 Dak Prescott 0.0222 0.0167 1.7
4 Aaron Rodgers 0.0192 0.0141 1.2
5 Josh Allen 0.0220 0.0217 1.1
6 Bo Nix 0.0222 0.0180 0.9

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.0286 0.0165 5.1
2 Bo Nix 0.0233 0.0180 2.3
3 Baker Mayfield 0.0260 0.0203 2.3
4 Aaron Rodgers 0.0181 0.0141 1.2
5 C.J. Stroud 0.0180 0.0189 1.0
6 Trevor Lawrence 0.0246 0.0214 0.9

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacoby Brissett 0.0273 0.0165 4.0
2 Josh Allen 0.0200 0.0217 2.0
3 Caleb Williams 0.0184 0.0123 2.0
4 Baker Mayfield 0.0265 0.0203 1.9
5 Jalen Hurts 0.0187 0.0132 1.3
6 C.J. Stroud 0.0190 0.0189 1.1

Rushing

Carries

Everybody Missed for Carries

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Josh Jacobs 234
303
(68.6)
276
(42.0)
279
(45.0)
291
(57.0)
James Cook 309
266
(43.3)
225
(84.0)
211
(98.0)
232
(76.5)
Kenny Gainwell 114
209
(94.7)
55
(59.0)
32
(82.0)
60
(54.5)
Blake Corum 145
80
(64.5)
59
(86.0)
81
(64.0)
93
(51.6)
Zach Charbonnet 184
132
(51.8)
140
(44.0)
120
(64.0)
136
(48.1)
Kimani Vidal 155
10
(145.0)
6
(149.0)
10
(145.0)
40
(115.4)
Kareem Hunt 163
82
(81.1)
93
(70.0)
88
(75.0)
10
(153.0)
Jalen Hurts 105
151
(46.3)
152
(47.0)
150
(45.0)
147
(42.3)
Woody Marks 196
46
(149.7)
47
(149.0)
64
(132.0)
58
(137.6)
Christian McCaffrey 311
256
(54.5)
219
(92.0)
264
(47.0)
246
(65.5)
Rico Dowdle 236
75
(161.1)
90
(146.0)
92
(144.0)
93
(142.9)
Kyle Monangai 169
57
(112.4)
101
(68.0)
37
(132.0)
44
(124.7)
Quinshon Judkins 230
44
(185.9)
139
(91.0)
138
(92.0)
127
(103.0)
Travis Etienne 260
179
(81.1)
137
(123.0)
139
(121.0)
140
(119.8)
Omarion Hampton 124
256
(132.0)
243
(119.0)
254
(130.0)
226
(101.5)

Individual Misses for Carries

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyren Williams 322 259 62.9
2 Saquon Barkley 332 280 52.3
3 Rhamondre Stevenson 181 130 50.9
4 David Montgomery 206 158 48.0
5 Tyrone Tracy Jr. 220 176 43.5

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javonte Williams 133 252 119.0
2 Jaylen Warren 160 211 51.0
3 De'Von Achane 199 238 39.0
4 Jacory Croskey-Merritt 136 175 39.0
5 RJ Harvey 185 146 39.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jaylen Warren 134 211 77.0
2 Javonte Williams 189 252 63.0
3 Saquon Barkley 334 280 54.0
4 RJ Harvey 190 146 44.0
5 Rhamondre Stevenson 169 130 39.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Javonte Williams 167 252 84.6
2 Jaylen Warren 149 211 62.1
3 Saquon Barkley 336 280 56.4
4 RJ Harvey 192 146 46.4
5 TreVeyon Henderson 223 180 42.7

YDS/CAR

Everybody Missed for YDS/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
James Cook 5.2460
4.6688
(163.2)
4.6000
(182.0)
4.8104
(107.0)
4.6882
(147.5)
Blake Corum 5.1448
4.2261
(126.1)
4.2542
(120.9)
3.9136
(165.6)
3.7195
(195.0)
Kyren Williams 4.8340
4.3983
(100.1)
4.2701
(131.3)
4.1952
(142.3)
4.2828
(121.9)
Tyler Allgeier 3.5944
4.5581
(144.8)
4.3562
(117.1)
4.3881
(126.3)
4.5763
(151.9)
Drake Maye 4.3689
7.1205
(288.5)
6.6429
(240.1)
6.2933
(207.4)
6.3666
(214.0)
D'Andre Swift 4.8744
4.1089
(159.8)
4.2039
(136.8)
3.8924
(199.1)
4.0539
(165.1)
Bijan Robinson 5.1498
4.6988
(115.4)
4.6481
(127.7)
4.7051
(102.0)
4.6647
(116.2)
Woody Marks 3.5867
4.3153
(152.4)
4.1915
(129.7)
4.3906
(175.1)
4.0171
(100.1)
De'Von Achane 5.6723
4.5999
(243.5)
4.6784
(223.0)
4.5909
(236.1)
4.6563
(222.7)
Christian McCaffrey 3.8650
4.5579
(230.8)
4.5434
(228.7)
4.5000
(225.2)
4.5251
(230.3)
RJ Harvey 3.6986
4.4420
(115.7)
4.2973
(95.7)
4.3000
(100.8)
4.3020
(99.8)
Ashton Jeanty 3.6654
4.5803
(256.4)
4.4821
(232.4)
4.5017
(246.2)
4.4987
(243.0)
Javonte Williams 4.7659
3.9456
(194.3)
4.0977
(154.0)
4.0000
(170.5)
3.8327
(214.9)
Saquon Barkley 4.0714
4.8309
(226.4)
5.3000
(359.9)
4.9940
(283.3)
5.0048
(283.8)
Quinshon Judkins 3.5957
4.3492
(184.6)
4.2302
(159.0)
4.3841
(201.9)
4.2811
(176.1)

Individual Misses for YDS/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derrick Henry 4.6946 5.1954 138.7
2 TreVeyon Henderson 4.4440 5.0611 102.2
3 Kenneth Walker III 4.1612 4.6471 96.5
4 Josh Jacobs 4.2816 3.9701 84.4
5 Kyle Monangai 4.1113 4.6331 79.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 TreVeyon Henderson 4.2857 5.0611 129.3
2 J.K. Dobbins 4.2143 5.0458 118.5
3 Josh Jacobs 4.3043 3.9701 91.5
4 Rico Dowdle 4.1444 4.5593 84.5
5 Derrick Henry 5.4105 5.1954 83.5

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kenneth Walker III 3.9958 4.6471 124.2
2 Josh Jacobs 4.3943 3.9701 120.1
3 J.K. Dobbins 4.1972 5.0458 116.2
4 Jahmyr Gibbs 5.3992 5.0329 110.7
5 Jonathan Taylor 4.5050 4.9071 101.1

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kimani Vidal 2.4015 4.1484 258.3
2 Kyle Monangai 5.9955 4.6331 243.8
3 Kareem Hunt 4.5142 3.7485 137.9
4 TreVeyon Henderson 4.3493 5.0611 113.6
5 Kenneth Walker III 4.0630 4.6471 111.3

TD/CAR

Everybody Missed for TD/CAR

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Josh Jacobs 0.0556
0.0390
(3.4)
0.0399
(3.2)
0.0394
(3.1)
0.0395
(3.1)
Zach Charbonnet 0.0652
0.0318
(5.7)
0.0357
(5.1)
0.0333
(5.4)
0.0361
(4.8)
Chase Brown 0.0259
0.0344
(2.5)
0.0338
(2.3)
0.0342
(2.6)
0.0343
(2.6)
Tyler Allgeier 0.0559
0.0311
(3.2)
0.0274
(3.8)
0.0224
(4.4)
0.0272
(3.7)
Jonathan Taylor 0.0557
0.0332
(6.5)
0.0350
(6.1)
0.0332
(6.4)
0.0344
(6.0)
TreVeyon Henderson 0.0500
0.0284
(3.5)
0.0306
(3.2)
0.0276
(3.5)
0.0283
(3.4)
Bijan Robinson 0.0244
0.0384
(4.7)
0.0383
(4.5)
0.0407
(5.4)
0.0374
(4.5)
Woody Marks 0.0102
0.0259
(3.5)
0.0213
(2.5)
0.0312
(4.7)
0.0274
(3.9)
RJ Harvey 0.0479
0.0272
(2.7)
0.0324
(2.0)
0.0263
(2.8)
0.0301
(2.2)
Ashton Jeanty 0.0188
0.0325
(4.2)
0.0357
(5.0)
0.0332
(4.6)
0.0341
(4.8)
Javonte Williams 0.0437
0.0326
(2.2)
0.0301
(2.9)
0.0265
(3.7)
0.0263
(3.7)
Saquon Barkley 0.0250
0.0334
(3.0)
0.0367
(3.8)
0.0329
(3.0)
0.0330
(3.0)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 0.0114
0.0269
(3.1)
0.0267
(3.0)
0.0321
(4.1)
0.0280
(3.4)

Individual Misses for TD/CAR

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kimani Vidal 0.0375 0.0194 3.2
2 Josh Allen 0.0978 0.1250 2.8
3 Kenneth Walker III 0.0314 0.0226 2.4
4 James Cook 0.0444 0.0388 2.4
5 De'Von Achane 0.0410 0.0336 2.3
6 Breece Hall 0.0236 0.0165 2.3
7 Jalen Hurts 0.0932 0.0762 2.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0308 0.0538 2.8
2 Kimani Vidal 0.0000 0.0194 2.7
3 Kareem Hunt 0.0323 0.0491 2.4
4 Rico Dowdle 0.0333 0.0254 2.3
5 D'Andre Swift 0.0291 0.0404 2.1
6 Drake Maye 0.0571 0.0388 2.1
7 Kyle Monangai 0.0396 0.0296 2.0

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Blake Corum 0.0123 0.0414 3.8
2 James Cook 0.0474 0.0388 3.5
3 Kimani Vidal 0.0375 0.0194 3.2
4 D'Andre Swift 0.0239 0.0404 3.1
5 Kenneth Walker III 0.0333 0.0226 3.0
6 Josh Allen 0.0962 0.1250 2.9
7 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0296 0.0538 2.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Monangai 0.0542 0.0296 4.6
2 Josh Allen 0.0923 0.1250 3.3
3 Kenneth Walker III 0.0343 0.0226 3.2
4 Breece Hall 0.0266 0.0165 3.1
5 D'Andre Swift 0.0257 0.0404 2.6
6 Rhamondre Stevenson 0.0327 0.0538 2.4
7 Blake Corum 0.0246 0.0414 2.0

Receiving

Targets

Individual Misses for Targets

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Terry McLaurin 129 60 69.2
2 Parker Washington 29 95 66.2
3 Brock Bowers 149 86 63.0
4 Michael Wilson 70 126 56.5
5 CeeDee Lamb 172 117 54.8
6 Colby Parkinson 8 56 47.5
7 Kendrick Bourne 8 53 45.0
8 Cooper Kupp 115 70 44.6
9 Ryan Flournoy 12 56 44.3
10 Tee Higgins 141 98 42.8

REC/TGT

Individual Misses for REC/TGT

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Emeka Egbuka 0.6354 0.4961 17.6
2 Puka Nacua 0.6847 0.7771 15.5
3 Amon-Ra St. Brown 0.7673 0.6802 14.8
4 Kyle Pitts 0.6241 0.7458 14.4
5 Elic Ayomanor 0.6216 0.4607 14.3
6 Stefon Diggs 0.7056 0.8333 13.1
7 Darnell Mooney 0.6089 0.4444 11.8
8 Dalton Schultz 0.6654 0.7736 11.5
9 Nico Collins 0.6835 0.5917 10.9
10 Davante Adams 0.6225 0.5263 10.9

YDS/REC

Everybody Missed for YDS/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Alec Pierce 21.3404
13.7008
(623.6)
16.3333
(389.0)
16.1111
(414.0)
17.2508
(326.5)
Keenan Allen 9.5926
11.7778
(292.9)
10.8571
(200.1)
11.1224
(223.4)
11.5307
(261.2)
A.J. Brown 12.8590
14.6952
(248.3)
14.5930
(255.3)
14.7763
(268.4)
14.6408
(240.1)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 15.0672
12.3401
(409.4)
11.5747
(508.0)
12.3548
(393.1)
11.9302
(478.3)
Keon Coleman 10.6316
16.9059
(382.9)
14.1321
(228.7)
14.6444
(254.5)
15.7228
(312.3)
Bijan Robinson 10.3797
7.8512
(238.2)
7.6250
(245.0)
7.5439
(261.1)
7.5925
(266.2)
Jake Ferguson 7.3171
9.5697
(251.7)
9.5238
(263.4)
8.9437
(196.6)
9.1458
(207.2)
Deebo Samuel Sr. 10.0972
14.1643
(424.0)
12.7761
(302.4)
12.7500
(292.4)
12.7084
(278.6)
Parker Washington 14.6034
11.0506
(317.1)
10.1786
(384.7)
11.7500
(242.5)
10.6193
(359.2)
Ja'Marr Chase 11.2960
13.1654
(385.7)
13.0088
(386.4)
13.2119
(410.1)
13.1632
(382.9)
Kyle Pitts 10.5455
13.4438
(367.4)
12.5600
(282.0)
12.8235
(304.3)
12.6641
(273.9)
Rashid Shaheed 11.6441
14.9865
(327.3)
14.2982
(278.7)
15.1538
(350.6)
15.1441
(340.7)

Individual Misses for YDS/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 CeeDee Lamb 12.3017 14.3600 215.6
2 Nico Collins 13.8333 15.7324 202.0
3 Tee Higgins 12.2458 14.3390 184.0
4 Michael Wilson 11.2258 12.8974 183.5
5 Amon-Ra St. Brown 10.6932 11.9744 183.3
6 Jauan Jennings 13.5000 11.6909 182.2
7 Hunter Henry 10.5143 12.8000 180.1
8 DeVonta Smith 11.3087 13.0909 177.0

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mark Andrews 12.3818 8.7917 277.6
2 Chris Olave 12.9481 11.6300 264.2
3 Emeka Egbuka 12.5000 14.8889 255.7
4 Justin Jefferson 13.7941 12.4762 238.8
5 Michael Pittman 11.5441 9.8000 235.3
6 George Kittle 13.6620 11.0175 208.4
7 Tetairoa McMillan 12.4286 14.4857 205.1
8 CeeDee Lamb 12.2593 14.3600 201.8

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Wan'Dale Robinson 8.2963 11.0217 339.4
2 Emeka Egbuka 11.9865 14.8889 330.4
3 Justin Jefferson 14.4457 12.4762 320.1
4 Christian Watson 12.0936 17.4571 278.4
5 Mark Andrews 12.0175 8.7917 246.9
6 Michael Pittman 11.5541 9.8000 228.1
7 Chris Olave 12.7568 11.6300 222.7
8 Hunter Henry 10.0645 12.8000 211.8

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Emeka Egbuka 12.6784 14.8889 255.0
2 Wan'Dale Robinson 9.0419 11.0217 248.8
3 Justin Jefferson 13.9449 12.4762 235.7
4 Mark Andrews 11.8930 8.7917 231.3
5 CeeDee Lamb 12.4460 14.3600 200.2
6 Kendrick Bourne 11.0000 14.8919 195.5
7 Michael Pittman 11.3227 9.8000 191.5
8 Hunter Henry 10.4504 12.8000 186.8

TD/REC

Everybody Missed for TD/REC

Player Actual ESPNSleeperFFTodayFantasyPros
Davante Adams 0.2333
0.1081
(13.0)
0.0976
(14.4)
0.0864
(15.3)
0.0975
(14.5)
Keenan Allen 0.0494
0.0765
(4.7)
0.0816
(5.1)
0.0816
(5.5)
0.0866
(5.6)
Jauan Jennings 0.1636
0.0684
(7.5)
0.0847
(6.2)
0.0694
(7.3)
0.0780
(7.0)
Justin Jefferson 0.0238
0.0926
(11.3)
0.0882
(10.5)
0.0978
(12.3)
0.0918
(10.8)
CeeDee Lamb 0.0400
0.0686
(4.7)
0.0741
(5.1)
0.0762
(5.7)
0.0723
(4.7)
Tee Higgins 0.1864
0.0996
(7.4)
0.0976
(7.8)
0.1111
(6.1)
0.1032
(7.3)
Dallas Goedert 0.1833
0.0570
(9.4)
0.0656
(8.9)
0.0741
(7.9)
0.0678
(8.8)
Kyle Pitts 0.0568
0.0884
(5.1)
0.0800
(3.9)
0.0784
(4.1)
0.0820
(4.0)
Darnell Mooney 0.0312
0.0712
(3.7)
0.0690
(3.4)
0.0806
(4.5)
0.0753
(3.8)
Ja'Marr Chase 0.0640
0.0968
(8.2)
0.0973
(8.0)
0.0932
(7.8)
0.1016
(8.5)
Colby Parkinson 0.1860
0.0862
(4.9)
0.1000
(4.3)
0.0769
(5.4)
0.0849
(5.2)

Individual Misses for TD/REC

ESPN

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zay Flowers 0.0965 0.0581 5.9
2 Kendrick Bourne 0.0851 0.0000 5.1
3 Chris Olave 0.0504 0.0900 4.4
4 Quentin Johnston 0.0965 0.1569 4.1
5 Courtland Sutton 0.1157 0.0946 4.1
6 Jayden Higgins 0.0756 0.1463 4.0
7 Rashid Shaheed 0.0660 0.0339 4.0
8 Brock Bowers 0.0520 0.1094 3.9
9 Tyler Warren 0.0756 0.0526 3.9

Sleeper

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rashid Shaheed 0.0877 0.0339 5.8
2 Dalton Schultz 0.0750 0.0366 5.1
3 Ryan Flournoy 0.0000 0.1000 5.1
4 Stefon Diggs 0.0857 0.0471 4.9
5 Tyler Warren 0.0833 0.0526 4.5
6 Quentin Johnston 0.1034 0.1569 3.7
7 DeVonta Smith 0.0741 0.0519 3.6
8 Kenny Gainwell 0.0714 0.0411 3.4
9 Juwan Johnson 0.0600 0.0390 3.1

FFToday

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Parker Washington 0.0000 0.0862 7.0
2 DeVonta Smith 0.0897 0.0519 5.7
3 Kendrick Bourne 0.0851 0.0000 5.2
4 Juwan Johnson 0.0755 0.0390 5.0
5 Hunter Henry 0.0484 0.1167 4.8
6 Trey McBride 0.0481 0.0873 4.5
7 George Pickens 0.1148 0.0968 4.2
8 Quentin Johnston 0.0952 0.1569 4.1
9 Christian Watson 0.0851 0.1714 4.0

FantasyPros

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rashid Shaheed 0.0847 0.0339 5.4
2 DeVonta Smith 0.0862 0.0519 4.8
3 Jayden Higgins 0.0780 0.1463 4.1
4 Dalton Schultz 0.0656 0.0366 4.0
5 Zay Flowers 0.0831 0.0581 3.9
6 Trey McBride 0.0558 0.0873 3.9
7 Juwan Johnson 0.0681 0.0390 3.8
8 Chris Olave 0.0573 0.0900 3.8
9 Brock Bowers 0.0580 0.1094 3.7